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  2. Yeah I’ll take the over on a high of -5° here. Although 5-10° wouldn’t surprise me. I’d love to know what the mid level temps were for 12/29/33. The afternoon high up here was -15°. That’s like 10° colder than anything else on record up here.
  3. https://x.com/AccuRayno/status/2013290491517743459 bernie rayno buys the euro AI the most, favoring nothern solutions, says there will be 15:1 ratios
  4. This is the same dude who said hurricane Michael was only 90 MPH
  5. Ummmm, You get your girlfriend to change her birthday to Tuesday
  6. My goodness, 12z Euro Ai, CMC, GFS have the 2nd system coming into focus next wednesday.
  7. Just a bone for the NNE crew. In Canada we trust ..
  8. GFS....yeah you can laugh at that one CMC qpf distribution sounds close to euro AI??? Huhh Regardless...plenty of time for changes that will happen, for better or worse.
  9. It’s not possible, every single one of your posts are debbie downers. How could you actually be optimistic.
  10. Welllll… this may not be the only one we are tracking. Carver may need a new coffee machine for the upcoming weeks. .
  11. it’s been a while since we’ve been at 90-100% chance of greater than an inch five days out
  12. This was a great shift north on the NAEFS from 0z to 12z. I've found that the NAEFS are just as useful as some of our other ensembles because they take the CMC and GFS guidance combined. It's sorta like a North American specific grand ensemble. Just SE of I-95/Philly jumped from 0.25 to 0.5" of QPF. 0.25" extends well up towards I-80 now. Obviously jumping ahead a bit here, but for those who end up on the northern side of the precip shield and aren't smoking cirrus, you'll usually have a solid 700mb fronto band set up and can eek out additional inches that way.
  13. I am good for the season with this one system
  14. He’s a f-ing troll to own the climate libs?
  15. Frederick would perform incredibly well with that setup with that extra Blue Ridge upslope.
  16. Can you imagine being stuck in that in this kind of cold? Gotta be 6+ hours until they get traffic moving again I would think?
  17. Hopefully GFS is overdoing the warmth and rain Wed and early Thursday. Would suck to lose most of the snow. The wind has been brutal and has been decimating snow pack as it is.
  18. there are some massive hits on the euro ensembles for this wknd storm. Some 2+ feet.
  19. WGAL is sounding the alarm on social media. I guess the march is on.
  20. That was a cold Storm. Heaviest Southern Valley into North and South Carolina..broad aerial coverage. 7 inches at my house near Pennington gap then. Over a Foot southern Forum.
  21. Yikes, this is why 95 percent of the population hates snow
  22. 12z Euro might be overdoing the 2m temps a bit Would be very impressive if this verified
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