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We’ve certainly had enough practice snow. It’s time for something legit.

It’ll def be warmer this week overall and much more comfortable compared to what we’ve been dealing with, though the only “warm” day with respect to average looks to come tomorrow. If temps manage into the 40s that’ll make for daytime highs that aren’t much more than a few degrees above average. Western and actual central probably get there but a lot of guidance suggests the Sus Valley doesn’t even get out of the 30s. Tuesday night temps will stay up and probably have more of a + departure but we’re already bleeding cold air back in by that point behind what is now mostly a dry frontal passage. Rest of the week looks like a continuation of below average temps, although much closer to normal. Then we’ll see what this weekend system does. Snow prospects look to hinge on degree of secondary development to the Mid-Atlantic coast as we will likely have a more marginal cold airmass to work with. Overnight Euro was more of a cutter hence the brief mix to rain solution. GFS and Canadian further south with the primary and has the defined secondary low (esp Canadian solution). I’m thinking high probability this isn’t a clean system (strictly snow), but also good possibility of at least front end snows. Immediately beyond that potential system this weekend we look to more significantly moderate temp-wise for a time next week. WPO is forecast to head significantly negative again in the longer term, reloading Canadian cold. Continued +EPO/-PNA in the progs may mean that focuses out west at first, I think we’ll continue to be more vulnerable to cutting systems in that timeframe (next week). We should welcome precip in any form and any kind of a more active storm pattern, because we’ve been building a pretty sizeable negative departure the last 6 months. If we get this weekends system, that would make 3 full weeks since the last significant precip maker. 90 day precip departures 180 day departures

Didn't go below this morning so it looks like yesterday's -5 will be the low for the season unless something unexpected happens. Time to start the melt now, I'm looking forward to seeing some pavement and less water ice in my driveway.

I concur

Wait that was for your neighbor. March 6 for you.

From where is this image?

arctic hounds kenneled?

First bare spot 3/14

Time to shrink the pack.

Winter has 6-8 weeks more to live. Make a few more memories before we say goodbye. Then we start partying with the inheritance

But did you see CardiB, Jessica Alba and Pedro Pascal dancing

17” yesterday

The second half of this month is going to be quite interesting. The pattern is going to become much more active, in fact, it's already making strides in that direction. Details TBD and folks can muster that up to fit their backyard mold but it certainly will not be a dull second half of the month

Think they jumped the gun on that one

At this point it’s time to transition to events happening vs a slowly dying pack.

the 6z euro is way too far north. Basically its as north as its most north ensemble member

Through the first 8 days of the month, MDT is running 12.3 degrees BN. Yahtzee. National high of 90 near Glamis, CA and low of -27 at Watertown, NY. Decent signal here from WPC for the weekend.

I didn't but my girlfriend did. I missed that Pedro Pascal, Cardi B and Ronald Acuna Jr. were on the porch in the first part of the set among the dancers when Bad Bunny was on top of the house set.

A weak area of low pressure moved WSW from NC mountains weakened but likely generated some lift over Upstate.

Still good for 2-3" for some folks

I did! I recognized him and lady Gaga before my family. Felt very hip

The show last night reminded me of spring and summer nights at my house here, with the Latino families that live on the other side of the alleys out back having a get together. Not my choice of music, but it was fun.

What’s your pack at now?

That’s just climo. There’s some Febs with 0 and some with 10. But we’re just saying what the modeling shows. It’s not a forecast based on climo. It’s some 40s and maybe (maybe not) a warmer one mixed in. It’ll be okay. It probably turns colder again toward the end of the month. Maybe not 10 days of -10 anomalies, but cold enough to snow.