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This is the first time since 1989. But now we are getting the typical moderation which has become a repeating pattern every year as we approach the 17th to 25th period. Dec 89 stayed cold through the end of the month before its moderation for all of January and February. Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - December 1989 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1012 573 - - 1215 0 0.75 0.5 - Average 32.6 18.5 25.6 -12.4 - - - - 0.0 Normal 44.8 31.2 38.0 - 837 0 4.14 5.4 1989-12-01 35 22 28.5 -13.5 36 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-02 47 18 32.5 -9.2 32 0 T T 0 1989-12-03 38 19 28.5 -12.9 36 0 T T 0 1989-12-04 29 15 22.0 -19.2 43 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-05 32 24 28.0 -12.9 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-06 47 27 37.0 -3.6 28 0 0.02 0.0 0 1989-12-07 43 22 32.5 -7.8 32 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-08 26 22 24.0 -16.0 41 0 0.01 0.1 0 1989-12-09 30 18 24.0 -15.7 41 0 0.00 0.0 T 1989-12-10 35 22 28.5 -11.0 36 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-11 40 29 34.5 -4.7 30 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-12 35 30 32.5 -6.4 32 0 T T 0 1989-12-13 32 22 27.0 -11.6 38 0 T T T 1989-12-14 31 15 23.0 -15.4 42 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-15 41 19 30.0 -8.1 35 0 0.10 T 0 1989-12-16 37 19 28.0 -9.9 37 0 T T 0 1989-12-17 33 17 25.0 -12.6 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-18 29 15 22.0 -15.4 43 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-19 27 16 21.5 -15.6 43 0 T T 0 1989-12-20 33 19 26.0 -10.9 39 0 T T T 1989-12-21 23 12 17.5 -19.1 47 0 T T T 1989-12-22 20 7 13.5 -22.9 51 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-23 22 7 14.5 -21.7 50 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-24 21 8 14.5 -21.4 50 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-25 26 12 19.0 -16.7 46 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-26 34 13 23.5 -12.0 41 0 T T 0 1989-12-27 21 8 14.5 -20.8 50 0 T T 0 1989-12-28 37 19 28.0 -7.1 37 0 T T T 1989-12-29 33 23 28.0 -6.9 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 1989-12-30 30 25 27.5 -7.2 37 0 0.14 0.4 T 1989-12-31 45 29 37.0 2.5 28 0 0.48 0.0 T

Another cold morning out this way; 18 currently. With a dusting of snow it looks like early winter.

All my years in Loudoun have taught me one thing...this place isn't a clipper county

MJO is very weak and should have negligible effects

This is definitely a NE MD PUMMELED Event. That’s where the max will be.

Southern end precip getting cut back as models home in on clipper transfer and coastal pop. Trend has been drier for DC south along 95 but if I get a dusting to 1” I’ll take it and quietly wish it was more

Last minute amplified trends that usually screw us could work in our favor

I live in the UWS and there were a few events which I measured at or above 4 inches in the past several years. They just don't know how to measure.

probably warning snow on south coast with that look All other guidance is like .1 to .2" qpf while euro is double that .. With ratios thats the difference between a fluffy 1-3" on most guidance .. While euro is widespread 2-4" up to 6" with the ratios in southern CT.. I'd assume there'd be a few hours of a legit band with that look.. But 6z EURO is tossed until it gets support. I'm all for it .. but I just don't believe it , if 12z amps back up then I'll entertain

White Christmas?

Central Park record may still stand which is incredible given literally all other areas have had a 4 inch snowfall in that time frame lol.

No need to show your age!

Double EE rule and let it ride

Its only a couple of tenths I mean why not. Let's ratio the shit out of this POS

Merry Christmas you old GRINCH

It's ridiculous, best euro run in several cycles , we just got euro 6zd - it's equivalent to the nam extra 33% qpf theory

There's my inch or 2.

Gfs is still in its own world. Even the AI gfs is with the other models.

AI Euro and Euro give NYC 2-4 inches. Nice little bump up.

1.0" of pure fluff here overnight. Where did that come from? Hopefully we can pull something out of thin air again tomorrow. 1-2" is probably the top end, but with temps in the single digits, well, arctic appeal for sure.

The 6z RGEM brings a widespread 1 to 3 to 3 to the LSV.

Change the track man. Put that needle in another groove.

35% seems too generous. .