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Don, I'm guessing if you added in 4 inch snowfalls from a single event which would span a two day period, that would even go up by another hundred at least.

lol

Oh Nammy, hitting the whiskey and warm milk early I see…

And it’s dried out … less than .15” qpf. Non event really .

Hate lice‼️

Wow even NyC hardly sees a flake.

Just turned mine on to brother. Merry Christmas to everyone and a happy new year.

Geezus the NAM oh well IIce storm it is. At least for now

FWIW, FV3 looks good (run not complete here)

Yes. Central Park has seen 355 days with 4" or more snowfall. That amounts to an average of about 2.3 such days each year.

I'll be in Killington on Sunday, which would take away some of the sting if this verifies.

Kind of seems like dry air and some subsidence would be an issue on the NAM. This would be a verification mess. You would probably get some spots getting 4-6” and then some spots barely getting 1-2”…and probably within close proximity. But can’t really buy this yet or take any value from it. If the GFS/Euro hold serve this can probably be tossed. Wonder where RRFS will go

The NAM grinch run

NAMs are a nothing burger for us and most currently in the WSW area. (WB 0Z 3K NAM).

Oh lol gotcha. Ew please no to sleetstorm. Rockland county turns into a sheet of ice when its overnight sleet Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

Dude, I had no issue with the U. I did with Bama but they proved themselves. Tulane and JMU...bro...they really need their own playoffs. Oh, and see you up north next year.

NAM is a disaster for everyone in this forum. If you want snow.

Given the strong support on the earlier individual ensembles, which span a plausible range of scenarios, I will need to see a lot more before buying into the NAM's latest solution. That a single member of the EPS had < 1" snow for NYC and none of the GEFS members had it, suggest that the idea is perhaps a very low probability scenario. It's difficult to see that 6 hours has brought about a dramatic and sharp change in the synoptic picture. Finally, the NAM was trying to dump 2.4" of snow on NYC with light precipitation, warming mid-level, and above freezing temperatures 12-18 hours before the onset of the last event. New York City received a trace. Let's see what the RGEM, GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF show over the next few hours.

Maybe in the last four years, you can call that a big hit in Central Park, because it actually hasn't happened officially. Even though most of the city had a 4 to 5 inch snowfall a week ago. Historically there have been several 100 4 inch snowfalls in Central Park since 1870. I know it's semantics, but I wouldn't classify that as a big hit.

That's the precipitation rate (of sleet in this case)

Dont panic wait for the new NAM

Glad to see all the mass****** back in the thread

I'm beyond exhausted and tired and eyes glazed from triple monitor at work. What is it looking like? Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

We know how to find the soundings...I think...it's the interpretation beyond the incredibly obvious. Will there be an online course or are you hosting?

Uhh no.