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I tend to agree, but this is a pretty suppressive look as modeled. Probably not the final outcome 6-7 days out though.

Dallas - 82 high today. 43 high Monday. Will have mid 20s windchills by 9 am.

Well at least for East Nantmeal I plugged in the NWS forecast to close out the month. We will finish around 6 degrees below normal and it will be the 2nd coldest December at my location in the 23 years I have been here. Behind only 2010.

Wow! I've been conservative and knew it has been colder than normal. But then, even if we go back to averages it'll feel like a heatwave. Currently, people are in their basements crunching official numbers as I type...holidays or not they are crunching official Dec temp numbers. Dedicated individuals indeed. I'll be happy with a couple flakes this afternoon. 32F, cloudy, cold with snow piles around and the Birds play soon, all good in my book...

12z EPS is quite similar for Jan 5-9, but much better for that more favorable window that is Jan 10 onward

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 125 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055- 060>062-070-071-101>106-290900- /O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0024.251229T1500Z-251230T1800Z/ New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset- Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem- Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland- Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic- Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh- Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester- Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Allentown, Pottstown, Millville, Oxford, Doylestown, Mount Holly, Newton, Reading, Honey Brook, Lansdale, Trenton, Camden, Easton, Rehoboth Beach, Ocean City, Jackson, Wilmington, Chalfont, Pennsville, Georgetown, New Brunswick, Moorestown, Bethlehem, Denton, Hammonton, Glassboro, Philadelphia, Cape May Court House, Dover, Wharton State Forest, Somerville, West Chester, Collegeville, Media, Long Beach Island, Kennett Square, Morristown, Cherry Hill, Freehold, Atlantic City, Sandy Hook, Jim Thorpe, Perkasie, Norristown, Washington, Flemington, Stroudsburg, Morrisville, Chestertown, and Centreville 125 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and east central, northeast, and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Trash can red alert

We've heard all that before. One day at a time

I dropped a degree 30F

Yeah he called it discontinuous retrogression. I have no idea what that involves.

I'd rather have things be south at this juncture.

Things look to start getting interesting again as we head into the new year. January shaping up with blocking and some hints of stj too. Much better looking than what models were showing a week ago. Hope it holds. Otherwise will be watching tomorrow for any snow bands.

I'm keeping an eye on it. A little too far south on the 12z EPS, but still a week out. Still time for some changes up top.

Seems like a much cooler suite. It could just be ebb and flow, but a lot of cold is present(even if AN at times) in Canada when compared to earlier runs. If the BN temps remain in Canada w/ an EPO/NAO couplet....it should come SE. Remember that 84-85 analog map(should be in the December thread) of the December warm-up in 84? While I don't think we see that type of flip, we could certainly see a lot of cold air headed south if trends continue. When I was growing up and spent some time on a farm, we generally enjoyed warm-ups at this time of year...but we knew what was likely coming next. Maybe the thing which is most encouraging is that ensembles are catching up now. If they are under playing the pattern(as they have for most of the season regarding cold), this could be a very cold pattern upcoming. I still want a 3-4 more days of model runs for things to get dialed-in though.

Italian ski resorts have received 9-10 feet of snow since Christmas eve Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

its too bad most of the banter ends up in the monthly main weather threads and storm threads ...........usually by the same people

We’ll be fine, and we produce generally with this more classic type pattern, but we’ve been here before with these pretty patterns aloft and nothing coming of it. At least in our torpedo pattern we got a few hits. I’d much rather keep the deep cold nearby, but I’m also in a whole different climate that’s been prolific here.

Blizz I'm excited Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Bullshit call, although that OPI was also a bullshit call. It was the typical makeup call. Crap ass refs.

To my weenie eyes looking at MSLP anomaly maps, chance on ~4th with a low passing to the south and again on ~6th with a coastal popping.

That’s more my style. Cartoppers are played.

Paging Wiz...what do the post-storm winds look like?

Great analysis & discussion in here today. Like always really. Thank you to all contributing! Let’s reel in the cold enough air for a statewide snowwwwww!!! I say cold enough because I do not won’t any suppression where the beaches get snow. Lol.

So clapping is taunting now? Fucking refs. Let em play and show some emotion. They were going to have to punt. Steelers ignited now.

Chances are higher than this past week lol.

@buckeyefan1can you pin this thread and unpin the old thread. Thank you.