All Activity

38 Pgs. not bad

But how much of the precip is actually from the SLP along the coast? My understanding is the vast majority of what we are getting is associated with the 700mb low and the 5h energy. In general I do agree this is a fickle setup and one that I'm still skeptical of.

WFMY Graf: https://x.com/timbuckleywx/status/2016637472973717774?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g

This guy talking melting lol

They don't dig the upper low as far west as the other models. You want the upper low to dig into Mississippi/Bama then go negative tilt south of Atlanta.

I don’t hate it, if I have it I enjoy it.

Given the trend they'll probably lose it tomorrow.

Turnaround Thursday tomorrow

No way, I have a pack fetish

.

Where have the clippers gone? I feel like in the early 2000s they happened almost every winter? Now in recent years we need a perfect situation to snow and even then it is a struggle. If its been northern stream dominated years, why haven't we had any clippers dive down in that northern stream? Maybe someone with more knowledge can provide some ideas.

I'm nervous about this one

I lol at it, The other cope mechanism is if we’re gonna have bare ground, Then it should be a lot warmer.

Boom: In summary-- ensembles are beginning to identify the floor of this winter storm (disruptive winter storm in the southern Mid-Atlantic) but based on some of the analogs, there is a potentially more significant-ceiling that could be achieved in the Carolinas should guidance consolidate on a slower and more intense winter storm.

I've noticed a lack of snow coverage for N GA on the Euro and GFS compared to the Canadian models. I know the NAM has a moisture and humidity bias, so it's a bit worrying to me that the Canadian models have a larger precip shield than even the NAM. Not sure if ATL will cash in at all...

Sigh. Not the trends I hoped to see tonight

Yah, we'll see what 00z has to say about all this

Ok, everyone throw in the towel

Is the precipitation hole over Pickens County and western Greenville County a result of downsloping from the mountains into the piedmont?

I'm a big fan of not talking about things which don't fit my agenda and screw me over. Good move! I'm all for this... 15F @ 5:20pm Predicted low: I guess I'll have to cancel my overnight outdoor activities...

dont look at 18z models they are trash stale data

TBLIZZ SAVE A HORSE

I'm never looking at the GFS again, until the 276hr blizzard shows up on tomorrow's 18z run.

After trashing it and saying “ it isn’t what it used to be”

Yea right it's all a bunch of baloney. Who would want to look at brown sticks and grass at 10⁰