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2am and it's still 91 degrees..

Oh, I am not triggered at all. I know the main clowns on YouTube and other social media. Still, practice in calling them out w/ their methods can be a entertaining at times. Also, just sharing some critical thinking skills on "how to spot pseudoscience" and the like has value for ppl on the forum,

he here

Again, it is about balance and handling skepticism in the proper way. It can get out of control very quickly, as you noted mentioning conspiracies. As for the media, scaring ppl into watching I find unethical and counterproductive in the end. That's what it is -- all about for profit. It wasn't always this way. And just b/c "that's the way it is" does not mean you just accept it and act like everything is ok and will be fine. So many being put into a semi-permanent state of fear or "flight or flee" mode is not healthy. I purposely over time has cut back (de-expose) myself to the MSM, b/c even if you are resilient, confident, and understand why things the way they are, the relentless negativity and hype is distracting and will test those even those w/ the strongest mettle. Being reminded constantly of all the problems/issues in the world, how is that good? And communicating this to others who may have trouble handling it all, that is a good thing b/c understanding it at least will help to assuage stress/anxiety.

Just got back from Ocean City. It was a nice 84 degrees. On the boardwalk, there was a nice breeze. Sometimes warm, sometimes it felt like 70 degrees. Had to wrap up on the beach at 5:30pm at 81 degrees and a stiff chilly breeze. Got back home and 86 at 1am. Wow.

Must be some bad flooding west of Chicago

Blame the wildfire smoke as to why BDL did not hit 103!

Being overly skeptical also makes people seem like crack pot conspiracy theorists. It’s necessary to think. But when all people do is whine and complain about the media, etc, eventually they come across as nuts.

"Zygote?" LOL.

That's a good point, but the door swings both ways here. Repeating lies or gross exaggerations enough, people will start believing it. This results in the bandwagon fallacy (everyone is saying it, so it *must* be true!). Being skeptical is an invaluable tool. Not enough ppl IMHO use it, or more specifically, apply/handle it in the best (most balanced) way. So we often end up w/ the false dichotomy logical fallacy, believe everything or don't believe anything. Neither is good. How one presents data is paramount. Just posting random tidbits lacking detail or sources that more and more have AI-generated slop are rife these days and deserve to be called out. If one can recognize crap/nonsense/slop better, one will make better decisions and avoid being duped/scammed/brainwashed. There is one constant and fundamental issue that that makes the warming issue very enticing politically, socially, and economically. Touting the end of the world or civilization as we know it -- can you think of anything else more urgent and absolute than that to society? So riding that narrative sells easily and instills deep psychological fear in the population. In such a state, they can be molded/manipulated better. Claims the world is going to end due to AGW fits this category, and is why high skepticism and push back exists, b/c it is not so much about the science anymore, it is more about ideology/agenda/control. Having problems in general sense, real or imagined, unfortunately has been realized and abused in recent decades that there is enormous power and profit having such. Hence, where we are today. Nothing is scaled or put into proper context/perspective anymore. It's always "the worst ever" or "it was never like this before" or some variant.

August will be a good test

The WPAC is already extremely active with TC’s for sure, but it looks like the EPAC is about to explode with TC’s. In addition to the trade wind reversal and MJO activity, this is going to cause relentless WWBs/westerlies in the weeks and months to come…and with another huge DWKW getting ready to load up, there is no more doubt at this point, this El Niño is going historic ^ “As we enter July, models anticipate the Atlantic to remain generally quiet hurricane-wise. El Niño is dominating the current and forecast conditions in the tropical Atlantic, manifesting as high shear in the Caribbean and less thunderstorm activity than normal. By contrast, the eastern Pacific is expected to spring to life, supported by the El Niño background state. Watch the continuous cyclone activity (orange blobs) in this 35-day GEFS forecast, versus the rather docile Atlantic.”

87/77 at 1am... yuck

big surprise that the 80+F lows are official in DC, Philly, and NYC. Heat index of 99F at DCA at 1am - lovely.

It's histrionic clickbait, agree 100%. I just liked the "tHiS sToRm is going to EXPLODE" headline and the heat dome thing that is what makes money. we adapt

DCA flipped to a west wind and is back to 90F.

I think these are the high temps for Thursday, but I need confirmation from someone reputable with a like. DCA 102 BWI 101 IAD 98 SBY 97 RIC 96 If correct, then current overall standings after day 2.

I believe it's 86F. Central Park is 84F.

Alright it oughta get cooler at night, right? *steps outside*

I don’t agree at all with Jeff B. implying a connection of super-Nino and the current E US heatwave. The mean temp in July (and also in summer as a whole) comes out close to normal rather than hot in the E US when averaging RONI based super strong El Niños. Hardly any were hot. 1957, 65, 72, and 97 were slightly cool. 1982 and 2015 were NN. Only 1991 was hot. That’s just 1 of the 7! That’s enough for me to say that the upcoming super-El Nino in combo with GW is not the direct cause for the current E US heatwave as Jeff said. GW, by itself, obviously favors hotter heatwaves than when the Earth was cooler. But the supposed super-El Nino piece of this, itself, correlating to E US summer heat does not compute to me at all. I also don’t at all agree with Jeff calling this one of the most expansive U.S. heatwaves. That’s simply not true. Intense in the VA to Boston corridor? Yes. But not one of the most expansive U.S. heatwaves.

Midwest thunderstorms are something else. Getting hit here in Chicago and the lightning is just constant. Tomorrow's a slight risk.

Fuzzy anvils = bad sign for storm!

They largely do not/can not or ignore it. Why let something like that interfere w/ a particular narrative or ideology? And actually accounting for it is practically impossible. Sites move, land and water areas near and around sites change, and so does equipment type, and every location has its own unique changes over time. Given only about 2% of globally land is urbanized, and there is a distinct bias having GHCN stations near or in urban areas, well, it's not rocket science to see the problem here. Here's another thing that is not generally known or mentioned. Digital thermometers run warm. This is b/c they can record instantaneous temps well, unlike analog/glass thermometers of the past. Yes, ASOS is designed to take an avg of the temp for the last 5 min, but this is not standardized w/ all sensors/sites globally. And some agencies will take instantaneous temp spikes from artificial heat sources, and call that a max temp for a day or a record if applicable, even when it is obvious something is off. Or just use a site's 1-min temp data in calculations for mean temps. This falls along the lines of "how to lie w/ statistics." There are many, many way to crunch and manipulate data, let alone pick and chose data sources, that validate this statement.

Yeah last summer we had our worst heat wave in late June with 100 degree temps for a few days, but then we didn't get another extreme heat wave like that again the rest of the summer. Very unlikely to get this type of heat wave twice in a summer, but of course you never know for sure. Anyway I had a high temp of 104. Probably gonna be the same high on Friday.

What's their all time high record low (anyone know?) Imagine if it was July 27!