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This coming high amplitude MJO push into the PAC as we go into late month, coupled with an ERW is going to cause another massive WWB and a continued strengthening of this El Niño into June. A super El Niño is inevitable at this point and very likely a top 3 super event

F the heat! It’s why I left Texas.

Finally ... a chart that agrees with your sentiment from earlier - nice !

I've been posting a lot in the Sports threads. I've kept pretty quiet here as I realize that what I want is a lot different than most of you now that the winter crowd has left. I don't want to bring the group down by posting how great I feel every day it's cloudy, cool and damp or just cooler than normal. The older I get the more I despise the heat. It is the only reason my wife and I continue to live in PA. Otherwise we'd be living on the gulf coast of Florida.

0.3", feels like I need to build an Ark to handle so much rain.

Good agreement now

Yeah I know I’ve seen like 3-6” overnight without the ASOS going below 2sm -SN in deep snow growth layer orographic snows. Big arms of dendrites hooking together. Honestly the late January storm yielded like 10” overnight of mid-level fluff at like 1.5”/hr in 3/4sm visibility. Meanwhile the flip side is you get the SWFE poor snow growth needles in a 6-hr QPF dump and struggling to 1.2”/hr snowfall but at M1/4, ha.

So is the cold pool off our coast a result of this past seasonably cold winter, of more of a stronger Labrador current? Or perhaps upwelling?

Goes either way ... I've seen it snow 30 straight hours at 3/4-1.5sm -S and end up with 3" of cobwebs you could move with the broom. Does that a lot around the Lakes in very frigid air...etc. I've also see that analysis be 6" overnight. Heh, it would be funny if not actually more practical to have qualifiers rmks in there like "3/4-1.5sm -S meaningless mood", or "3/4-1.5sm -S Ineedsnow trigger flake size", or "3/4-1.5sm -S; 30 hr tortoise event" etc

Just got home, .45 in the bucket! I feel like I just won MegaMillions!

WB 12Z EURO for midweek rain.

WGAL report on crop damage due to freeze.... https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1349543337094583

WB 12Z 3K NAM for tomorrow am.

Gnarly line coming through Jacksonville, NC

56F and overcast not a bad day for late March oh wait

The 3/4-1.5sm -SN is probably one of the more over-stated weather obs by all. I mean, it can be 1”/hr though too with even decent snow growth at 3/4-1sm. So sometimes hard to fault folks. I will say if any of us started seeing 1.5sm vis -SN right now we’d say it was ripping out, lol. When you haven’t seen snow in a while, a mile and a half is a steady snowfall.

We got 1/2” last night. That’s better than nothing. Just enough to keep everything slightly green & surviving.

Maybe we can try sneaking in an EML ~next Tuesday

Had to move the decimal point one spot over to the left after yesterday's "rain"...0.02". Wasn't this supposed to be our "wet period"? Man, drought guy's head is going to explode. On a positive note, May is the last full month we add daylight. Patience!

I've been reading up on some old time weather events around this area. Anyone know where I can get some more information regarding the August 22, 1915 Hanover tornado? Seems like it was probably part of line, and was more likely than not high end EF-2/low end EF-3 that went straight through downtown. Apparently gloves from the glove factory were found many many miles away. I pulled up the reanalysis maps and it was definitely a high shear low cape. Seemed like Harrisburg area got firehosed picking up 4"-5" of rain Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I honestly want it to be warm and humid for the next 6 months. I’m so over the weather we’ve had since the pattern flip last September. It’s cloudy 4-5 days a week with very little to show for it. Let’s get swamp weather and rebuild the water table.

Picked up 0.24" of rain. Nowhere near enough, but we'll take it!

I know when to get excited. I definitely would not say ripping at S-.....but Ineedsnow will.

Same down here. Sucks.