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Re: WED KEY MESSAGE 2...A clipper-type low may bring light snow mid week. Starting early in the week, amidst a brief warmup, attention will turn to the next potential winter weather maker Tuesday night into Wednesday. A piece of shortwave energy aloft will dive out of the northern Plains late Monday through Tuesday. There will also be a piece of southern stream energy moving out of the Baja region during this same time. These two systems phase nearby late Tuesday over the Arklatex region before quickly moving east into Tuesday night, with a weak surface low developing as a result. Reinforcing Arctic air moves back into the region late Tuesday night, and while not as cold as the past week (yet), it will be plenty cold for snow overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. However, this system is lacking substantial moisture this go around. Most ensemble guidance has the area receiving a few hundredths of an inch to maybe a tenth of an inch of QPF (though some are dry, and a few have over a quarter of an inch). With an Arctic air mass still in place, SLRs could be a bit higher than normal, so that could equate to an advisory-level event for portions of the area if those QPF amounts are realized. However, there is still a question if there will be any QPF with this system east of the mountains. That remains to be seen, and will be the main focus of future forecasts - to nail that down and hopefully come to some model consensus. Another question is just how far south the low tracks. Right now, model guidance favors central/southern portions of the forecast area, but that could change in future forecasts as well.

We missed a KU event. If only this monster took a BM track. Painful miss.

It’s very similar to one we had NYE/ NYD with a couple inches of snow in WAA and then maybe a heavy squall with front

Imagine being in Raleigh? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Can you post this info for the Craven, Carteret, Pamlico region?

ICON. And Nam both have light accumulating snow Wednesday. Rgem has snow showers. Decent start to 12z.

"NO Chances" Guess your totally SOL!

It’s coming

Yeah that’s been hinted at. Could be a fropa.

Black ice every morning this week will present its own challenges for some. Throw on some powder wed morning = fun commute.

You posting about it was way more annoying than anything else. Grow up. If the posts use bad language message a mod, if its bad enough they will remove it. You complaining CONSTANTLY while a lot of this board was ging through the best storm in 20 years, or possibly in their lives has less of a place on this board than those using some language that you dont like. You're ridiculous. Especially on this particular thread, where a lot of people posting just missed out on a 20 year storm.

As light and powdery this snow is I don't believe there has been any compaction. 15" I believe cause it was still snowing hard down there at 7 am.

Yup im right in that light blue circle in the map NWS put out. We got just a hair under two inches. Just absolutely brutal seeing everyone with like 8”+. Ive been waiting 20 something years for a storm like that

Interesting that the 6z GFS showed a very similar setup with a clipper/ULL type system this coming Sunday evening for much of ETN. Obviously, 7 days out, but the GFS has done a good job of sniffing out potential

Who cares about the mess bring on the snow

Charlotte had 11" of snow on 0.51" qpf Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Euro and rgem

Since when is the GFS ever right

You've been away from Minnesota too long!

Charlotte to Greensboro

Ill let you know as soon as I teach myself to work with SQL databases and figure out how best to export a million rows and upwards of 40 million data points. Haha Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

MHX office just reported 15” snow depth. With all of the blowing/compaction/etc, that’s probably pushing 18” in total snowfall.

Are they actually trained spotters or just public?

Impressive cold streak still going