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The sailing thru winter solstice boats at Carroll Creek are gonna look pretty cool after this event.

Below freezing?

Glad Mt Holly lowered the totals back to a likelier range, the storm is just too amped and on an awkward track for Central / South Central NJ to properly cash in. I’m hoping this breaks positive for the city proper, they deserve it hardcore right now. Northern crew, enjoy what is hopefully a kickass storm! I’ll be around in the storm thread with updates from my location, later guys.

I don’t know what to say. It’s going to be a glacier on Monday. It’s not like we are interior Maine climo. We mix. It happens a LOT.

Can a brother get a NNE map? Tia

31 degrees here, 71% humidity, dewpoint 22. Light to moderate snowfall with a small amount of mix.

Just enough to give the metros hopium

12z GEFS

Mike Masco is also doubting that the Nam is right with the warming being too fast.

Yeah loaded with sleet

McCarthy….

It’ll nudge south and colder. I’d put money on it…but I won’t because I actually really don’t know.

Hes very intelligent

Stopped by a dispensary yesterday. when it comes to an impending snowstorm, dispensaries tell the supermarkets to hold my beer.

Curious... how long will it take to moistene the atmosphere?

The NAM is prone to very large run to run swings, even in the short term and it usually overdoes everything which leads to wild solutions at times. I can think of only one event where it was very different from the consensus and ended up being right. Very few mets use it to make a forecast. It’s primarily fun to look at. It does have its usefulness but I certainly wouldn’t favor it over other guidance.

Wrong thread

If anyone is looking for a good, free national radar I like this: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=continental-conus-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

After this non-storm I can safely say I have everything I need for the foreseeable future. Next event, grocery store, gas and dog food, that's it. If anything, this forced me to change the oil in the generators. So there's that.

It’s because of the encroachment of mixing.

This page seems to discuss how NWS offices/mets are to create operational snowfall forecasts, and how not to, based on model output: https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/forecast-guide/nwp-snow-accumulation-products

Looks like Holly is sticking with their last call as their final map the time stamp changed.

I actually tried to get to work in that one and get home. Didn't make it. Ended up in a hotel for two days. The February 4 and 9th storms brought so much snow between the two that I got two paid days off from work because Palmyra borough had no idea how to scoop up all the snow and where to put it. In retrospect, I have a few ideas where they could have placed it.

It will miss to the south and east!