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  2. Kmlwx
    We will see new tiers of percentages. Remember they now have even higher percentages for wind to account for those days when it's widespread and almost certain - but the max intensity is like 58-65mph. I think 60% wind outlooks will become a lot more common with this new outlook strategy.
  3. KakashiHatake2000
    I’m in the middle Tennessee area East of i65 .
  4. dendrite
    Nam would be a lot of 50-60+.
  5. yoda
    Which using the new tables, means CIG 1 60 or CIG 2 45
  6. MJO812
    Defintely Would be awesome
  7. Eskimo Joe
    That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.
  8. yoda
    I'd think so as well, but wouldn't be surprised if they go mod for wind in the morning update.
  9. cmillzz
    Chicago hit 87, just one degree off the all-time monthly record. Can also guarantee that isn’t happening either, but another string of 60s and 70s would be nice.
  10. Kmlwx
    Downgrade to marginal lol
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Afternoon, IMO.
  12. KChuck
    Wife and I went up to the flower and pottery outlet off of I77 in Fancy Gap, Va this afternoon. There was still a slight covering of snow lying in the shady areas of the entrance road on the way in. It's waiting on the next batch to arrive, per the old wives tale.
  13. yoda
    Question is will it be the morning or the afternoon day 2 lol
  14. Yardstickgozinya
    My best buddy is sending me some pretty insane pictures and videos of flooding and mudslides on Maui that are still in progress . According to him there's still plenty more to come. He was out taking pictures and shooting video, but unfortunately, he's now in the process of trying to save his gym. Those cars are actually floating down the street in that video snapshot.
  15. Freezing Drizzle
    Some nice places for you to re-locate, Metsy!
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Yea were probably going to get a 2 MOD. Classic kiss of death.
  17. WinterWolf
    They’re even Worse.
  18. Baum
    If only
  19. Imneversatisfied
    Will someone please post the 18z FRAM?
  20. neatlburbwthrguy
    Any snow coming to north Georgia Monday afternoon?
  21. roardog
    Didn’t it get up to something like 90 degrees or close to it in Traverse City in March 2012? There’s not many guarantees in weather but I can guarantee Traverse City isn’t getting that warm this month.
  22. GBOVolz
    FYI… I ate lunch with Mike Witcher and Anthony Cavallucc. We had some great conversations and it was really cool. I got to learn a lot of stuff that I didn’t know about the weather and just how everything works at MRX. I’m not sure if this is common knowledge and I haven’t heard this but apparently the WPC is going to take over the forecast duties for all of the local NWS stations. I think he said they already do the 4 to 8 day forecast and MRX does the 1-3 day forecast. .
  23. jm1220
    Too high up here but it's impossible to predict in advance where the best banding sets up. The RGEM maybe showed it best with the western snow max then second one over eastern LI. You have the western band with high ratios then the second max with the highest QPF and semi-shaft zone in between in most storms like these.
  24. yoda
    You beat me to my edit lol. I only went by the main page which showed mdt https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/
  25. Nomz
  26. yoda
    There was a high risk that day in NC... mod risk was south of the LWX CWA looks like https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20110416
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