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Pretty decent model agreement on a complete shift from what we are seeing now in about 10-14 days. It’s that time of year. Going to take a long time to melt out, but definitely could be some nice days towards mid March

Hey @stormtracker you see what I posted here yesterday? Lol

Chat GPT is pulling your chain.

I'm very sorry, but 4500 ft. mts. in northern and western Augusta County do not exist................. You goofed on that.

Yes, if you say “it’s coming” with every shortwave, you’re going to run into a few.

That’s what I meant…I was just f’n around bro. Kind of like what you guys do. Ya, When everything Jumped back on board…after Losing it early in the week…it as hard not to.

@WestBabylonWeather

People should learn what indices are, what they mean. It would offer a huge manifold of knowledge, from which one may then understand operational models with better predictive skill. In this case, the indices (derived by weight the ensemble) support the emerging/ steadily increasing warm signal that we are seeing in the operationals. It doesn't mean that will go on forever until Earth's sitting on the surface of the sun... At some point the signal with "max" and or suffer daily idiosyncratic aspects not presently seen... But in principle, the totality of it would mean the end of winter and the onset of spring. Yup. Right now ... you didn't ask but I'm fine with holding hyperbole to 'melt and mud season' - use that as a basis and then add if (and we probably will have to - ) we need.

we've had more winter this season than we have in many years. stop your bitching lol.

They are growing here too. Saw on the news last week before the cool down we registered pine pollen for first time this year which is early

we had some severe wx events in the area.

Yea It does. This decade the AHATT had it easy forecasting winters, now it was ACATT’s turn.

Exactly !

gotta pin the May 1st thread, getting awfully hard to find it every morning to update the countdown

I admit I did not expect Monday to come to fruition. But by Friday I was starting to entertain.

I think the Berk county crew deserves a cherry on top.

That goes both says though too. It’s been a good winter in many aspects…I was busting Scott’s balls a bit…it’s what we do…right.

2012 is not coming through that door. We were already through mud season when that occurred.

Wow euro with a overnight storm with temps in the mid 20s

Agreed and I'd take that all damn day long.

LFG!!!!! MORCH 2012 REDUX!

I’m saying it was an easier winter for ACATT. Even with that, ditty struggled with several systems where it was “snow back to Albany” but it ended up missing. Sure he got this last one right since if you always envision snowy times during a cold and snowy season, you’ll be right enough to claim success.

Ya GFS/EURO both agree in spring coming after the first week of march. Plenty of time for that to change but at least there is a sign.