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Oh, yeah, may just be confined to the 18th LOL

Warm front will ride along I-80 as they always seem to do this time of the year.

Idk about the east, but Chicago having its earliest 7 day streak of 50°+ on record is hardly "wishcasting". Don't really care about the weather anywhere else tbh, it's been very mild (and dry, up until this past week) here since mid Feb. Besides, you'll be torching for a few days this upcoming week too, so idk why you'd be skeptical of another torch brewing later on in an even more favorable pattern for sustained warmth + later in the year with a rising sun angle.

brrr

75 for a high and some showers.

My sister lives across the street from Lake St Clair and the ice is breaking up and pushing ashore.

Parts of northern most Middlesex County reached 72 - all depended on how much sunshine you received which varied widely from town to town.

The cold has won the battles and will continue from the Midwest to northeast after this mild spell.

Not sure. It does seem like the wishcasting warmth for the east this winter has been no different than previous years when some wish casted cold. Its usually short-lived or fails. Obviously theres a warmer signal after the cold (which does not seem confined to just Mar 16-19) but ill remain very skeptical of a torch here until it is imminent. Haven't finished above avg at Detroit since Oct. Nov: -0.4° Dec: -3.6° Jan: -5.2° Feb: -0.2°

i mean particular commodities exchanges might have them (CME, etc) - but I don't think there is one on the commodity future itself.

Cover your ears, don't get pulled into that siren song that is 70s in March. Get yourself together, your melting like the Bruins with a 3-0 lead!

^Do you know if there are circuit breakers on the trading of Oil? Sometimes they will only let it go so far in a day.

Those north of the front may still not want to not park their cars outside with the higher risk for large hail with elevated storms.

This is excluding the huge rise last week, which was the largest one week rise in the history of crude futures!

Thread here:

How much further north will the warm front nudge? Still about 36-48 hours to see but looking like our first crack at some true severe for Central and N IL. Also storm initiation a slight question with the latest 00z models, specifically NAM3km.

Well I was looking at the 2' 75 miles away...plus for here it's a worse solution than for you. But anyway, doesn't matter, not gonna happen.

Oil will be $120 by midnight tonight!

Don't get me wrong, the warm temperatures are great, but we have like 8 months of almost 0 chance for meaningful snow, so if a realistic threat window for 6 plus is legit Im all in. 18z GFS was a clown run for January standards let alone mid March.

crude oil just hit $118/bbl - hope folks have bikes / scooters / EVs or their Smartrip card ready for this summer lol

Tuesday looks yikes on CAMS so far. If a storm latches onto the WF...thread worthy?

11-12” here. Been a hairdryer. CAD land doing well.

SSW should be giving us -NAO by the end of the month.. doesn't always work though, and the last few March's SSWs haven't had much of a -nao correlation. Should be interesting to see if models have it wrong though

could be from +TNH bc of the SSW?

AI Euro has done decent this winter. But get ready for plenty of model waffling this week.