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  1. Past hour
  2. 11 hours, seems less than that. I guess we only notice when the sun is up, versus twilight during dawn and dusk...
  3. Betting line is open for the strongest mesonet/asos wind gust with the frontal passage this evening. I'm going with 45mph at Keedysville.
  4. It won’t reach the bay because the mountains are going to be an anti rain force field.
  5. Hum much more aggressive that most models which are trending poorly due to bad timing
  6. 74 here now, definitely t-shirt weather
  7. very warm i even saw a few people wearing t-shirts..
  8. Posted purely for entertainment value. We’ll see if that trough is still there a week from now.
  9. Trash night, so I’m expecting a good gust or two when the front rolls through. 72F
  10. That was hard to watch last year. Very hard . .
  11. 64 for the low here in Lizella. Got a drenching 0.15" from the little front that has now finished passing through. Was nice to see the clouds spittle a little down our domain, though. It's been a while and I could see the squirrels looking at each other in my acorn-dappled yard, their eyes blinking in the tiny drops, and go,"What's that stuff?"
  12. No I've just seen several posters in and around the forum say that this winter is looking bleak because of the ENSO, the record water temperature of the coast of China, and global warming.
  13. The QBO differences you point out are real. I am not sure why he grouped things as he did.
  14. Once again the models 3 days out were way overdone. Maybe we'll get lucky and get a half inch
  15. Angry bee season. They don't mess around in September and October.
  16. Had a good view of it from the east side this morning. It was impressive.
  17. I do think the mountains fair well this season. It could be hell in between cold shots but the pattern likely favors a lot of nw flow action with brief cool downs. The lakes are extremely warm compared to normal which will delay if not prevent them from icing over.
  18. I'm not expecting much here tonight or tomorrow. The ingredients just aren't there. Set expectations low and once in a while be pleasantly surprised.
  19. These warm days really over perform. Actually balmy out
  20. Only .01 from the first batch. Probably not going to be a drought buster here.
  21. I think the huge difference is in 1+2. Last year, we were still in el nino there, which is why I'll never consider it a traditional la nina. This year, we at least have neutral to weak la nina conditions there, which correspond to the rest of the basin. Also, this -PDO is a continuation of the one that started in 2019-20, and went through the 2020-23 la nina. This is more like a 7th year -PDO, than a 2nd year -PDO (that was early in the 2020-23 la nina).
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