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Let’s shift some of that steady moisture further east about 100 miles. We’ve probably picked up about 3/4 inch from just quick hitting showers+downpours, but it pales in comparison to what others have got.

The storms curved and angled slightly over. Been pouring heavily here now for a while. I thought we were gonna miss it too earlier

congrats eastern LI.

2.33 so far

Hence, the disclaimer. I now realize that the soundings were actually observed at 12:00am and 12:00 pm, which is crazy to me. I have been adding 5 hours to account for central time zulu, so I thought that the soundings were taken at 5am and 5pm. Now it all makes sense, I think. lol

.20" Monday 2.40" total

It’s astounding how that works

In 2001, I was driving from Phoenix to San Diego. It was 111 degrees. In the middle of the trip, we hit a hail storm that must have stalled out over the same spot for 2 hours. There was 5-6" of hail on the ground. We had to pull over and wait for it to partially melt. The car temp dropped to 46 degrees in the middle of the hail storm.. it was a wild sight with cactus' completely covered in ice. That area can get a good dumping because storms don't move much.. I think the hail on the ground only covered a 1-mile radius.

Right now worst of it looks to be east towards KFOK. Almost has a similar look to the plume from the infamous Islip floods. Though that was a higher dew, higher moisture and higher rates event due to the warmer water temps later in the season.

Let’s hope not. 1.65” for the event and the ground is saturated. The new house is essentially a construction site so flooding will be no good

This is an image of the hail storm I was talking about the other day. Pretty amazing demarcation of white v. brown.

Ummmmm what in the actual F is that on radar south of central Suffolk! It’s obviously a major moisture plume, but wow, if that holds together there will be major flooding out there overnight!!!!

Still a pretty good signal in the evening CAMs for at least scattered convection Tuesday afternoon for those mainly north of the DC Beltway

A stray shower maybe in an hour but a huge bust today/tonight here.

I must be getting downsloped because precipitation just evaporates over me lol

Dude.

The low level NE flow off the Atlantic is keeping the usual suspects cool and raw. 47F at ORH, and wet. SSE flow aloft, and NE flow underneath?

Finally got a decent hit: squeezed out 0.67 for 0.87 for the three-day. If I had just been a few miles east would have been pounded twice today.

Well, Sunday and Monday were highly inaccurate forecasts with 0.08” yesterday and a 0.00 today. Still convinced the east wind has stabilized the atmosphere to the point that heavy showers and tstorms are unable to form in this quadrant of this system. We go to a more southerly flow on Tuesday, which should be more conducive to heavier rain.

Wish this week was in February for a major icer. Perfect pattern for it, constant over running. Minimal wind.

Frederick MD- 1034 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025 ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...REPLACES FLASH FLOOD WARNING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is occurring. * WHERE...A portion of north central Maryland, including the following county, Frederick. * WHEN...Until 200 AM EDT. * IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is occurring. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 1033 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported flooding in Jefferson. Between 2 and 4.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Flooding impacts will continue, but no additional rainfall is expected. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Brunswick... Braddock Heights... Jefferson... Rosemont... Arnoldtown... Petersville... Middletown In Frederick Md...

Not one drop of rain today in 21057