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Awww sleet sleet sleet.
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PL imby. Nice to get the first winter precip out of the way before December.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Modfan2 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
So, how much rain are we getting Tuesday? -
A new tropical oscillation called the TWISO has been recently discovered. So maybe the reason we are getting a strong MJO 6 gradient pattern in early December is somehow related to it being out of phase with the MJO. Plus the split forcing between the Maritime Continent and the Western Hemisphere could also be creating an interference pattern. Models showing a MJO 6 interference gradient pattern in early December https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2511549122
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The best example is 89-90. We had the coldest December on record, then the weather turned springlike when the calender flipped to January. -
Moderate snow and a nice dusting.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Any reports from the "heat island"? -
What a lovely surprise. Temp 35 at my house so not sure how well it will stick. Big good size flakes
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Baum replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The snow rake maybe in action after a decade of dormancy -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
penndotguy replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
34f Snow falling here in Spring Twp Berks. -
Temp getting interesting. 33.6 and dropping, dewpoint 29. Might end as snow before precip moves out? (Ashburn VA)
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
gonegalt replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ya, buzz kings never got dope sick. A relatively small and self-limiting community, druggies, used the dope term differently but population-wide dopers are buzzkings, potheads. -
Westminster mesonet site is going to wet bub to 32°. You might get a solid coating of snow.
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A dusting in Finksburg, Carroll County at the farm!
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Time is still on our side 2 days still till showtime...........I have been saying all along we have to wait till events unfold after that Great Lakes LP passes and how fast the HP sets up shop in southeast Canada and if it decides to stay put for awhile and how fast like you just mentioned the LP develops and moves in from the south its all in the timing
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11/30 MJO 2 week runs 11/30 EPS: steady as can be (4th day in a row very similar) phase 8 12/3-14+, which would be the longest phase 8 in 50 years for any winter month! To show how consistent it has been, the EPS had this on 11/27 run, phase 8 12/3-11+: ————— GEFS 11/30 (not as consistent as EPS, which has been doing better with phase 7 than GEFS): also has phase 8 start Dec 3rd:
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snowy morning in Marysville! What a wonderful little surprise to wake up to today. Trees, grass & car tops have caved! -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mitchnick replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lt snow in Hanover for the last hour. Radar says it's almost done. At least down here, snow in October-Bad, snow in November-Good. -
Thought I was hearing things when I heard the sleet this morning, lol Checked the radar and lo and behold
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
kevlon62 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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NYC would most likely see snow in the front . It all depends how fast the precip gets up here when the cold is still around.
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Flurries to a wintry mix here. Enough sleet to probably record a trace.
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With the 06z run the EC AI guidance is more aligned with most of the other models WRT expected snow totals. The EC OP is on the SE side of the envelope.
