Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. They had Cooper fucking Rush the first 2 games lol. Cant get much worse. Scored 32 points total I think. With Penix back, 80 points the last 2 games. Defenses have to defend the pass and their impressive run game. The dude is a gifted passer- he just needs to stay healthy. Bad knees are his problem. Tall task for the Raven's D, which hasn't been very good, and the offense is limited with Huntley- he is a below avg passer. Hopefully they can run for 300 yds, but then there is the issue of the OL being a bit of a mess at this point.
  3. there are crazy short flights. ATL-CSG ATL-CHA. AA runs some short ones from DFW too to places like GGG/LAW
  4. Lowest pressure is exact. I have never observed these cells (inland CFL) move as fast as they are. To my fellow members in harms way be safe and hunker down y'all!
  5. Why is there even a flight from Atlanta to Tallahassee? That's within drivable distance.
  6. Radar velocities on this one are insane. Likely going to be some high gusts recorded
  7. Hurricane Simon Forecast Discussion Advisory Number: 10 300 PM CST Fri Oct 09 2026 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 092046 TCDEP5 Hurricane Simon Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 300 PM CST Fri Oct 09 2026 An intermittent warm spot in the CDO of Simon has been present since this morning, co-located with a small pinhole-like eye noted in visible imagery. The initial intensity of 90 kt is based primarily on the latest TAFB Dvorak fix, though this is very uncertain due to the very small size of Simon and intensity estimates range from around 65 kt (DMINT) to 97 KT (RCM-1 SAR). The SAR data this morning indicated the system has an RMW near 5 n mi, highlighting how small it is. Simon has continued to strengthen today, although at a slightly slower rate since this morning. Further rapid intensification is still anticipated but the exact timing of when the rate might pick up again is highly uncertain. Small hurricanes like Simon are particularly susceptible to large and rapid fluctuations in intensity. In the short term, no changes of note were made to the NHC intensity forecast, which remains at the high end of the guidance envelope. The main challenge with this forecast is how sensitive it is to the exact track Simon takes over the next 2 days and whether or not it moves inland over the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco. A track slightly east of the NHC official forecast track will cause Simon to quickly dissipate and minimize the threat of wind impacts farther north in Mexico. However, a track just to the west would likely allow Simon to move much farther north as a hurricane. At this time, the difference between these track scenarios is less than the average error of NHC forecasts. Most of the deterministic global models shifted slightly east this cycle, but ensemble guidance indicates both scenarios are still plausible. The NHC track and intensity forecast therefore is largely unchanged and continues to show Simon tracking farther north than it might realistically make it to emphasize that risk. Key Messages: 1. Catastrophic wind and life-threatening storm surge impacts are likely along a portion of the west-central coast of Mexico, and a Hurricane warning is in effect from Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita. Preparations to protect life and property should be completed by late today. 2. Heavy rainfall associated with Simon will impact portions of southwestern Mexico through this weekend. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. 3. Swells will affect portions of the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 16.2N 104.7W 90 KT 105 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 16.6N 104.9W 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 17.5N 105.0W 125 KT 145 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 18.6N 105.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 20.0N 105.3W 95 KT 110 MPH...INLAND 60H 12/0600Z 21.4N 105.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...OVER WATER 72H 12/1800Z 22.8N 105.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 96H 13/1800Z 24.6N 106.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 120H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
  8. That is a short flight. Somebody made a really unnecessary mistake thinking that they could sneak into TLH.
  9. I'm seeing wind gusts to 61mph at Destin FL. The base velocity from radar has the winds at 104 kt (Northeast to southwest)
  10. A big factor is that TC tornadoes are strongly diurnal. The CAMs all have the same idea with a broken (super?)cellular line, but it doesn't really rotate up here until after sundown. If I were chasing, I think I'd head to Lynchburg and plan to follow the cells northeast.
  11. Yeah not great. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  12. Got really lucky here in Gulf Shores that it went way east like the ICON and AI were showing. Hoping those east were able to prepare
  13. Those poor people. I had to d 3 go arounds at Boston one time due to fog and that was awful. It was a smooth ride but those people are getting bounced around.
  14. That would be awful to be on that flight.
  15. Check out this nightmare. Delta flight from ATL to TLH trying to land (and not succeeding). https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL1984/history/20261009/2110Z/KATL/KTLH
  16. That’s putting it mildly too! Very anxious this evening.
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    https://queticarerx.shop/# overseas online pharmacy
  18. It would be interesting to know how much of that is premeditated cut outs to save the grid and make it easier to get back up and running.
  19. Really looks like Destin is the spot unless there’s a wobble.
  20. It looks like the trailing band of storms will stay off the coast for a while and may not even get to Tampa. No delays as of now. I think you are good.
  21. 140k customers without power in the region and climbing fast (was 100k 15 minutes ago)
  22. About to board a flight from San Antonio to Tampa, hope they go far as hell south, want to stay far away from this cane .
  23. Got some watches in Virginia already Flood Watch National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 143 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ015>017-032-101000- /O.NEW.KRNK.FA.A.0009.261010T1500Z-261012T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Patrick- Including the cities of Whitetop, Dobson, Galax, Troutdale, Stuart, West Jefferson, Boone, Floyd, Wilkesboro, Sparta, Independence, and Volney 143 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of North Carolina, including the following areas, Alleghany NC, Ashe, Surry, Watauga and Wilkes and southwest Virginia, including the following areas, Carroll, Floyd, Grayson and Patrick. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Upslope rainfall from a rather strong southeasterly Low level jet from the remnants of Isaias will bring increased precipitation along the crest of the southern Blue Ridge from Floyd county extending southwestward towards Watauga county. Widespread rainfall totals of 2-4 inches with locally higher totals in the 5-6 range will be possible, especially for areas like Meadows of Dan, Boone, and Blowing Rock. These higher totals may lead to isolated instances of landslides along slopes that have been modified by humans like embankments or cut slopes. These areas may also see increased rises on local streamflows that may lead to flooding across low-water crossings. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ EB
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...