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  2. Under that band of rain setting up over Dulles. Thinking the higher reflectivity is melting snow aloft so hopefully can cool down to the surface
  3. Clark, NJ. Switch over occurred about 5 minutes ago.
  4. Global are useless at this point
  5. Light to occasionally moderate snow...no accumulation.
  6. North and west posters are on the bubble but that’s to be expected. This is largely a coastal event for maximum impacts
  7. Cut back a bit from 9z but still 12-18 through CT
  8. GFS seemed faster and kept the best rates over the Cape and extreme SE areas.
  9. Inside baseball: NYC will be closing schools. No remote day.
  10. Leave it to the GFS to shit the bed at the last minute when it counts.
  11. who can explain why most of the models are shifting east with totals all of a sudden - what is it being caused by ? I can't figure it out - could it be any mixing issues or dry slots ?
  12. Thanks for posting this. It seems the 3km NAM is always aggressive with precipitation and development, especially on leading edge of approaching weather systems and out ahead of fronts. I am guessing this is part of its scheme where it just develops precipitation too quickly? I can think of the terminology here but I did a module on MetEd last summer that went into this.
  13. Basically what ittrainingtime said. It’s been constant.
  14. The radar looks good. Bands of snow back to Central PA. I still think there will be widespread totals of 18-24” and someone will crack 30”. NWS agrees.
  15. I know it's far from over. But might as well stick this in here. Maybe the storm will surprise some of us.
  16. lets try to be positive here .. HREF still showing big rates 12z tmrw morning
  17. I was just down at ACY and it did have that "tropical" feel to it with the low clouds speeding in from the east.
  18. 35.6 and rain with large flakes mixing in now near Lothian, MD
  19. U-S-A U-S-A!!!!!! Unbelievable finish! It’s because I woke up at 5 am and watched miracle this morning
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