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I just found an up to date (July 29th) source of worldwide burnt acreage in 2026 vs 2012-25: I don’t want to minimize how terrible these fires are wherever they occur and also I realize there’s CC contribution to these though it’s pretty complex. However, it just so happens that the two lowest years of year to date burnt world acreage since 2012 as of week 30 (~July 29th) are none other than 2026 (lowest with 112 million ha) and 2025 (2nd lowest with 131). The remainder are way up at 162-216. The avg of 2012-25 is 193. Thus, 2026 is a whopping 81 million ha below the 2012-25 week 30 world avg! I’m guessing it’s probably caused largely by more favorable wx (some combo of wetter (like in S America) as well as fewer lightning strikes, lower temps, and/or lighter winds in dry areas), fewer arsonists, and/or better firefighting: @donsutherland1@WolfStock1
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2.9” including torrential rounds of downpours this afternoon.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@GaWx @bluewave @donsutherland1 @40/70 Benchmark @csnavywx @Isotherm @Stormchaserchuck1 @BlizzardWx @LakePaste25 @EasternLI -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Matthew70 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually looks & feels like fall ish outside. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Finally getting some of the goods here after being mainly dry all day. Just had a heavy burst of rain. .45" according to the latest look at the Tempest gauge. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Even saw a few around here.. ill snap a Pic tomorrow if I remember -
Light rain coming in. So disgusting out earlier while putting down fungicide.
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super el nino banter thread
Cobalt replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So, why does snowman think it's okay to say that someone has "latent homosexual tendencies" in a way that is clearly meant to be derogatory and homophobic? Is this someone we want on this weather forum? -
Today's Highs: PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 ACY: 87 TTN: 87 LGA: 86 EWR: 85 BLM: 84 JFK: 83 NYC: 83 ISP: 82
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Supposedly they are coming to visit us. - Today
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HoarfrostHubb replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Wouldn’t mind if it missed a bit here. We had 5” last Thursday and the rain will delay the road project here. (Plus it cools off our pool) - Yesterday
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Toledo had 1.51" of rain on Aug 1-Aug 2. There were non-thunderstorm areas that stalled in the middle of the night/morning hours. Areas of 1" to 3" hit the area. It was much needed. My area got missed by rain a few days ago, with the SPC 30% wind risk. 1" is with some of the lighter green colors
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
annunciated replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If I cant find any plots that show above 4C for AAM, then I'll have to compute to see what it is, but I'd really like to see the maxima on these runs because my goodness...lol -
We did decent here earlier, but this is definitely an i95 event…and I’m ok with that.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Elim72 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
5.25 and I hope we are done. Are those storms out west supposed to make it our way? -
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At least I didn't finish in last place this time - still way behind you for the past month plus though Massive screw up today on the models and corresponding forecast for sure ... Flood watches for the Valley and extreme drought areas but all the real rain was the 95 east areas...
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The amazing runs keep coming! The 12Z 8/2/26 CFSv2 has the strongest AAM for forecast days ~12-23 that I’ve seen/saved! The mean hits 3 on day 12, 3.5 on day 16, and 4 on day 17 or 18! There are 3 of 4 members at 4+ on day 19 or 20 through day 22! Afterward, it isn’t quite as impressive as the last run and the far right isn’t as impressive as the last 2 although it’s still very impressive:@snowman19 -
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The gaps in the precipitation and drought have largely spared the metros from any wider issues. If this rain came as one longer fused batch of precip, there would've been a few water rescues at least. On a similar note, I wish WPC would develop an event archive like SPC does. It would be great for research.
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Why though? Out in the open , away from any tree drop. It’s the best spot that I’ve had it since I got my first Davis . I don’t have many options here living in the woods
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.17 for the day with most of it earlier in the day. One side of my hood had sunshine (home) then the other side had downpours this late afternoon. Cant win them all. So humid today, gross.
