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Wondering if it's going to be another week of rain all around me but not here like the last high chance week. Today it's going that way. It's been thundering since 2pm all around me but not a drop of rain yet. One of the strangest patterns I've ever seen, because the pop-up storms are so small. Just 3 or 4 miles wide in most cases.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I just got rocked by a thin but heavy bandlette - at one point getting upwards of almost 3"/hr rates and steaming up the windows. That netted me 0.96" in the bucket! I had been in Ft. Washington earlier this morning and on my way home, hit a brief light scattered shower out that way (no bucket tips at home from that though). Bottomed out at 76 this morning and actually got up to 91 for a high, even with the mostly threatening skies. The rain knocked the temp down and it's currently overcast and 77 with dp a soupy 77. -
Big rainfall winners in Delaware goes to areas far to my South and SSW. To my SSW Marydel, Hourglass and Chapeltown with near 2.5 to 3 inches. Meanwhile at my hood .17 and the rain area is moving away now, sorry flood watch. I think @CAPE must have done well when all is said and done.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's come to that, eh? -
The remnant circulation or MCV of TS Barry was definitely there. I even saw it earlier last week on TX regional radar at night when there was less deep convective activity around it as it crawled north-northwest to north into NE Mexico (west of Laredo). Before crossing the mid Rio Grande into the Edwards Plateau region in TX later in the week.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwarlock replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I resemble that remark -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
FPizz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I got .50" at my house, mostly done for now. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
OceanStWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Humans definitely edit the grids over the top of things like the NBM, but it's increasingly becoming more dominated by NBM guidance as staffing gets worse and worse. -
How remnants of Tropical Storm Barry are to blame for Texas floods The Weather Authority; Meteorologist: Josh Green Jul 7, 2025 Updated 1 hr ago Facebook Twitter Email Facebook Twitter Email Print Copy article link Save Areas in Western and Central Texas experienced devastating flash floods over Independence Day weekend killing scores of people, and the National Weather Service (NWS) says the cause was remnants of Tropical Storm Barry. Barry made landfall along the east coast of Mexico on June 29, and nearly a week later, long after losing its tropical characteristics, it became a main contributing factor in the Central Texas flooding. RELATED: Texas floods: What led to the devastating flooding So, how did it cause this much of an issue after weakening for several days? The answer to that lies in the moisture content of the air. Long after tropical systems fizzle out, they can still carry loads of tropical moisture. Tropical moisture is exactly the fuel required for heavy rain events. This moisture was forced northward into Texas due to the high mountains in central Mexico that blocked it from moving further westward into Mexico. In order for large rainfall events like this one, you need both the moisture and the “lift” in the atmosphere. The tropical moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, combined with a stationary storm complex (which provided the lift) that was already sitting over Texas, resulted in slow-moving heavy downpours that produced prolific rainfall totals over a short period of time.
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I must have missed that one on the list. I was thinking we were going back to the 1972 Black Hills flood that claimed over 240 lives. The fact that this has happened in 2025 with all the meteorological advancement since the 1970’s is truly astounding and a reason why I think it’ll be one of worst in history
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LoboLeader1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Anyone liking this swamp ass wx has a few bolts loose. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
HRRR was overdone but it was correct showing NJ getting the action today -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Great Snow 1717 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah I see part of Somerset County is getting it pretty good. I'm in between here with the downpours missing to the west in Somerset County and just slightly to the east in Middlesex County. -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
2025 Atlantic hurricane season Season summary map Seasonal boundaries First system formed June 24, 2025 Last system dissipated Season ongoing Strongest storm Name Chantal • Maximum winds 60 mph (95 km/h) (1-minute sustained) • Lowest pressure 1002 mbar (hPa; 29.59 inHg) Seasonal statistics Total depressions 3 Total storms 3 Hurricanes 0 Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+) 0 Total fatalities 100 Total damage > $3.32 million (2025 USD) Related articles Timeline of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season 2025 Pacific hurricane season 2025 Pacific typhoon season 2025 North Indian Ocean cyclone season Atlantic hurricane seasons 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027 -
Nvm they actually did it after the bickering lmao Tropical Storm Barry Barry at peak intensity in the Bay of Campecheon June 29 Meteorological history Formed June 28, 2025 Dissipated June 30, 2025 Tropical storm 1-minute sustained (SSHWS/NWS) Highest winds 45 mph (75 km/h) Lowest pressure 1006 mbar (hPa); 29.71 inHg Overall effects Fatalities 5 direct, 91+ indirect Damage >$3.22 million (2025 USD) Areas affected Belize, Yucatan Peninsula, Eastern Mexico, Southern United States IBTrACS Part of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah I'm up in Warren looks like about to pour -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Downpour missing just a few miles to the east. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
512high replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Interesting day on the NH Seacoast, around 1130am was working on a ocean property Rye, NH very near the Portsmouth line, temp was 72 F with a nice cool breeze, was in heaven for about 45 minutes. Next stop about, two miles south more into Rye, ocean front home, temp was now 86F on the truck thermometer and humid as crap! WTF At least there was talent to look at! -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
85 here today.. currently 84/70 -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I think precipitation amounts (as well as sky cover, wind, temperature) are just populated from a grid and there probably isn't much human manipulation in those point-and-click forecasts. I wish I could remember all this better because oceanstatewx has explained all this in great detail several times how this process works . I think this is why you'll often see forecasts saying "mostly sunny" when it ends up being filtered sun behind high clouds...I know at least NBM does better with this but I believe MOS won't report or forecast clouds above like 10,000 feet (or 12,000 feet)? But for QPF amounts with convection, I would assume in the grid its just averaging whatever is falling within that grid and that's how it determines the ranges? But I also think oceanstate has said that the wording used in the forecasts is based on QPF totals and visibility? So showers versus heavy rain wording will be tied into the QPF range and with snow light versus say heavy is tied into rate/visibility. - Today
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Refurbished parts don’t last as long.