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  1. Past hour
  2. Still waiting with my winter coat on for this transient cold shot to end.
  3. Weirdest spring ever Endless northeast troughing yet dry Majority of days colder then normal but skewed warmer from heat spikes Have not had anything more then distant thunder once Record freeze and late frosts
  4. Where’s the sun angle crowd? Accumulating snow with an early August equivalent sun angle. lol
  5. Typically you see the Atmospheric River get going in a strong NINO on the west coast,so you dont see these SST'S out west.Like the NMME'S shows,Its the same into the GOM more or less downstream Out into the Yellow Sea and Sea of Japan has alot has to do with The Siberian blocking,so there's no guarantee even that that region will be warm or cold in a strong NINO. https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4416
  6. Next week temps looks like average for the second week of April What is going on. Every week the warmth is coming and gets pushed back.
  7. Manmade warming spreading from the upper ocean is the most likely cause of deep ocean warming. As implied by the following statement in the abstract: This finding reveals that deep ocean warming is gaining importance and that ocean heat uptake has now reached several regions below 2,000 m depth, notably the Northwestern Atlantic Ocean and Southern Ocean. Figure 7 in the paper shows where the deep warming is occurring. The warming regions are associated with ocean overturning circulations not seismic activity. The paper discussion mentions that the added heat in the deep ocean is needed to better match satellite measurements of the earth's energy imbalance. Finally the underlying paper doesn't mention seismic activity at all.
  8. Yes, this is exactly what I do. It's become part of the spring startup process - on a nice day like this, I lay out socks, boots, sneakers, etc. Spraying pants is somewhat harder though. I try not to get the spray on anything else but it's a challenge.
  9. Was down in Negaunee and took this around 2 PM. Snowed heavy enough to accumulate even on rooftops w/ temp of 39. Felt like an October day... ready for Spring any day.
  10. Special weather statements have been posted for NE TN and SW VA regarding patch frost. No wind and clear skies.
  11. Man Greenville to Charlotte got smoked today
  12. There's brown grass here but it's due to drought and people mowing too often
  13. Yesterday
  14. 0.38 yesterday and 0.25 today. it's something! Still screwed... this has been a repeating issue here.
  15. So the fire hose is coming in the latter half of the month?
  16. I noticed my ornamental grasses which had started growing in the heat turned brown after the freeze, they are slowly coming back now. They don’t look as nice as they typically do at this point. The second push of smaller leaves on trees is what we had here a couple of years ago thanks to the spongy moth infestation.
  17. Even though the overall large-scale pattern is not favorable for significant severe weather currently, that does not mean locally, there can't be nasty events, likeSW MS yesterday. A single supercell produced multiple or one long-tracked intense tornado. Damage surveys are ongoing, but it appears EF3 damage at least. | Radar loop here: https://x.com/wxkobold/status/2052440176245289471 Look at the SPC storm reports for 5/6. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260506_rpts.html Very limited in coverage overall, which makes sense given the larger-scale conditions not good. The supercell latched onto and rode W-E along a low-level boundary, which is *everything* for "Scott spinners!" A few days ago, this occurred in FL. You don't even need to look at the velocity loop on the right, the base reflectively loop on the left clearly shows little "eddies" along the boundary! https://x.com/wxkobold/status/2051799555427955015
  18. It's uncertain. "Internal climate variability" could concern long-period ocean circulation. Seismic/volcanic activity aren't the only explanation for internal variability. I welcome additional research. Overall, I suspect that anthropogenic and natural variables are contributing, though the anthropogenic one is probably growing relative to the impact of natural variables due to increasing anthropogenic forcing.
  19. Somewhat cooler weather will continue through the remainder of the week. The first 10 days of May will likely see temperatures average cooler than normal normal overall. Showers are possible Saturday night as a warm front moves across the region. Sunday will turn warmer with highs reaching the 70s. Additional rain and somewhat cooler conditions will return for Monday. In the long-range, there has been some shift in the guidance toward a near or somewhat warmer than normal second half of May. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around April 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.42°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -5.50 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.040 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 59% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 62.2° (1.0° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  20. Anyone else notice that the freeze a couple weeks back after 90 degree temps ended up damaging and killing some oak and japanese maple leaves that were leafing out Brown and shriveled. Doesnt happen often. Just a cae of bad tining Google says they will releaf but with smaller leaves
  21. Looks like crappy week next week and the we get our flip to summer
  22. total precip was: 1.75" in Fort Collins 1.60" Loveland 2.0" Boulder 1.2" Denver 1.75" Estes Park 0.43" Colorado Springs 0.63" Pueblo 1.0" Cheyenne
  23. Picked up a nice .78" today. Even heard some thunder.
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