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IMO things ar confusing right now - did these online and tV Mets actually fully explain why the pattern is unfavorable ? Don memtioned the -pna/ao was favorable last night

omg it's 5 days out and we didn't lose the storm! Jeez you guys act like babies sometimes. Let it play out

I think this is either gone or established as a likely impact by this time Thursday. There should be a solid move towards one idea or another by then

1-3” for you at 1,000ft. Could see a sharp gradient from hilltop to like 300ft too. Like half inch slush at bottom vs 2.2” paste up at your spot. But man those thermals are tight. I’d toss 10:1 maps far and wide in this… what do the positive snow depth maps look like?

You have 18z Euro maps?

The Euro Ai is a wobble away from where it was earlier. Tons of potential with this system, some beautiful classic off hour model quite meltdowns happening. Somethings never change. .

In light of the other operational models having a storm along with both AI's, I don't believe the Euro is that much better in light of the fails it's had over recent years. JI, or anyone else, can run into a corner, crawl up into a ball, and rock back and forth incessantly if he/she wants, but there's going to be a storm. And it will drop 10"+ somewhere, exact location tbd imho.

We’re about to see another slow torturous trend of a miss huh? Haha

It's down to 34 already!

Good call earlier.

AIFS median was a horrific drop, though. Won’t post since there are minors but DCA went from a median of like 5.5” down to 2”

Counted about 21 members at 18Z with accumulation v. 9 members at 12Z.

One reason why the ECMWF may be off on its own, it may not being handling (or handling better?) the Wed and Fri events. A lot IMHO hinges on how those impact things upstream and downstream. This is not a your typical calm pre-storm environment. It's a bit "crowded" aloft as to s/w. Subtle differences can magnify greatly as to details in 4-5 days.

majority of ensemble members have yet to fully support the OPS - except maybe an AI ensemble which is not a proven in the long term to be accurate yet - so they never actually lost the storm

If that 10PM observation for tonight comes to pass, it would be so epic to be there!

Told y'all something was brewing lol

Words of wisdom!

It’s rare for sure. Can you squeeze out a love song for us? Faithfully by Journey maybe ?

The water treatment plant on 295. Nice and smelly.

Can we get that tucked inside the elbow? Asking for a friend.

New maximum daily rainfall records were set at DFW and Lubbock over the weekend, also. Both (old) records are from 2017.

Which snowman here is obsessed with wind events? This could be your storm

1. Which Major Players are NOT showing it? 2. How many times has the GFS or Euro shown a Major Storm almost exactly the same way for 8 tim’s in a row? I can’t Believe the negativity on this thing. The only fun here is Kevin and I are on the same page for Once.