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The temperature will top out in the middle and upper 60s tomorrow. t will turn noticeably warmer during the weekend. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 80° on Saturday and especially Sunday. The warmth will likely continue through the middle of next week. Temperatures could rise into the upper 80s and perhaps the lower 90s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Wednesday will likely be the hottest day so far this year. Thursday will still be warm. Afterward, it will turn much cooler. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C. El Niño conditions are rapidly developing and will likely be in place in the next few weeks. The SOI was -15.45 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.456 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 60% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.7° (0.5° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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- Yesterday
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Ooh, that smell Can't you smell that smell? Ooh, that smell The smell of rain that surrounds you
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I imagine him in the freezer playing with the freezer burn and saying “we take” all night.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Was mowing for 2hrs. On the riding mower this afternoon. I got cold out there. It felt like I was mowing in November with a temp of 53. Then got a surprise rain shower which put down .02 rain. Have to finish mowing tomorrow since the grass got all wet. -
Nice! Sit in the cooler and wander over to the beer section by accident.
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44 here now after a bone chilling, for end of Spring, 48 for the high today with wind chills frequently dipping down into the 30's. Summernista's had a tough spring (despite a few very warm days) and summer is only 2 weeks away now but they can fancy the next 4-6 days.
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.22 in S Wey
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This evening it was warm (mid to low 80s), but dewpoints were only in the upper 30s, something sometimes hardly seen in an entire May in this area. So, that along with a decent breeze meant enjoyable walking vs what’s typical for mid May. It was 100% sunny.
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chilly and breezy behind the front innit
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Ammonoosuc up to Alex’s patio?
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good thing I work in stores with a/c
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Hopefully water rescues in the white mtns tonight after everyone crying about drought there.
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Bimodal distribution alert. Too gloomy today…I’ll take 90 and sunny over this. We get enough of these days from November thru March.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The subsurface continues to boil…. The cold-biased CDAS for daily Nino 3.4 SSTs: -
The usual warm spots will be 95+ next Tuesday. That's unusual for mid-late May! Most max record highs for our area in the month of May are between 95-99 degrees.
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SNE got Skyrizi'd. Nothing is everyyythinnngg ohhh oh
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Dews4daze in Templeton?
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Lol. 4 inches in 2 hours. That was a week ago, and everything is dry as a bone again.
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Soda bottles exploding from the heat all over employees.
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Hopefully relentless heat and dews at all Pepsi plants this summer.
