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I’d prob extend that personally a bit to Xmas week. If we don’t have anything banked or imminent, then it would be another shaft job…..we have a chance this week before a little tiny relaxation (if it all), but then there’s clearly a reload for another favorable stretch doing into Xmas week. If we strike out on both periods, then we’re just living in the late 1980s/early 1990s paradigm again.

Trace of course

One common theme (at least it seems this way) that continues this season for southern tier folks is snow falling both north and south of us before we get into the action. Some nice pics coming out of MD/VA this morning. The sky certainly has the snow look down here. Reminds me very much of 1970s/early 1980s winters when areas south repeatedly cashed in while I wallowed in my tears.

Most stations on this map have more snow season to date than my location. Currently .50" on the season here.

I think KMPV might have hit a record low for 12/05. NOWData has it at -7° in 1971 and it got down to -8° this morning.

You are probably right that his career is damaged because of the things he said about other schools and people, but I actually came across kind of liking him more haha. Fascinating to listen to, just hashing everything out with real talk. Sounded like totally normal stuff people would say when having what they think is a private conversation. Speaking of which, the bigger issue here is whoever released that (likely a player) committed a serious crime (I believe a felony?). Pennsylvania has very strict two-party consent laws about releasing private conversations. That's despicable behavior by whoever did it and will likely scuttle what was left of whatever chance they had to hire someone decent. I felt almost dirty listening to it, knowing it was meant to be between only the people in that room. A total violation of trust, and again, criminal behavior.

shift back south on 12z and drying out, especially east. HRRR is the only one that stays north and juiced.

Now we wait to see what DCA reports when all is said and done.

Too dry-probably some virga

Just measured 1.5"(ish)

I still feel that Jan and Feb should be analyzed separately for the NE US. Since 1983-4: -3 times as many -ENSO -PNA Decembers were followed by cold Jans as mild Jans including the recent Jan of 2022. In addition, there were cold Jans in 2014, 2011, 2009, 1985, and 1984. Related to this, 9 of 11 of these Jans were either cold or pretty close to normal. -But OTOH there were 6 times as many mild Febs vs the only cold Feb (2014).

1.5" in Easton

The Great Lakes and N plains have actually seen an increase in snow cover in the last 40-50 years. We’ve def been on the ugly side the last decade and CC enhances it…but there’s always a natural variability aspect to it too. I know I’ve made it a point to show that the warmest anomalies in North America outside of the arctic over the past decade were right here into SE Canada.

Thanks! Getting it exactly right was pure luck. Being in the ballpark was somewhat easier by expecting the winds and clouds to have a direct influence on the temp. It just felt like guidance and forecasts were way too aggressive on how cold it was going to get. I sorta felt bad about missing your backyard's temp by 5 degrees until I realized that I nailed MDT on the button...and that's the only one that matters, right?

lots of record cold today, do we snow tomorrow?

Flurries! 24.4F / 14 dew

Cocaine can be dangerous at such a young age.

That plus the leaves can blow onto the neighbors lawn all winter!

Lol, 20 minutes west of you my kid in Silver Spring looked out at the same amount of snow and was crushed that moco didn't delay. He still immediately went outside and ate some fresh powder (his favorite)

Got 1.25” on my flat metallic table on my balcony. Hardly a non-exposed location though so am probably gonna defer to DCA or spotters. Didn’t really think we’d get to 1” though, so that’s awesome!

Don’t know how much at home but squinting through my Ring doorbell cam suggests front yard is mostly covered. That’s why you mow the grass short before winter, people!

Record low at LGA. 20 (or 19 btwn hourly obs?), breaking the record of 21.

Closing in on an inch now in Silver Spring, which is good enough for me. Schools open is even better (sorry kiddos)!

I'm only going to pay attention to Chicago Storm started threads this season. Have to acknowledge there's an element of magic ✨ in all of this.