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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There still seemed to be some Nina like influence that year though. December was mild like you would expect in a Nino but it came with Nina like tendencies which made the east very warm that month. 2014 seems like the last Nino that really had the classic summer to winter progression IMO. -
i'm with kev on this, you don't want to rely on irrigation to get the fert into the soil - you want actual rain, more than a 1/4 inch. that's a lot of water, and relying on a well in a steiny pattern is risky
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
One thing is for sure, the STJ is going to be on roids. The PMM has gone severely positive. Combine that with a strong/super El Niño and watch out -
Looking at some initial signs for next winter JAMSTEC April update includes first DEC-FEB forecast.
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beer?
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We get bowing segment remnants from nw il and s wi sups
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Snow in May...? May see some flakes early next week. I have no desire for A/C weather. Have not turned it on yet, but may need to this week. The polar vortex split attempt (wave-2) that occurred back in early Feb will significantly impact our large-scale wx pattern in late Apr & May as the circulation & temperature anomalies from it propagate into the troposphere, leading to increased high-latitude blocking (-NAO/-AO) https://x.com/webberweather/status/2042246921671336290?
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Another thing to consider is the dry ground almost coast to coast. May add some warmth to those numbers unless it turns wet. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
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Ya cuz water from your well/reservoir, and water from the sky are different…? It’ll due in a pinch... put the stuff down.
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news to me
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That doesn’t water in fertilizer .
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Do you own a hose or sprinkler?
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With how warm it has been since early March, I'm surprised there were still spots that hadn't reached 80 yet this year. My first 80 was March 10. While a Greenland block means cold May, I highly doubt a -2 to -4 monthly temperature is going to verify. Keep in mind, May 2023 came in at -1.5 and June 2023 at -2.6 at PHL, compared to 1981-2020 normals. We haven't seen that cold at that time of the season since 1985. If this verifies, it would be the coldest at this time of the season in over 4 decades. Probably not going to happen.
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80 here
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Thanks guys! Both of those are great.
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2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not so sure about that. 2015 was a warm summer and especially fall, and there was no nina or -PDO influence. If anything, that was a solid +PDO year. -
Feeling more like a Chicago split right now but will see
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Approaching 80. July in April.
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EPAWA weather outlook for May
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* All time April record at MSP was broken in 2018 with 15.8” during the 4/13-16 blizzard. Brilliant blue skis and bright sun also appeared the next morning.
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Just too nervous about getting Steined to drop the fert. Certainly can see how it may storm this week, but can easily be total Stein too . Wringing of hands
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This is more for Wednesday but wild differences between guidance at BOS for tomorrow 6z MAV: 65 0z MET: 57 9z high then dropping 7z NBM: 69 I was actually expecting the 13z NBM to tame down at BOS but nope...came in at 71 . Been that seems wayyyy too high. Highest 3hr value anyways is 64 which still might be a bit high...though BOS might have a chance to climb before the E winds kick in
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Morning rain is dying off fast, has a feeling it's gonna be one of those days
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Yeah I doubt much makes it into that green shaded area
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I feel like a cool summer and fall would be an indication that this Nino could be more Nino like. A warm summer and or fall to me indicates there’s still some Nina/-PDO influence.
