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Yeah, next weekend looks like another system with the Euro AI taking the lead. It had this weekends system coming up the coast while the OP Euro and EPS and GFS and GEFS were too suppressed. The GFS and GEFS were the most suppressed. The EPS-AIFS and AIFS single were first showing next weekends system more defined and just offshore last few days while the OP Euro and EPS and GFS were more suppressed. The 0z guidance now has the ridge and trough axis further west allowing the trough to go negative tilt quicker for the benchmark Miller A Southern Stream KU potential. It would be wild if the 10 year major KU snowstorm pattern in January 1996, February 2006, January 2016, and February 2026 worked out.

Gfs is just offshore

11” of sparkling fluff. Still snowing.

Lol couldn’t have been more wrong. 10-11” of total air.

Well it's not gonna get there yet, but 5H continues to improve.

10” storm total as of 4:45 AM. I measured 3.75 at 9:30 last night, so 6.25 over 6 3/4 hours. Beautiful fluff. Like walking through air!

Also some time of freezing drizzle.

I slept like a baby and I'm headed out to chisel my jeep out of its encasement and try to get to wok lol. This may have been posted but no time to browse 20 pages. This is pretty tasty and close enough for a mean at this range. Like I said last night there is plenty of time for guidance to correct any possible errors with the key features, and we all know nothing is ever nailed 5+ days out. More changes likely to come.

Nothing gets me more excited than a Miller A. If it's 6 hours out.

Snowing hard enough to accumulate here.

So I see some excitement has returned for Feb 1st. Y'all left it for dead.

Im ready for the next one mentally, my back say’s otherwise.

Insane east coast pattern

Man.. that storm wore me out. The tracking, up at 1am to play in the storm, and all thst shoveling had me in bed at 7:30 last evening. I missed one hell of a Euro run.

There's a band actually showing up on radar that has been rolling over me for the last half hour. Sky is full of nickels, it looks foggy out.

It's an actual legit phase 8 assist from the MJO we're getting this time IMHO. The first time, earlier this season, was not as far as I'm concerned. I've been liking ~Feb 1st quietly for a little while now for a big signal to show up and finally it does. I think that period fits in really well with a bit of lag time. Nice to see all models latching on to this idea more now. Even nicer to see the EPS with spread in direction of the BM. I think it's coming.

ICON was decent for the East, 40 north, and still snowing at the end. It was possibly going where the other Models went at 0z. Everything is shifting NW but most of us may be too far west.

The NTX/DFW sleet pack was also nothing short of interesting. 'Still wanting to know what was the ultimate, total sleet accu. in that region. 'Though I don't get why DFW allowed a scheduled Mavericks game to go on Saturday evening despite the major ongoing sleet storm. But I'm just guessing that's one of those 100% "Go at your own risk" type of things. And I saw a live news report video last night of people getting stuck on highways in the city. The main takeaways for me on this definitely complex winter storm event was the CTX/ETX icing. But particularly the strong, wintry elevated thunderstorms with lots of CG strikes. Which the models very surprisingly, did get right on the very abnormally high 850Mb instability in the grids (for this scenario). That, was just pure insane.

It’s too good to be true right? Nobody just hands us a freaking hecs 99 hours out(that’s when the northern branch starts to dig) In 24 hours will be in Nam range lol Picked the wrong night to go bed early

6z icon looked like it was about to deliver at the end of its run

Light snow falling once again.

Well if there is any model I'd feel confident leading the way it's the Euro. Also where the hell would we go with all the snow?! My god that would shut down the entire northeast. All good problems BTW. Strap in! Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

I will be holding my breath. It all looked so good for Richmond back on Tuesday, then Wednesday it all changed.

Coming up my way, currently 31.0 IMBY.