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I’m with snowman on the MC convection idea. It’s been at near 0 since the summer, not sure why we would expect it to fire up again this winter. Will it be absolute 0? probably not due to the MJO, but it’ll be heavily suppressed just like phase 8 is during La Niña.

Low of 33 here but should be a beautiful day. Having a fire pit here all day before settling in for the Green Bay Dallas game tonight.

Only bottomed out to 48 this morning, guessing because of the wind. This wind has been consistent with 25MPH gusts since Friday night. Hopefully they subside today, so outdoor activities can be enjoyed. Haven't felt air this crisp since April.

26 at mi casa, BAF and CEF.

34

Forecast was 27 and hit 26.8. Nicely done.

It would not surprise me at all to see forcing in 1+2 this winter. The SSTs are going to be more than warm enough to support convection….way warmer than 1997-98 actually. This thing is east-based as they come

In the area I see several stations hit freezing or slightly below. I was a warm spot at 36.

25.9, we hard freeze. That’s a wrap on whatever stuff was left

Bottomed out at 28.8 at Pit2. Looks like 35.8 in Mattapoisett.

About as beautiful and comfortable a full late Oct week as is possible for outdoor activities is in the cards this week for a large portion of the SE away from E NC with lots of sunshine, high temps in the 60s-70s, mainly 15 mph or lower winds after today, and dewpoints down in the 30s-40s. We can thank persistent mainly N to NE winds resulting from three sprawling areas of Canadian high pressure centered to our NE, helped by persistent low pressure offshore the E coast especially the first half of this week. Enjoy it while you can, especially with the amount of rainfall expected Nov-March due to the very strong Nino.

Worcester couldn't even make freezing last night. 26 already 35 though. Still air leaf fall flitting through the lateral morning sun rays... always a neat effect.

I agree that the models are probably too cool. In terms of winter prospects, what are your early thoughts? I agree with you that it will be warm, but some of the guidance is indicating that the AN precip anomalies will get pretty far north. So I am thinking it will be more of an interior winter.

Looks like EWR with a few 4 * 79 degree readings will hold second place tied with 2024, with not much likelihood of more 80s with the ridge going up north and west of us next week. Year Rank Days ≥ 80°F 2015 1 118 2026 2 117 2024 2 117 2021 3 116 1994 4 114 2016 5 113 1993 5 113 1991 5 113 2011 6 111 2010 6 111 2023 7 110 2022 8 109 1959 9 108

28° for a low here

Driving around Columbia and Ellicott city and patchy frost on rooftops and some grassy areas. Probably also on grassy cartops @paulythegun

NWS indicates some bigger spots, such as Winchester, Cumberland and Martinsburg all got below freezing.

Same here wrt the frost.

What area are you moving to? I left Calvert for Germantown when I got a DC based job and it paid off in quite a few winters. One time I had 8 inches on the ground and got off the train at Union Station to bare ground and rain. Now I'm back in Calvert for family and space LOL Got to 40 here. I'm hoping to keep my flowering plants a few weeks longer

28° for a low here

I figured they'd be -18 this morning. Meh Managed to hit 39 this morning!

Down to 36 inside the beltway here, maybe a degree or two lower in open spots? Pretty cool for mid October in these parts, I was surprised to see us that far into the 30s. Of course, other than tonight and tomorrow am, doesn't look like I'll see 30s again anytime soon lol. With the recent rain I'm hoping for a brilliant color foliage season.

29.5° will do it for the low this morning

Records: Highs: EWR: 85 (2016) NYC: 82 (1928) LGA: 82 (2016) JFK: 77 (1964) Lows: EWR: 32 (1982) NYC: 35 (1974) LGA: 35 (1939) JFK: 37 (1978) HIstorical: 1906 - A hurricane struck South Florida drowning 124 persons stranded in the Florida Keys. (David Ludlum) 1910 - Northeasterly winds as high as 70 mph (from a hurricane moving northward up the Florida peninsula) carried water out of Tampa Bay and the Hillsboro River. The water level lowered to nine feet below mean low water. Forty ships were grounded. (The Weather Channel) 1916: A tropical depression organized to a tropical storm on October 11 in the western Caribbean. It moved westward, reaching hurricane strength on the 13th before hitting the Yucatán Peninsula on the 15th as a 110 mph hurricane. It weakened over land, and it emerged over the southern Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. It quickly re-strengthened to a Category 3 hurricane, hitting Pensacola on October 18. The maximum wind velocity at Mobile was 115 mph from the east at 8:25 am. Pensacola had winds of 120 mph at 10:13 am when the wind instrument tower was blown down. 1930 - A big early season lake effect snowburst on the lee shores of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario produced 47 inches at Governeur NY and 48 inches just south of Buffalo. (David Ludlum) 1948: Birmingham, AL had its earliest freeze. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1984: Heavy snow began falling late on the 17th at Salt Lake City, UT and by the time it ended on this date, 18.4 inches had piled up to set a new all-time 24 hour snowfall record. 40 inches of snow fell at Alta in the Wasatch Range. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1987 - Thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced golf ball size hail at Atlanta, along with wind gusts to 86 mph, and four inches of rain. Damage from the storm was estimated at more than a million dollars. Sunny and mild weather continued across much of the rest of the nation. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Red Bluff CA with a reading of 96 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Unseasonably cold air began to invade the central and eastern U.S. Light snow fell across northern Maine, and snow was also reported in the Great Lakes Region, including the Chicago area. Bismarck ND was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 9 degrees above zero. Five cities in Florida reported record high readings for the date, as temperatures warmed above 80 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - With the formation of Hurricane Wilma, the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season tied the record for the most named storms for any season (21 storms in 1933), and also tied the record for the most hurricanes in a single season (12 in 1969). Wilma peaked at category-5 intensity on the 19th, with a minimum central pressure falling to 882 millibars (26.05 inches of mercury), the lowest pressure ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin. Wilma also became the most rapidly-intensifying storm on record, with a maximum-sustained surface wind speed increase of 105 mph in a 24-hour period. 1991: Nearly four inches of snow fell at Rochester, NY, the largest snowfall ever recorded so early in the season there. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1994: Massive flooding came to a close in southeast Texas. Up to 20 inches of rain fell over a widespread area. The maximum amount recorded was over thirty inches at Liberty Texas. 18 people were killed. 13,000 people had to flee their homes and 22,000 homes were damaged or destroyed. Total damage: $900 million. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 2005: Hurricane Wilma developed a tiny, well-defined eye and began intensifying rapidly, reaching Category 5 strength with a record-setting pressure of 882 millibars by October 19. The rapid intensification from a tropical storm to Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours was the fastest ever recorded in the Atlantic Ocean, and the second-fastest worldwide, after Super Typhoon Forrest.

25.8 felt great!