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It is exactly apples to apples! Nothing is fake if it’s at your house. If your car battery dies because it is 22 degrees…no matter what the temp is 1500 FT up, is the dead battery fake. Will you be able to tell the battery, hey battery good one, good fake out, now go ahead and start my car? You see, Theres the point. Is the TOR that blew your house down fake, cuz the town next to you didn’t get a TOR? Temp is temp. Snow is snow. Rain is rain. TOR is TOR. if Kevin is shoveling 4”, and I’m seeing through translucent slush that’s a 1/4” inch thick…is his fake snow?
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THIS!
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A fun October storm before a shit winter
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The incompetence watch has been upgraded to a warning. -
This is such a weird discussion, lol. No one is saying it’s deep cold. But when your car is frozen solid in the morning and you are scraping ice or warming it up, it’s just a weird way of phrasing it. As Tip said, temperature is temperature. When there’s CAD or icing, no one is like well it’s fake cold because it’s warm at 9,000ft.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
94-95 was basically a one hit wonder with an 8-10" in Feb. I remember having my windows open one January evening because we were in the 70's. At least the one-hit wonder in 2016 was a bomb, so I'll hold out weenie hope for that. But terms like "strong, east-based El Nino" don't have me gassing up the snow blower. -
Everything I see is fake. Fake cold from radiational cooling, fake snow from upslope or lake effect. Not even sure what’s real anymore.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No surprise coming from the guy who failed out of meteorology school. If stupid could fly, he’d be a jet -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
stadiumwave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/2115836527712338188?a=JR30_wRbbVdstqpwhLw&s=19 I don't think Mark understands that a SSW now does not mean the SPV will not recover. -
We still have spotted lantern flies fluttering around at work.
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fake warmth today .
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In recent history it seems like the start of winter has been the kiss of death for the rest of the winter. We gotta take any snow whenever we can get it.
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In nyc next weekend- hope it’s dry!
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Sandy was 14 years ago today. 14.
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What a run we're on.
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I don't think that's an apples to apples comparison. I'm just saying when it's 35 for 2 hours on a late October morning with +8-9C 850s, that isn't cold like when you have a truly cold airmass overhead.
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Looking at previous El Niño winters, South Bend tends to cash in, in the Spring (yuck). South Bend snow in March and April: 2015-16: 11" 2009-10: 0" 1997-98: 21" 1991-92: 18" 1986-87: 4" 1982-83: 13" 1972-73: 6" 1965-66: 17" 1957-58: 5"
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is just like the strongly E based 1997 was in the first half of Nov, but is unlike the 9 other strong+ Ninos since 1959, which had either neutral or -PNA then. -
It's hard to go for much cold with a strong Nino. Even if the SSW were to create strong HLB the strong Nino enhanced Jet may keep the what would be downstream Eastern Trough shunted NE. For the sake of winter weather lover's, let's hope that's not the Case and we get at least a period of wintry wx in what normally would be Nino's warmest Time (late Nov/December). Depending on how fast the Nino fades, we may get lucky late Winter.
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Just did a readthrough of the old Snowtober threads. Lot of fun! We better get something to track soon(ish), but while this weather is boring, it's also totally fantastic
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Nothing is fake…but I think we all get the point. Whatever it’s doing in your area/backyard at any given moment isn’t fake.
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Sorry to hear that Jeff still far out so things could change but fun cold rain on election day yippie (sarcasm) .
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
BlizzardWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good agreement on that positive PNA to start out November among all modeling systems. (Yeah I know I need to clean this graphic up a bit but I guess it'll get the job done for today)
