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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks. I don't give regional specifics for your area, but you can deduce my thoughts based on the composites and such. In case you couldn't, "get nude" about somes it up- -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
tavwtby replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
catching the tail of that at my place, it was ripping on and off pretty much since about 10, I'm back at work next to BDL so nothing here. -
12-26-10 to 1-27 -11 is the record around NYC Metro for 33 day snowfall at 61.5”. Boston was able to surpass that feat from 1-24-15 through 2-25-15 with 96.3”. Baltimore came close from 1-25-10 to 2-26-10 with 55.0”. So very impressive for the I-95 corridor to experience such amazing snowfall production in a little over a month from 2010-2015. Maximum 33-Day Total Snowfall for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 61.5 2010-12-26 through 2011-01-27 0 2 53.6 2010-12-25 through 2011-01-26 0 3 48.7 1978-01-13 through 1978-02-14 0 4 45.7 1978-01-17 through 1978-02-18 0 5 45.5 1961-01-15 through 1961-02-16 0 6 45.2 1978-01-12 through 1978-02-13 0 7 45.0 1978-01-14 through 1978-02-15 0 8 44.9 1978-01-16 through 1978-02-17 0 - 44.9 1978-01-15 through 1978-02-16 0 10 44.8 1961-01-14 through 1961-02-15 0 Maximum 33-Day Total Snowfall for Boston Area, MA (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 96.3 2015-01-24 through 2015-02-25 0 2 94.4 2015-01-23 through 2015-02-24 0 - 94.4 2015-01-22 through 2015-02-23 0 - 94.4 2015-01-21 through 2015-02-22 0 Maximum 33-Day Total Snowfall for Baltimore Area, MD (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 55.0 2010-01-30 through 2010-03-03 0 - 55.0 2010-01-29 through 2010-03-02 0 - 55.0 2010-01-28 through 2010-03-01 0 - 55.0 2010-01-27 through 2010-02-28 0 - 55.0 2010-01-26 through 2010-02-27 0 - 55.0 2010-01-25 through 2010-02-26 0
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
getting some house shakers here and howling out.. last week meh compared to today yet no advisory or anything -
BOS: 55-65” NYC: 25-35” PHI: 12-20” DC: 8-15”
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I'd imagine it's simply random chance of where the heaviest bands set up coming off the lakes. Some areas had much higher rates than others. @SnowenOutTherewas hiking some ridges in WV yesterday and reported he saw 1-2in in one spot and 3-4in 10 miles away at another
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was out on a muzzleloader hunt when it started that afternoon. I didn't even know it was supposed to snow that I can recall. (no internet back then). I can distinctly remember by grandpa stating it was his first white Halloween that evening when around 3 inches had fallen. In 1995 we got dusting in mid-October. The top of the mountains around here got more, I recall driving on top of Cross Mountain that night in moderate snow with around 1/2 inch on the ground. It was either October 18th or 19th.- 130 replies
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Wow…that’s the real deal…very nice . First accumulation. -
AAM is still looking to go back to a solid negative next week and last for 2 weeks. However, afterward, this is showing a move back up closer to neutral for early Dec fwiw:
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Same here but don't snooze on tonight either.
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Had a gust to 46 that knocked out the internet. Word from Comcast is “network damage” and it may be back in a few hours.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Lava Rock replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Much closer view here but still the same
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Natgas is up a whopping 5% due to increased late Nov-Dec cold potential.
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G4 conditions possible tomorrow .
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Today's GFS is the first of the operationals to get Nov 27th in range, albeit waaay out there. That is generally the earliest part of the potential window for sustained winter cold. Some modeling waits a few more days. The 12z GFS fits with what LR ext models have been saying. Now, we have seen head fakes at exaclty this range and at exactly this time of year during prior years. We have also seen LR ext models nail the forecast 4-6 weeks out. The GFS has a knack for spotting patterns at d16 during early winter. Here is a collection of maps from the morning and afternoon suites. 1. You can see the cold air configuration for DJF. The CFS flips flops between front loaded and back loaded winters, but generally this shows up regardless. I title this one "Remember when everyone used to talk about International Falls during cold outbreaks?" 2. The CFS daily runs 4x per day and can offer some fun solutions. I title this one, "Send it all to Cuba." This was from 6z. 3. The CFS at 0z gave us this lovely west PAC ridge. I title this one "Cold and dry." 4. As noted in the intro to this post, the 12z GFS now has Thanksgiving week in range. I title this one "Didn't we just do this yesterday?"
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Still own it, but working on not owning it . . .
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterSnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Flurries just started flying here! First snow... Yay! Nothing big, but you know. -
Past peak in the NC mountains, foothills, Triad. Currently peak for the Triangle, Upstate, Metrolina, Uwharries, Sandhills, Tidewater, and Rocky Mount-Wilson.
