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Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
The edges but mainly 4-6"+ lawns otherwise and shopping center parking lots mounds 7-10'+ mounds.... -
The steadiest global model wrt snow over the last several runs has been the ICON. The 18z NAM looks about the same.
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57 for a high. Full sun exposed surfaces are wrecked. Anything protected from the sun is still full coverage of 3-4". That top layer of sleet proved beneficial with respect to helping with snow retention.
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Your winter ended 4 weeks ago.
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Nam nailed precip type for end of Jan storm as well as Dec 26th storm.
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Nams sucked, Long range Hrrr sucked. No suprise.
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About 10,000 years ago there was a wall of ice 2 miles high starting in central pennsylvania to the arctic. . Wrap your head around that, i can’t, and 10,000 years was not that long ago. Major climate change happens, and we know it is cyclical. it happens over and over..we are discussing and angsting over what amounts to noise…and it is natural noise…there is no “correct climate” it is always undergoing immense change, and it can’t be stopped,…anymore that you can stop the wind…. i hope it snows a lot. it can be so relaxing if you don’t have to work in it. But mother nature is going to do what it wants to do… i enjoy lurking here, have been since Wright……but it surprises me always that these discussions take place with no acknowlegement of the grand tapestry of real climate change that happens naturally.
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Hopefully not
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They get worse every year
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This is true of the cause of the warming. But a discussion of the effects of the warming on snowfall does not have to include that unless someone just wants to be belligerent. it’s ~2f warmer now than 1970. 3f since 1950. Those are facts. We don’t need to bring what’s causing it into it. A discussion regarding how it’s impacting our snow doesn’t require us to agree on why it’s warmer just the reality that it is. And anyone who is going to be belligerent enough to deny it’s warmer, as if thermometers are subjective, well if someone came in here and said we can’t discuss precipitation because liquid isn’t real we wouldn’t listen or let them alter our behavior. I choose to treat anyone who wants to act crazy and pretend it’s not warmer the same way. I don’t alter my behavior to placate crazy people. Again this isn’t about why it’s warmer. Snowstorms don’t care why! This is just about the effects of that undeniable factual warming!
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Well let's hope Raleigh climo is still a few decades away...I'm not ready for 55⁰ to be normal in the winter, lol Although...shoot: If that happens the suppression shouldn't be a problem anymore! We oughta be able to get a blizzard the way NC did in that scenario, right? Or the dang December 2018 storm oughta be able to get up here instead of there!
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Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
MGorse replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
49 here currently. Some spotty grass showing now but still impressed with the snow cover hanging on. -
Per ecmwf (not WxBell): Today’s Bleaklies are, indeed, on the bleak side for Mar in most of the E US though NE is NN.
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Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
TSSN+ replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Been snowy most of winter. Where’s the snow? -
Sure. When everything is big cold, big snow, big ice….a blind squirrel sometimes finds a nut.
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models playing game with us
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For you maybe.. monmouth county looks to be in a decent spot .
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Is we back? February discussion thread
Damage In Tolland replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
I’ve had several damaging ice events since moving to this hill in 2005 -
Is we back? February discussion thread
Damage In Tolland replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
But some here knew it wouldn’t be New England -
Presidents' day Snow potential
sussexcountyobs replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
This may become another "It's not coming " thread -
It’s gonna torch to about NYC so I’d say that’s a pretty good forecast by models. They aren’t gonna nail a boundary to within 50 miles 2 weeks out. Conus is torched.
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Could be warmer I think depending on front location.
