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Radar looks absolutely nasty out west, I’m tempted to set an alarm. When might it start?

Hate to say this but..it's in the Carlolina's now

any obs from Frederick?

Contest closed to new entries ... table of entries repeated here ... Contest entries to 06z Saturday February 6th listed in order of coldest max to warmest max, then coldest min to warmest min within each group FORECASTER (order of entry) ___________ MAX _ MIN ___ snow Roger Smith (19) __________________________16 ___ 4 _____ 0.6" RJay (18) _________________________________ 16 ___ 4 _____ 0.2" Northshorewx ( 7 ) _______________________ 16 ___ 6 _____ 0.4" CPcantmeasuresnow (12) ________________ 17 ___ 3 _____ 1.4" Tony (via RJay post) (15) _________________ 17 ___ 2 _____ 0.6" bkviking (14) _____________________________ 17 ___ 4 _____ 0.7" DonSutherland1 ( 1 ) ______________________ 17 ___ 6 _____ 0.2" TriPol ( 9 ) ________________________________ 18 ___-1 _____ 1.3" IYC77 ( 6 ) ________________________________ 18 ___ 7 _____ 0.8" dmillz25 (10) ______________________________19 ___ 5 _____ 0.7" ___ Consensus (mean of entries) ________ 19 ___ 6 _____ 0.5" Stormlover74 (11) _________________________ 19 ___ 7 _____ 0.4" coastalplainsnowman ( 2 ) ________________19 ___ 9 _____ 0.75" SACRUS ( 3 ) _____________________________20 ___ 5 _____ 0.4" [email protected] ( 4 ) ___________ 20 ___ 9 _____ -- -- snowman19 (17) __________________________ 21 ___ 2 _____ 0.5" wxallannj ( 8 ) ____________________________ 21 ___ 8 _____ 0.2" Prue11 ( 5 ) _______________________________ 21 ___ 9 _____ Tr Rwes1 (13) _______________________________ 22 ___ 8 _____ 0.1" PositiveEPOEnjoyer (16) __________________24 ___ 8 _____ 0.5" ___________________________- Contest rules are in the original post.

The GFS signaled the trend with the 18z run when QP dropped significantly over Virginia. After 18z, I was expecting 00z to be feast or famine. Famine rules the roost.

Looks like it's making it over the mountains fairly easily.

How’d you generate these? Very cool. Can you share the site?

People shouldn’t be expecting that now either.

How did you find those cool snow graphs for Danville? Never seen those. Can you share the site? Thanks.

I imagine back in those days they weren’t really expecting any kind of accurate details 7+ days in advance.

1/2” down and radar looks good. I think we clear an inch here

Put out a few mins ago.... Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1253 AM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 MDZ003-004-502-VAZ028-031-505-WVZ050>053-504-070630- Central and Eastern Allegany-Washington-Frederick-Clarke-Frederick-Western Loudoun-Hampshire-Eastern Mineral-Jefferson-Morgan-Berkeley- 1253 AM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 ...SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...EAST CENTRAL ALLEGANY COUNTY IN WESTERN MARYLAND...FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...NORTHWESTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...FREDERICK AND CLARKE COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...JEFFERSON AND MORGAN COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL MINERAL COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND THE CITY OF WINCHESTER... At 1248 AM EST, snow showers were located along a line extending from near Berkeley Springs to Romney. Movement was southeast at 35 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with these snow showers along with a quick coating to locally half inch or snow. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Winchester, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Romney, Shepherdstown, Hancock, Paw Paw, Municipal Stadium, Harry Grove Stadium, Millwood Pike, Ballenger Creek, Robinwood, Brunswick, Walkersville, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, and Ranson. This includes the following highways... Interstate 68 in Maryland between mile markers 72 and 80. Interstate 70 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 56. Interstate 81 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 12. Interstate 270 in Maryland between mile markers 29 and 32. Use extra caution if you must travel into or through these snow showers. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads are likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until the snow showers pass your location. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time when traveling.

Looking good in Edgewater! Must have skipped right over DC

Was wondering if DIX being down is affecting the solutions. Sounds like it could be.

Front is about to move through here. Light snow has increased in intensity and wind is stirring. Just had a gust to 23. Midnight high was 31 degrees.

How far is that squall gonna go? Looks like it’s chugging along on radar.

Awesome. Thanks for sharing. Reminds me of the blizzard of 78 in Ohio. We had similar conditions for 2 days. Could not see the house next door at times.

Steady very light snow, diamond dust style. Coating appearing on our cul-de-sac. Cool and pretty out at the moment, beautiful sparkle on the pack from the small flakes. 26F 23DP. No complaints! Winter vibes always welcome.

We love verification!! What an experience.

0Z Euro nice hit N NC:

The Keysers Ridge RWIS had a gust to 53 mph.

These models suck. How did we predict weather before the models? Maybe we have to go back to that method? Can it be worse? .

Holy shit indeed! That looks insane asf!

Euro looks surpressed at 500 ?

I was expecting 5-8 in the day before and it went south. I got maybe a blowing inch of flakes.