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Stats are generated, but the comparisons are to the WFO forecast grids, since the NBM is the starting point. It generally scores well if the input models are doing well; it performs bias correction, but that has limitations.

I mean I look at this map and I like what I see.

They say you have to manifest it to receive it, lol...

i think it was a terrible winter though right...we had to wait till 92-93, 93-94, 94-95, 95-96. Wow pretty epic stretch

March madness first

Differences are really minute..northern stream energy out west is a bit western..but nothing jumping out

sounds like some of the Trammel Starks music in that clip.

All this talk up of the dropsondes and really nothing looks different at 24 L.O.L.

Be interesting to see what the HWRF shows .

Big 1054 hp in north, central MT at 30 and 36. HP might be a hair west (could be slower and actually not west). Otherwise. similar to 18z.

I appreciate your posts and observations as your weather often becomes mine in Augusta County! Hope we trend colder and less sleet and ice as we approach game time!

Pornhub.com

Hurricane season right around the corner!

goddamnit

Does it have a score for accuracy?

People really grasping at straws aren’t they? lol.

I don’t know, that seems groundbreaking

Baja low is more cutoff (now cutoff at 567 by hr21), but it was close to being cutoff at 18z anyway so not a huge change.

GFS out to 30..nothing noteworthy vs 18z

it's actually a hair west with our baja low by H21. after already being the most held back

1/22 00Z QPF - NYC ICON: 1.5

We're down to dropsondes. Geez this is sad

I am not sure but the Icon is not a reliable model so I'd want to see more reliable models look like that before getting too excited for the bigger totals scenario.

I don’t see much of any change in the early GFS hours (which has the new data).