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Line formed in Adams County and dropped into Carroll before dying near Westminster.

breezy enough

Ravens tied with the Eagles and Bills for #1 super bowl odds currently! Bills don't have WR's, so I don't know why they are so high.. probably a weak division. Eagles have so much talent on that team, I would place them at number 1.. but the Ravens really improved their defense this offseason, and extended Derrick Henry and Bateman, which means they are probably doing good.

has his own mod-ordained thread, total and complete libertybell victory, haters in absolute ruins right now

anything near as historic as the 40C London experienced a few years ago?

It will turn even warmer tomorrow. Tomorrow and Monday will likely see temperature reach the middle and perhaps upper 80s in New York City. Tuesday could top out near 90°. Newark could be near or just above 90° on each day during this peirod. In addition, there will be a risk of a shower or thundershower during the weekend. Excessive heat does not appear likely to return through at least the first week of July. However, there is somewhat less certainty than yesterday. Both the 12z GFS and ECMWF show potential for more significant heat during the July 6-8 period. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around June 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late summer. The SOI was +2.81 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.124 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.2° (1.2° above normal).

It's been incredible to see how the rain and storms have danced around my area this week. Only caught a few passing sprinkles as storms fired close and died out as they reached me. The high rain chances for today and tomorrow have faded too.

A bit of a reverse-Atlantic tripole SST pattern, which at this time of the year has a pretty strong correlation with later in the season. I'm actually surprised that surface SSTs have such a strong correlation with hurricanes compared to other factors, but the most active years minus least active years show this clearly.

Looks like the negative momentum is back. Not sure they have another comeback in em.

83/71 now, 85 earlier. Beautiful day

Strong +NAO driven heat wave for Europe. 595dm making it to Paris, France

Well it all collapsed. I might get .05” maybe - it’s a heavy sprinkle.

It feels weird to sit outside on a Saturday crushing beers without rain

“The July 1st Outbreak” has a good tone to it

Yeah, hopefully Tuesday works out.

I was out mowing and that storm was pretty far away when a bolt hit right next to my neighbor's home. Wild. I stopped mowing. The storms were even further than when I took this screen grab. Blue sunny sky with storm clouds a bit in the distance. Got my attention!! Lol

Awesome afternoon. Played putt putt with the kids and didn’t die like expected

Turned out to be a nice sunny and warm/dewy afternoon here on the shoreline with a high of 83. Suns been out since around noon.

Changed it to a cooler blue theme, it's actually from April 2002 during the historic heatwave, you wouldn't think the skies would be this blue but they were, a function of it being April, despite the intense heat.

I guess it's something.

78/71 Turned into a pretty nice day. Still cloudy, but brightening.

I got done planting a few things for the better half, went out back to have a beer and got carried away by the skeeters. unpleasant.

We could use the rain, looks dry and warm upcoming

It's interesting how we do not have late season intense heat anymore (at least to my knowledge)-- we did have 95 in October here a few years ago (at JFK). But our latest 98 in recent memory was in September 2010 and our latest 99 was on September 11, 1983 wasn't it? Our latest 100 goes all the way back to September 7, 1881 (actually 101.) It was NYC's first 100 ever recorded and also its latest.

63/61 just had another rain shower. Summah!