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Its only November. I dont know why people are worried about whats coming next month . This month was always supposed to be mild.

Can you add me as well for Thornton, NH, elev 1100', N43°52'33", W71°36'09". Thanks, Mark O

WB 12Z 12K NAM

Yeah that ridge is way too far west on the 06z GEFS and 00z EPS/GEPS. The GEPS has what seems like maybe a broader PV that is more south which is why its not as bad. The SER is likely underdone if the EPO ridge is going to be that far west

01-02 was largely positive too. The problem was more just a terrible Pacific or AK pattern in both winters than it was the PNA. The NAO/AO were also largely positive except late December 01

Allentown now 40 kt. White Plains 43 knot Mt Pocono 45 knot.

? Everyone has besides the heat island

Worcester, PA. Gust to 35. Power off briefly, but back on now.

It’s all proportional since numerous stations outside the heat island haven’t had their first hard freeze yet. So more a lack of cold air this fall. The strong winds have made it seem colder than it has actually been.

TOR warnings this year. Check out those hotspots in southern Illinois and Indiana!

Honestly, we have a great climate. We get a little taste of everything. Nothing too extreme. I've seen lots of blizzards and crippling snowstorms in my 47 years. I've also seen a lot of beautiful weather. The wind out here today is wild. It's probably gusting to around 40.

It’s weird-I’m to your southwest in an urban heat island (Hoboken) and we’ve had multiple frosts. You live in a very specific microclimate.

You're also right by the water. I know branford well. So it's not that uncommon that you haven't seen a killing Frost where you are right near the shore.

wind wind wind

I'll agree that it's not cold, but torch? Come on man. You're pulling hard. Average highs at the end of November are from the mid to upper 40s. You have a few days in the extended where you're a few degrees above the average. Enjoy your torch

Allentown area significant power outage increase last hr in Northampton County.

Was nice now windy, temp dropping and it looks like it’s about to shower soon

November to Remember

Imo UPTON is conservative most of the time. Forecaster decision making and local office policy. Not sure how they verify. All I know. Writing it in an AFD doesn’t verify. Public product does. Warning Advisory verification does! That’s what I and others rely upon. If the 10A reports are the only ones for our area today then they verified with those reports outliers. maintain safety vigilance in strong gusty areas next 12 hours

33/32°F, On the board for this season, 0.8" of snow overnight.

BWI: 25.8” DCA: 20.4” IAD: 32.3” RIC: 15.1” SBY: 23.4”

In what’s become an annual tradition , the forsythias are in bloom https://imgur.com/a/dmuATMH

Its interesting both Mt holly and Upton mention potential for gusts to 50 mph. But Upton decided an advisory wasn't warranted

Mid 50s out. Not bad.

Today’s 2 week GEFS and EPS showed slight improvement vs yesterday regarding progression when comparing the same days into phase 7: 1. GEFS: Yesterday’s GEFS: Today’s GEFS: 2. EPS: Yesterday’s EPS: Today’s EPS: