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Torrential thunderstorm here...lots of lightning

That's crazy It's almost like US Air Force forecasters Fawbush and Miller, who got hit by a tornado at Tinker AFB in Oklahoma on March 20, 1948. Then, in the next days, they looked at the maps. They predicted a tornado on March 25! Then it happened. And then the US Weather Bureau stopped banning the word "tornado" and started to learn how to forecast them, leading to the first establishment of the office that we now call, the SPC.

I could see just west of the city getting clipped. South and east of there not so much .

Play it

Seems like we could be getting rain chances next week starting wednesday through Saturday .

Some distant lightning visible here from storms in CT. Too bad not a chance in hell any reach me.

With today's 90° high in Central Park, 2026 became only the second year on record with a high of 80° or above in March and a high of 90° or above in April. The only prior year was 1990.

A couple of bird fart tors may have dropped southwest of the QC over the past half hour.

I don't "use it to forecast". It's just something I have noticed about the strongest of events. I love how 1983 and 2016 are qualified as BS when in fact they were officially designated as La Niña....that is BS. 1966-1967 sure as hell seems cool-neutral to me........1957 and 1991, sure....I'll grant that. Must be a sample size issue I don't think I used any offensive language in my response to Chuck.....if he feels as though I did, by all means, let me know. At least to me, employing sarcasm is different than using incendiary terms like "idiot".

I'm not offended. I'm proud of my work over the last decade plus...learned a ton. I'm just tired of your loathsome, vile persona acting as though you're superior to everyone and always spewing venom. When in the hell did I run to the mods? I know as a byproduct of your incredibly meager existence you repeatedly made baseless claims of me plagiarizing your work....I called that out, but I don't recall ever getting mods involved. That accusation is every bit as accurate is your idiotic claim about the "upside down smiley" snowfall pattern leading to another shitty east coast winter. Of course, you never acknowledged that. Okay, cool...you found a couple of exceptions ....of course, within this context the sample size is no longer an issue, and those examples can be used to completely debunks my assertion because it's convenient. "The sample size" crap is so fraudulent when you aren't consistent with it. Like I said, put your money where your keyboard is and take the bet, if I'm such an idiot.

Mid 80's still in NYC at this hour, in mid-april, is nuts. Hoping those storms in PA make it here. Had a nice downpour last night.

The entire summer is probably gonna go full-on aggro.

Playoff hockey! Nothing like it

Dale City hit 91 degrees today! You guys are 25 degrees above normal! Normal high is 66, normal low is 45.

Lot of moving parts trying to spin one up over Rockford

My lawn is a disaster. I give up.

Third tornado warning in as many days here

You are an idiot. The fact that it offends you just means you believe it. Presumably if I called you an pedophile you wouldn't be offended because you're not a pedophile. You spend these threads trashing ideas hiding behind idiotic premises of "bull busting" so no one can call your behavior. Its an excuse to criticize what you don't like and then when someone dares criticize you you hiss and moan like a little baby and run to the mods. You dish and refuse to take. You never actually learn anything. Here are all the Super that don't "self destruct" which has been the entire premise of your theory this entire thread out of the left side of your mouth, while on the right side you hem and haw about how it won't be a super event anyway. Literally half of the ENSOs at/over +2.0C haven't self-destructed, so yes it is an idiotic idea that could be disprove with five seconds of thinking, which you don't do. Anything that has a 50/50 tendency is not a tendency. 1957-58 became 1958-59 after hitting +2.0C. 1965-66 became 1966-67, 1991-92 became 1992-93 - none of those are La Ninas. 1997-98, 1982-83, 1972-73, 2015-2016 arguably became La Nina but even those are kind of bullshit La Nina since 1983-84 and 2016-17 were extremely warm by South America and below the surface. So the entire premise...is at best 50/50 which is again...stupid as a baseline for forecasting.

Seems like most of the sub has seen as much or more precipitation in April then I have all year. (5.20” since January 1)

Our area might get lucky with something later on tonight. Further east chances less. Picked up .24” from lasts nights stuff. I did sprinkle the grass seed earlier so I am not overly confident we get anything later.

90° here today after am low of 64°. Halfway thru month just 0.43" of rain.

Temperatures approached and reached record levels across parts of the region. Records included: Baltimore: 91° (old record: 88°, 1941) Bridgeport: 82° (old record: 81°, 1960) Hartford: 87° (old record: 88°, 1941) Islip: 81° (old record: 78°, 2002, 2024) New York City-Central Park: 90° (old record: 87°, 1941) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 88° (old record: 86°, 1941) Newark: 91°(old record: 88°, 1960) Philadelphia: 91° (old record: 88°, 1941) Washington, DC: 90° (old record: 89°, 1941) White Plains: 87° (old record: 83°, 1960) Tomorrow will be another summerlike day. Temperatures will likely peak in the upper 80s in most of the region. The hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. It will turn cooler on Sunday. A sharp cold shot is possible early next week. Generally dry conditions will also persist through at least Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.45 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.814 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 83% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.3° (2.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Just came in from sitting on the deck. Balmy out! Currently 77 degrees. Crazy. Some flashes of lightning off to the north. A few storms along the NY/NJ border.

83.7 & 85.4 at my stations today.

H5 recap for the cold wintry period, part of which ended up dry after the glacier storm but also produced the storm in late Feb that was a monster for MA and NE coastal areas. Compare to the previous winter that also produced multiple snowstorms. Pretty similar look, and both produced above avg snow here and for much of the coastal plain. 2017, 18, and 22 have the same general look for the periods that produced significant snow. In recent winters Ninas have been predominant and generally the better snow producers for eastern parts of our region, with a more poleward Aleutian ridge(favorable EPO/WPO) and neutral to +PNA delivering the cold, with some decent/timely NA blocking influencing storm tracks a bit further south and east. It will be interesting to see what happens with the developing Nino for the upcoming winter. Specifics on strength/configuration unknown at this point, but in general would expect winter to be milder with increased chances for above avg snow (wrt climo) to be further inland.