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Tomer burg is somewhat interested in Sunday

I did the analysis of the 15 Jans with phase 6 during La Niña (1975-2025) Year….# phase 6 days…avg anomaly 1975…3…-8 1976…13…-9 1989…3…+8 1999…3…+2 2000…3…-4 2006…6…+3 2008…3…+8 2009…6…+1 2011…12…-7 2012…19…+1 2017…2…0 2018…3…-2 2021…8…-1 2022…4…-9 2025…2…-5 ————— 91 total days that averaged ~-2 3 MBN 3 BN 6 NN 1 AN 2 MAN BAMwx said that the phase 6 MJO/-AAM analogs had this at ~-6 to -7. So, I believe based on the above analysis that this is a good bit overdone and should be ~-2. Granted, it came in cool on average with the -2 anomaly, which to me is admittedly a bit counterintuitive. But one can see that only 6 of the 15 (40%) Jans during phase 6 were in BAMwx’s cold vicinity. Any comments? @donsutherland1@bluewave

Ya’ wind howling again.

Narcissistic disorder-- From the "top" on down-- the role modeled pathology of our times...

I remember tracking the rain/snow line on the old Accuweather radar. This storm was probably the best example I've ever seen of the saying "you have to smell the rain to get the best snows."

SWS issued by NWS. 30% chance

Reggie solid 3-5 se Mass up through BOS

ICON a little further north as well.

HRRR continues to show parts of the Eastern Shore into DC/Alexandria see snow overnight.

0z trend is north with the development. another tick or 2 and BL torches to rain here. South shore/Boston corridor on notice for higher accumulations

I’m tocking….and you hear the upstairs rocking don’t come knocking….

The Nam looks very north at the end of the run

Dolly Sods is a really rough and slow ride up, and I did it in the early Summer in a Jeep.. You might want to reconsider that one. I would stick to the valley and the Canaan Valley resort area. Plenty of good hiking around there. eta- You could hike up but I wouldn't recommend it if you aren't experienced. I cant imagine any access roads via vehicle are open in winter.

I feel your frustrations. Being a BAMA fan, the first qtr against OK I was livid. All I hear is Indiana will kill us. I was hoping UT would beat IL. My gosh the banter of people saying the SEC is overrated just got louder. Sadly college football is imploding. I feel for schools like Iowa State & OK state. They literally have 16/17 players left on their teams. The portal & $$$ are killing it quickly. Who would really want to coach college these days. It’s a 365 days job. Pros is much more easier.

Watch the 4th

Watch the 4th. Nam is amped.

Are we ticking…

that gets much of eastern SNE involved with 2-4". The NAMs snowfall algorithms are like 1-2" max.

Just watched BAM Weather video for today the 30th…guy is good. Gives some very good insight on the upcoming set up…and actually uses some real Meteorology to interpret the modeling…instead of just Modelology. Certainly one of the Better and more professional YouTube weather videos to watch. No hype.

I think my area already has 1/2" of snow tonight since 6:00 or 7:00 eastern.

Take a gander at the 00z HRW WRF-NSSL.

Maine has some upside with this..CCB development in GOM is getting more established with each cycle

Sure am Kevvie. had you said 1-2 I think we all would have agreed. Oh there it is!

48 out to Davis will be passable. You won't hit any snow at all until you make the final climb up the plateau around Bismark. You'll only be driving through maybe 15 - 20 miles of snow to Blackwater. The trucks do an OK job plowing. The worst part will be the roads inside the park.

That’s a pretty big hit for midcoast and downeast. Let’s grab 1-2” down here. Want to keep seeing that vort come in really strong. That always helps to compensate a little bit for a dry system coming in from a downslope direction. It increases the lift and tries to tug some moisture from the Atlantic.