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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I fully believe 97-98 was mostly bad luck for the I-95 cities despite a decent pattern at times. People get too caught up in the idea that it was bad just because just because it was the most east based. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It was essentially neutral...very positive first half and negative 2nd half. The index calculations don't always match the composite, as was the case last year....it appeared to be a very deeply -WPO but it wasn't due to placement of the ridge. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
97-98 turned out awfully, but it left a good bit on the table....it was actually dealt a pretty favorable hand from a polar perspective, which we don't have this year. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. Bwi had 6 or 7" on a Sunday night in December 1983 that wasn't expected. It hit Phl similarly I believe. 97/98 was a dog at Bwi with a couple inches for the season. My current location totalled around a foot for the 97/98 season. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
But that’s all it’s been all summer. And that’s boring -
This storm looks like a hurricane on radar now. I know it's not one but that isn't a bad radar presentation at all. Definitely more easterly shear than NHC has mentioned though, it cannot wrap convection upshear despite numerous attempts
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is some insane rain with this though. Getting crushed with the rain today -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
RFK Jr? -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
He refuses to look at models or any empirical data . It’s nothing -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Not sure much wind with this...instability is most elevated and there probably is at least some sort of inversion rooted above the sfc. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Those cansips 2m maps are probably wrong for the northern tier, where 500mb shows ridging in those areas. BN temps probably confined to tennessee valley and south, with us being NN or a couple degrees above.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
They haven't said yet. I'm guessing it has to be Adam Joseph, right? -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
As boring as it gets -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Gas prices jumped another 20 cents today. People said it couldn't be done. Fastest increases in the history of the world. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Did channel 6 get a new weather person...afraid to ask -
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Also of note, the record max-min (highest low temp) for GSO in the month of September is 74 and our forecast low for Wed/Thurs night is set to break that (75 and 76 per NWS forecast)
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
At this point, Stein is giving me a Roman helmet. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brewbeer replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
downpours are not boring -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
tamarack replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
August numbers: Avg max: 76.2 +1.4 Warmest, 87 on the 6th Avg min: 54.9 +1.7 Coolest, 43 on the 31st Mean: 65.5 +1.5 Met summer: 64.6 +1.2 6th warmest of 29 Precip: 2.46" -1.58" Wettest day, 1.05" on the 3rd Like July, August 2026 started very warm then spent the rest of the month near normal. Days 1-11 were 4.4° AN, had the 6 warmest days and had 1.83" rain Days 12-31 were 0.2° AN, had no days warmer than 78 and had only 0.63" rain.
