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  2. Chinook
    The NWS is already putting out a few considerable severe thunderstorm warnings in Iowa/Illinois for 70mph wind gusts
  3. andyhb
    Parameter space near/south of that warm front in the backed surface winds tomorrow is alarming for any semi-discrete storms that can maintain themselves in the area. While there certainly are some caveats such as storm mode, degree of HP dominance given less than ideal venting flow and high PWATs, and prior convection, the high population and potential for relatively fast moving storms makes this likely the most dangerous setup so far this year on paper.
  4. frostfern
    The SPC has all of western MI under the gun tomorrow evening, but the CAMs are split on how much late night crapvection interferes with returning instability. None of the CAMs are exact on convective placement now so it’s up in the air. Hope I at least get a nice storm this evening if tomorrow turns out to be miss south stank.
  5. ravensrule
    Thank the lord you're still alive. Great to see you here. Thanks for letting us know about the new site. Good luck with it.
  6. A-L-E-K
    Sad but true
  7. Chicago Storm
    we'll try again tomorrow...
  8. Mrs.J
    Soupy out. Humidity 69 and Dew is 76 here.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Feels properly like a wet blanket out there.
  10. WxUSAF
    PWAT me baby
  11. weatherwiz
    AWT
  12. Eskimo Joe
    They can and often do act as a forcing mechanism. More lift!
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Will that help with severe chances today or just help convection start? Seems we have Cape and not much else to work with today (bad shear, bad ML lapse rates, okay surface lapse rates). Either way how likely do you think it is we get some thunder today? I’m head coach for a swim team from 3:45 to 6:15pm so I gotta monitor the situation.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Per the latest SPC mesonanalysis, there appears to be a bit of a lee trough running from CHO up to Harrisburg.
  15. Damage In Tolland
    Bbbuutttt ACATT said 50’s, rains, ass,
  16. TheDreamTraveler
    Dew point is atrocious today. Only 81 degrees but it feels like 87
  17. dailylurker
    Full sun as well. Radar looks more impressive than I thought it would at this time of day.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Clarksville mesonet site had a dewpoint of 76. Impressive.
  19. mdhokie
    Just two? That sounds like a normal DMV commute to me. Lately even central MD traffic has been terrible. Not sure whats going on, but everyone seems really on edge. Last Friday I-95 was shutdown in Howard County, then Saturday on my way to Hagerstown for a softball tournament I-70 gets shut down. Many days rt100 where it merges with 29 is a complete cluster and overflow clogs 108/103/104. I was making a left turn on a green arrow the other day and someone coming from the opposite direction making a right on red never stopped and almost hit me (had I not slowed down). Then they proceeded to flip me the bird? Of course the car had limo tint on every piece of glass (inc. windshield) so who knows what was inside.
  20. ChescoWx
    Are we already in our next cooling climate cycle for summer? Since 2010 summers now show a cooling trend!
  21. Typhoon Tip
    I still think there's a chance that the trough is too progressive in some of these guidance, and that a slower/attenuated total mass results in more EC parallel/quasi parallel flow - i.e., a bit of a Bahama Blue. Admittedly, that is not what this is, ... but it's not far from it considering this frame is about 60 hours in and the trough is still W of 90. My speculations won't be hurt if it doesn't realize just sayn'
  22. dendrite
    Saving this one for winter
  23. ChescoWx
    Many folks have asked for an analysis of both the Average Summer High temperature and Overall Average Temperature trends specifically for Chester County PA. Clearly steady state since 1893!
  24. high risk
    Yeah, even though the timing/coverage differ, the fact that EVERY CAM has storms in the DC area later today was such a great sign this morning. An MCV with favorable timing is usually a great combination.
  25. dendrite
    GFS looks seasonably warm much of next week now…lower dews though.
  26. MN Transplant
    Dew Points 72-75 for most of us.
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