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  2. 1982-83 and 2015-16 are probably my favorite analogs as of now
  3. https://x.com/hombredeltiempo/status/2071636498290458888?s=20
  4. Originally from Fairfax so I follow you guys a lot but currently it's 89/80 here in East Central Illinois. Something to look forward to.
  5. The 2012 one was preceded by a heatwave similar to the one we're heading into.
  6. This is why I wanna create a kind of integrated heat content, heat wave calculation/index, so that these things can be physically ranked instead of hyperbolically so - Having said that, I'm not sure “worst in history” is wrong though? France broke all-time temperature records since the invention of the thermometer came to that region, not one day ...but on consecutive days no less. Why is that wrong? Seems "worst in history" is just about precisely what that was - no hyperbole.
  7. Yeah I keep seeing the temps on Saturday climbing and climbing towards 100. Would be absolutely insane if we got 4 days in a row of 100. Completely unprecedented in our current records. Any temp that gets over 103 would put us in top 10 territory for that specific day heat wise. The only single time we ever got over 104 in Harrisburg was that absurd heatwave in 1966
  8. Coaching this week is gonna suck. We have a B-meet Wednesday which may be rather miserable as well. I’ll push to cancel if excessive heat warnings are issued.
  9. LWX Discussion had some good Climate Summary data
  10. 88/79. Nasty. Would love to get the triple digits they're going to get back in my old stomping grounds later this week.
  11. 88 currently. Trying to move some flowers around today for my irrigation system since we are going away tomorrow and I'll have no one to water by hand.
  12. It isn't political if someone is commenting on (with actual caveats) the reason why a website went down. It isn't opinion based, or leaning to some kind of political affiliation. As someone who does not want politics in this forum either, this does not meet the criteria for that by a long shot, and you need to check yourself. Being hypersensitive does not serve our goals either.
  13. Here it was ... I guess it was mid month, altho I recall a wondering earlier because of the 'cadence' of hemispheric behavior. At the time, the modeling didn't go as far as July 1 but it's one of those extrapolation deals. Anyway, I recall now it was based purely at the time on the numerical teleconnector spreads from the various source, less so the spatial synoptic chart cinemas. In fact, I recall commenting on it since then how there was a discrepancy - it's interesting to me that the indices "won" this discovery at a very long lead. The operational runs were in fact fighting this as near as 7 days ago, however ... that's not really necessarily unreasonable given it was still 7-10 days away at that later time. But they were really just not interested. GFS was first to come around.
  14. Their argument was for a full scale turnaround to deep winter; arctic cold and snowstorms lasting for months after the rapid El Niño weakening began, not for the single anomalous blizzard and the single anomalous arctic cold snap, both in 2016. There was never a full scale turnaround in 1998 (JB) or in 2016 fDT, JB)
  15. 90 here right now, so the long heat wave starts.
  16. Record breaking summer heat in a super Nino... we're so cooked
  17. Radar looks clear. Seabreeze front very prominent on radar and is splitting Long Island almost exactly in half running east to west.
  18. Actually .. not disputing this at all but I did notice the EPS sending signals for back when it was over 300 hours. I posted about it around June 11th or so... I'll try to find it
  19. There was a blizzard in Jan 2016..historic for many, so they were partly right
  20. Stop with the political stuff. Please and thank you.
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