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Just need a better phase. It’s close

That trailing energy still punts the low out to sea.

Long range Nam with a positive trend can’t ask for more tbh

NAM is a bit east of the EURO.

The Euro used the opposite logic to trend west at 18z.

Looks like not all the energy from the northern stream phased.

It's just a beast of a vort on the nam too. Crazy

Agreed

Great run. H5 looks good and yes we need a deeper phase.

In time for the important model runs:

0z NAM doesnt get it done but 12z this morning it literally had no storm at all…progress .

Needed to gain more latitude. Got to the Delmarva then almost moved due east.

WB 0Z 12K NAM HR. 78 coastal definitely improved compared to 18Z.

I feel good about it maturing later than some of those wild runs...EURO AI reflected that.

NAM is better for the coastal fans but worse for the people who want to bet on the H5 pass to get snow

really need this energy to drop in sooner

Huge jump nw though and it’s nam.

Verbatim that backside vort is slower so it helps to tilt that PVA running out ahead up and into the coast, but it's not fast enough to phase and create a GFS type solution yet. Huge shift that way though.

There wasn’t even a storm here at 18z

Phase looks to be slightly off

I'm not the best at reading h500 maps but it's definitely much better though.

Definitely a step in the right direction

I've managed to RAD through the thin overcast....26.1; shouldn't be much sun tmw....

Huge improvement can’t expect things to show a hit right away but the improvements were there