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  2. PL imby. Nice to get the first winter precip out of the way before December.
  3. A new tropical oscillation called the TWISO has been recently discovered. So maybe the reason we are getting a strong MJO 6 gradient pattern in early December is somehow related to it being out of phase with the MJO. Plus the split forcing between the Maritime Continent and the Western Hemisphere could also be creating an interference pattern. Models showing a MJO 6 interference gradient pattern in early December https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2511549122
  4. The best example is 89-90. We had the coldest December on record, then the weather turned springlike when the calender flipped to January.
  5. Moderate snow and a nice dusting.
  6. What a lovely surprise. Temp 35 at my house so not sure how well it will stick. Big good size flakes
  7. The snow rake maybe in action after a decade of dormancy
  8. Temp getting interesting. 33.6 and dropping, dewpoint 29. Might end as snow before precip moves out? (Ashburn VA)
  9. Ya, buzz kings never got dope sick. A relatively small and self-limiting community, druggies, used the dope term differently but population-wide dopers are buzzkings, potheads.
  10. Westminster mesonet site is going to wet bub to 32°. You might get a solid coating of snow.
  11. A dusting in Finksburg, Carroll County at the farm!
  12. Time is still on our side 2 days still till showtime...........I have been saying all along we have to wait till events unfold after that Great Lakes LP passes and how fast the HP sets up shop in southeast Canada and if it decides to stay put for awhile and how fast like you just mentioned the LP develops and moves in from the south its all in the timing
  13. 11/30 MJO 2 week runs 11/30 EPS: steady as can be (4th day in a row very similar) phase 8 12/3-14+, which would be the longest phase 8 in 50 years for any winter month! To show how consistent it has been, the EPS had this on 11/27 run, phase 8 12/3-11+: ————— GEFS 11/30 (not as consistent as EPS, which has been doing better with phase 7 than GEFS): also has phase 8 start Dec 3rd:
  14. Snowy morning in Marysville! What a wonderful little surprise to wake up to today. Trees, grass & car tops have caved!
  15. Lt snow in Hanover for the last hour. Radar says it's almost done. At least down here, snow in October-Bad, snow in November-Good.
  16. Thought I was hearing things when I heard the sleet this morning, lol Checked the radar and lo and behold
  17. NYC would most likely see snow in the front . It all depends how fast the precip gets up here when the cold is still around.
  18. Flurries to a wintry mix here. Enough sleet to probably record a trace.
  19. With the 06z run the EC AI guidance is more aligned with most of the other models WRT expected snow totals. The EC OP is on the SE side of the envelope.
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