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In the old days with super El Niños, the strong low level westerlies would extend north from the tropics into the midlatitudes like in 1997. These days the subtropical or midlatitude ridges have grown too strong. So the westerly flow is much weaker with the high pressure dominating. The warm pool from Japan to north of Hawaii is allowed to continue leading to the persistent -PDO. This prevents the strong +PDO response that was typical in 1997 and 2015.

As I said, I'm going to wait until the fall before taking this seriously. If the strong winter signal is still there in September/October, then you know it's going to be a cold and snowy winter. 2009-10 was the last time a strong winter signal held in the fall during a developing strong el nino. Contrast that to 2015-16 and 2023-24, when there was no strong winter signal in the fall months.

Humans survived the Cubs and the Red Sox both winning the Series. We will be ok (unless Cleveland wins it)

67 when I left the house. Got a mow in yesterday before the heat hits, first one in like two weeks.

Nice MCS coming into Maine and NNH to start the morning.

WGAL News Channel 8 Susquehanna Valley, Pa. stonpSorde383mc43fttcm5lcaf7c5i810404f8021tli2243icg6i52h16a · The U.S. has approved plans for an experimental satellite carrying a massive mirror, designed to test if “sunlight on demand” is possible by reflecting sunlight onto targeted areas on Earth. The project has drawn sharp criticism from astronomers and environmental scientists.https://www.wgal.com/article/fcc-approves-space-mirror-reflect-orbital/71919795?fbclid=IwY2xjawTC8E9leHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETEyWUk1bkFnTUI4eUI3ZkJPc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHvIX-pxjYfi4pQg_27rHtfuYb6YHFyPyH5-nyhvboPdnOeVPybIPBTyR54pr_aem_1hzWC-lEWX55Ae_f03FxTA

We wont get a heatwave here but still sucks Today Sunny and hot, with a high near 91. West wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Northwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 82. Light west wind increasing to 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.

The latest information has a band of thick smoke moving into our area Wednesday afternoon. If this pans out, I wouldn't be surprised to see Air Quality Alerts issued. People with respiratory problems will want to watch this closely. www.fox56.com/weather

Do tornadoes crossing the border need a passport?

AQI numbers are still in the mid 60s, like yesterday morning, but it's different. It's like the air is "heavier".

The 1821 outbreak is my Roman Empire.

May be two areas today for some strong tornado potential, far northern New Hampshire towards the Canadian border and northern Maine. Have to see what sfc flow is like

As annoying as a miss south major winter storm.

Well-wildfire smoke wasn’t quite what I expected to keep it below 100.

I will never stop loving summer, but the Crohn's has made me less tolerant of the high heat and humidity. I find myself wanting overcast 75 degree days over the sunny and 90 days.

Plus he was the Superintendent of schools there. it was just over 4 years ago when you sent me down the rabbit hole, eventually finding the guy's house! As an OBS, got up to 86 yesterday after a low of 65. The dps have been in the low 60s making it tolerable but that's about to change. Currently 66 with dp 62.

Why is NCEI cooler than the Allentown COOP? Because the Allentown COOP is in downtown Allentown and runs warmer than the Allentown Airport. NCEI has Chester County exactly where it should be: warmer than the Allentown Airport and cooler than downtown Allentown. Per the Table below, NCEI does a much better job of tracking the Allentown Airport (ABE) than the Chesco COOP average. Two five-year periods are chosen: 1941-45 before the first Chesco station move in 1946 (Coatesville) and 1971-75 just after the last move in 1970 (West Chester). NCEI is 0.4-0.5F warmer than ABE, before and after the station moves. While the COOP average cools by 2F relative to ABE. The 2F cooling matches the roughly 2F cooling at the individual Chesco stations and is completely spurious. Once again the raw data shows that NCEI is far superior to the COOP average. NCEI does a great job of removing the station moves. While the COOP average confounds station moves and weather. As I said above the pre-1945 Chesco COOPs are very warm. It isn't only the City of Coatesville either. Phoenixville ran very hot on sunny days and West Chester was in a built-up town location. Obvious to someone familiar with the county and the COOP data.

I was jut going to ask about this. Caught me off guard... Wednesday Patchy smoke before 11am, then patchy smoke after 5pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94. West wind 7 to 10 mph. Wednesday Night Widespread smoke, mainly between 8pm and 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Light northwest wind.

Upper 80s imby and no headlines, miss north

Smoke is back in the forecast. Wednesday Night Patchy smoke before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening.

64 degrees this morning. Getting ready to head fishing. AC system will be getting the legs workout these next couple days Isn’t legs the heavy day of the workout?

We pray.. this is what we need!