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Absolutely gorgeous day here for the last day of October. Low of 46, high of 68. Dew points in the mid 40's.

Lamar is the highest rated QB in the NFL. 73% comp, 14 TD, 1 INT, 136.7 rating. No 2 is Drake Maye at 118.7.

I consider the dotted lines of clouds from NNE to SSW today to be gravity wave clouds from terrain induced rising and falling air. I realize this doesn't help if you aren't currently in the western areas, but look for something similar in the future. Lenticular is going to be really tough around here, especially outside of isolated thunderstorm season (for pileus).

oh yeah... lost hour of daylight sunday. i guess one upshot for the model crack crew is you'll get a hit an hour earlier. lol

Very impressive. Certainly keeping an eye on the Great Lakes, as water levels continue to descend, e.g. lowest October levels on Michigan-Huron since 2012. Won't break the record lows of January 2013 this winter, but still quite the fall from the record highs of 2019-20.

31 mph in Muttontown & 34 mph in Syosset for highest gust so far.

Pretty windy out by Nashua standards. Neighbors fence blown in and i lost a 20’ rotted limb.

My final pseudo-official total here was 2.28". The Ambient Weather WS-2902 measured 2.68". It's often a little high, but usually not by this much.

@HurricaneJosh

Classic Spine precipitation bomb. At 1500ft we are seeing 40mph gusts and just pounding rain.

Winds gusting to 46 at ISP and JFK. Newark 48.

A notice has gone out today that states the FAA contract to a 3rd party vendor for 58 AWOS sites in MD/NC is ending today. This means no more METARs over the various NCEP and FAA data lines. This is non-trivial IMHO, esp. b/c it basically takes out much of the AWOS network in MD/NC. The AWOS are not being decommissioned, just NADIN service, which routes the METAR to WMSCR and then NCEP and the FAA lines for all to see, is going away. All these sites have been available for ~20 years. Not good for the HRRR and RRFS, among other things. List is below: K0W3 Churchville MD K1A5 Franklin NC K24A Sylva NC K2G4 Oakland MD K2W6 Leonardtown MD K7W6 Engelhard NC KACZ Wallace NC KAFP Wadesboro NC KASJ Ahoskie NC KCBE Cumberland MD KCGE Cambridge MD KCGS College Park MD KCPC Whiteville NC KCTZ Clinton NC KDMW Westminster MD KDPL Kenansville NC KEDE Edenton NC KEHO Shelby NC KESN Easton MD KETC Tarboro NC KEXX Lexington NC KEYF Elizabethtown NC KFDK Frederick MD KFFA Kill Devil Hills NC KFME Fort Meade MD KFQD Rutherfordton NC KGEV Jefferson NC KGWW Goldsboro NC KHBI Asheboro NC KHNZ Oxford NC KHRJ Erwin NC KIPJ Lincolnton NC KISO Kinston NC KIXA Roanoke Rapids NC KJNX Smithfield NC KJQF Concord NC KLHZ Louisburg NC KMCZ Williamston NC KMQI Manteo NC KMRN Morganton NC KMTN Baltimore MD KMWK Mount Airy NC KOCW Washington NC KONX Currituck NC KPGV Greenville NC KRCZ Rockingham NC KRHP Andrews NC KRUQ Salisbury NC KSCR Siler City NC KSIF Reidsville NC KSUT Southport NC KSVH Statesville NC KTDF Roxboro NC KTTA Sanford NC KUKF North Wilkesboro NC KVUJ Albemarle NC KW29 Stevensville MD KW40 Mount Olive MD

Yep and so it begins. Love to see it .

2013-2014 stands out like a sore thumb in the middle of that data. Makes you realize just how much of an anomaly it was.

Already mixing up top. Wet snow (white rain) and 33.5F top of the Quad. Thinking 3-6” of dense snow possible above 2,500ft. Models have a lot of upslope precip and all parameters for heavy upslope precipitation are met… near saturated from SFC to ridgeline, H85 winds 25kts< and cross barrier, vertically stacked low traveling near FVE, precip duration of 12+ hours. Temps and snow growth are pretty poor though. Big precip is a lock, snow will likely be 6-7:1 ratios overnight with heavily rimed or small needles.

With that pattern in late November into December, Local ski resorts should be able to get going the first half of December. Maybr the first week of December for places like Wisp and 7 springs and mid December for White tail and Liberty.

Autumn Blaze Maple in the backyard is poppin’…

Here are before and after SSTs to see how much Melissa cooled the ocean on and near its track: 10/24/25: 10/30/25: So, it cooled only ~1C/2F around Jamaica/E Cuba (from slightly over 30C to near or slightly over 29C). Unfortunately, that wasn’t nearly enough to keep Melissa from exploding. Much of the area around the Bahamas also cooled some (perhaps ~0.5C/1F) but the full cooling may have to wait til the 10/31 SST map. Also, Melissa wasn’t as strong and was moving much more quickly through the Bahamas thus likely meaning less cooling influence. In contrast, note that most of the Gulf and far W Caribbean cooled hardly at all, if any, as they were too far west to be cooled by Melissa.

https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/breaking-news/article/ravens-fined-100k-by-nfl-for-violating-injury-report-policy-regarding-lamar-jacksons-week-8-status-175454372.html

Ha - He did an update today to look at the years as well

So much weather to discuss, The heating is clogging the thread...........

Branches down SC NJ