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  2. *Flash*
    I second the gratitude. As rough as that animation is for some, bisect TN southwest to northeast and the western half still gets a crushing wintry mix storm. The threat does not need to be downplayed.
  3. SEwakenosnowforu
    I remember him...I have been on this board since the early 2000's...I lost that account because of email accounts. I am just saying popular long time posters are constantly negative after every model especially the EURo..but it seems ok for them to be negative.
  4. kfwalther started following January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage Thread 2
  5. JenkinsJinkies
    They’re talking east of the fall line and DC.
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Different mechanism . Thump then slot south . Lesser thump but prolonged period of snow with possible coastal enhancement
  7. paweather started following Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
  8. paweather
    Let it snow!
  9. Jersey_Snowhole
    For now and what I mean by that is I don’t think it’s done trending.
  10. Rvarookie
    Nobody likes ice in 2026, so we will be good
  11. largetornado
    Temps are warming further north cutting back on snow totals
  12. Wurbus
    Thanks for sharing and also producing that comparison with the GFS and Euro
  13. HillsdaleMIWeather
    It's still pretty similar tbh
  14. Scott Koziara
    Newport hasn't broken 5 inches since January 2022 except for a 6 incher in 2023 that was on the ground for barely a day. I doubt even Newport will be able to screw this one up but if there's a way to achieve a bust Newport will find it this weekend.
  15. Poimen
    https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2014120141697769771
  16. poprock49
    Yeah, I'm suspicious of it because of how large a swath of high totals that is. Of course, that's partly because it's an ensemble, but it has central/southern VA and even northern NC doing really well (like yesterday's runs) while having similar amounts in Baltimore. If this is a flawed analysis please feel free to let me know lol, just thought I'd take a stab at it!
  17. MJO812
    Remote learning
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the close up view of the 18z Euro for our region.
  19. Wurbus
    Are the models getting the baja low data from the hurricane aircraft at 06z or 12z tomorrow?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, CF zone will probably get like 13" as opposed to 10"...not a huge difference since the low is so weak.
  21. aldie 22
    Thanks for sneaking me inside the circle out by Winchester
  22. pazzo83
    yeah - I know there were some obscene totals out your way. NYC was late to the game, but that was one of the more memorable snowstorms of my life. I believe that is the current snowfall record for NYC.
  23. ORH_wxman
    The funny part about that CF showing up a bit inland is that the south shore might be like 30F but with obscenely steep lapse rates up to like 900mb. You’re getting ocean enhancement but might be enhanced by low level instability.
  24. WiseWeather
    Im riding the gfs… the euro just looks wrong at this point. .
  25. Blizzard of 93
    I think the NBM factors in ratios.
  26. John1122
    The Euro may be right, but it's a mess. It's been different at 500mb every run since 12z yesterday.
  27. CoastalWx
    That’s next in mesoscale 101
  28. stormtracker
    Everybody should just probably go eat dinner, take a break. We've been at this for hours on end and I don't care, old young...shit is taxing. See yall at 9
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