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It's okay - I've heard through the grapevine the Navy model was a bomb

I saw a ladybug in the backyard today. Just amazing, some of the insects are reappearing already. They're in for a rude awakening next week.

Yes and no. It'll get better again before it gets worse.

Based on the off hour run waffling, 18z probably comes back to a degree I’m guessing

Bluebird at sugarloaf Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Nice to melt the ice so we can get the full lake-effect back. Sunday night into Monday looks interesting locally.

I’m not saying the storm is going to hit at all. But a big hit is still on the table. Are you guys delusional or lack the of memory of the euro having how many fantasy blizzards in the 4 to 8 day range this season to not even come close to verifying when other models had no interest. The EPS is a joke as well come on guys. How many head fakes did we have with the EPS this season showing big hits to not even see a damn flake

I wasn't expecting anything so this is a win!

Plenty of time for it to get worse

Leads me to believe the opp run was a one off. Still plenty of time though.

Don’t forget to show us a screen shot of the median

They stink. Next

There are no trends

We’ve gotten snow but from storms that typically don’t favor us like the super SWFE on 1/25 and the clippers. Our bigger ticket storm types have failed just like last winter and ever since Jan 2022. We lucked out for once getting non-coastal storm snow.

Its been trash but it has the eps and gefs on the side. Still a very delicate situation.

It's still ~5 days out. Still plenty of time for trends, as Mr. Sey-Mour alluded to. Would ease my if the EPS improves.

Still not totally dead but I'm starting to be ready for spring! 90% reaped. We need the reaper back @WxWatcher007

Gefs also

Canadian ensembles fwiw

Took about an inch off the median. I'd guess this is all shot a scattershot of the IVT

Light snow huge flakes!

Based on what the Euro shows and overall trends I'll guess 70% whiff and 30% advisory level as of now. Subject to change of course but the trends seem fairly obvious IMO.

The coldest spot in the mesonet today is the Kent Island station with a NE sea-breeze.

The OP euro is one thing, but the eps not even having slight interest should concern everyone

it be really nice if they told us just once why models waffle from 1 run to the next