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While we wait for our T to 2" of snow across most of this forum the guidance continues to impress over the next 1-2 week in terms of cold. Latest EURO is not backing down on the cold surges coming into the Mid-West, Lakes and into the NE and MA. Some bitter cold anomalies against the coldest averages of the year, i.e. peak climo cold. Expect to see some good ice buildup across the Great Lakes before all is said and done. Snowfall during this upcoming cold is very much in question. Think best chance at something substantial would have to wait until we start to pull out of the coldest of the pattern. For a time the cold looks like it wants to overwhelm the pattern causing suppression of storm track to the south. Not much room to get things to turn up the coast IMO.
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Euro AI snow mean through 318.
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All runs are interesting to me but 0Z and 12Z will have recon’s data as extra input.
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Welcome Nina February
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When it comes to the Euro ALWAYS assume the bad way
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
8611Blizz replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Enough. Can't take the wobbles... give me the standard C-2 and be done with it. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Ruin replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Laughable -
Tonight's runs could be interesting after all
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ineedsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
If I was a weather model I would -
I have a really good feeling the last week of January will be one to remember. Multiple storm signals, +PNA, and I can feel it in my bones
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Just an observation on both the GFS and Euro that might still give a little hope for some on Sunday. If you trend either one of them back to yesterday morning they were showing very little to almost zero moisture for the first disturbance that is currently pushing through TN and KY. The radar at the moment is way more robust than what those models were showing 36 hrs ago, the most recent runs now depict that moisture really well. I believe we will see something very similar with Sunday's precip as we get through tomorrow's run and get within 8- 12 hrs of any potential moisture.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
- Yesterday
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
that's fair, what's funny to me is he trolls us we all know it he gets a kick out of it cause he's probably young. Keep on trolling snowman if you're reading this! you anti snow you! on another note, hopefully tomorrow over performs cause it looks like Sunday is gone -
I think he could very well be right, if as usual cold air takes longer than expected to bleed over the mountains. However,I do feel we could overcome with decent rates and get a coating or so as far SE as RAH
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In a good way?
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Forky gets a lot more right than wrong
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Hmm...
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
weatherpruf replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
forky too. but let's face it, not much has gone our way the last few years, so we gotta take what we get. its why i made sure to get some photos in december for those small events, because that could be it. still a ways to go this winter and we should see something again, but those years of 50 inch winters are over it seems, and i ain't getting younger. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Chicago Storm replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
TSSN here at ORD with a heavy snow shower moving in. -
Mesonet data suggests soils have cooled considerably in the past 24 hours. Any frozen that falls will accumulate. We ran a house fire just north of Westminster last night and everything froze. Had to use the exhaust from the trucks to thaw out the ground ladders so we could get them back on the apparatus.
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Until Valentine’s Eve -
Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm
Leesville Wx Hawk replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
RDU about 34-35 degrees when snow falling per NAM. If it comes down hard enough, an inch or so isn’t completely out of the question. There’s a key 3 hour window to get things done. European had similar temps. GFS was warmer. Going to have to thread the needle here but a coating to 1 inch isn’t out of the question in some areas. -
18z euro fooks us at the end of the run.
