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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I'm a shorts and t-shirt in winter kind of person. However, you are a special case. lol -
.91 “ Got under some heavy little cells .
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Exactly a half inch here too, and still a steady light to moderate rain falling. Should end in the next hour. Much needed.
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Happy Easter IMG_20260405_152204.heic
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Hope you get stung by a jelly fish you insensitive bastard!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
From our great friend DT: Each new recycle of the monthly Climate models that come out continue to show a stronger and stronger El Nino event developing this summer and lasting for at least a year. This graph is from the April 1st European climate model which just came out today April 5. The European climate model consists of 100 different members and 95 of the 100 are in the Super El Nino category. A "SUPER" El Nino is only happened three times since 1945: the events of -- 1982-83 1997-98 2015-16. So in one sense we are kind of due for a strong El Nino event. But really has been the debate among meteorologists and climatologists for the past 60 days - will this upcoming El Nino event be a STRONG El Nono or very strong/ SUPER El Nino event? This has significant implications locations around the globe especially when it's this strong.. it probably means that 1 There is going to be a severe possibly historic drought in Indonesia 2 There is likely to be major or historic drought in the Amazon basin. Obviously this has significant implications for Farming the food supply and for commodity grain Traders. 3 a wet and cool summer in the eastern US 4 Drought for Europe 5 Weaker than normal Indian monsoon -- possibly much below normal. 6 Expect damaging flooding rains and historic storms on the west coast next winter, 7 mild winter across the East Coast and the Midwest. 8 below and / or much below normal hurricane season -
I was a kid and I remember the starkness in seasons that struck me
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- april showers bring may..
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I got hit moderate to heavy for abut abd ended up with 0.50”
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Back edge of rain ready to roll through. Picture perfect Easter day, cloudy, raw, damp and a bit cool. Should hit below freezing 2 nights this week so that's a positive/something to look forward to. I know for a fact Voyager is very excited like a little kid on Christmas morning... 54F - Today
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2026-2027 El Nino
SnowGoose69 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This one would at least probably act like an E Nino. 23-24 really did not, at least not in the SE US and MA -
IMG_20260405_152204.heic
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Long season, but the Orioles completely suck right now.
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I managed 0.70" today on the western edge of Ballenger Creek.
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If this materializes it won't end well for any of us....
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How much do the Nina years prior to 23-24 matter though? Wouldn’t that very strong Nino essentially “reset” that? -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Finished with .60" of welcomed rainfall. I hope everyone is enjoying your Easter Sunday. -
.37 is my total. A bit disappointing but I’ll take whatever we can get.
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Give me the precip and I will roll the dice
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If you looked hard enough I bet you could actually see the grass growing today.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
5 of the last 6 years have been Nina. The average RONI for last 6 years is -0.73c/yr -
I remember that event well. Was a heavy wet snow
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- april showers bring may..
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Think this was a precip overperformer. Might have had >0.5”. Sun is now starting to break out a little. Still not looking forward to Tuesday’s temps…meh lol…though looks like a trend upwards thereafter.
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Woof. Getting swept by the pirates!?!
