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That hole if I couldn't read would piss me off thinking it's a screw zone lol.

I am hoping the euro ai gives us a big solution in the next hour. I think that model may be the best model right now

Will be interesting to see AIFS trends

Yep over a foot

Hugging the UK CMC Icon combo is likely to lead to disappointment especially when the CMC made a huge jump south. The AI models have been headed south the last 6 runs including the Gfs and Euro. The cold air and high is too strong. Unless that disappears magically its no Bueno.

Good for him

All good. Hopefully trends keep coming.

Updated scoring

We're going to need a quote about the upcoming storm! Derail the panel agenda if need be

As @Eskimo Joealluded to above, the fact the GEFS is still showing warning level snowfall on a mean after what we saw from its deterministic partner is a positive attribute to have at this lead. The other guidance seems steady with its presentation which should also solidify the prospects for a MECS. Models can have hiccups and the GFS is no stranger to them. This is still a very good looking setup with some important pieces still not even fully materialized yet. We’ll see some model discontinuity on occasion until every player is on the field of North America and it begins to play out. If the EC suite comes in similar in its presentation last succession of runs, then it’s all systems are a go, still.

GFS usually comes around closer to gametime

GFS OP vs GEFS. The GEFS is similar to yesterday and has been consistent. The GFS Op was dry (relatively) like this at 12z yesterday, 18z too I think.

Eric Webb says there's no north trend coming, says any north trend is just wishcasting

can’t even imagine what the nam is going to show when it gets in range

Yea, I don't think anyone should sweat that. If we can get that N stream injection to gain some legs through tomorrow it would be very reassuring for a large scale heavy event....eventual meso struggles be damned.

See that’s why I like you , anyways exciting times ahead.

GEFS total QPF - Mean

15:1 ratio = a foot or more of snow in most of the metro

Yeah GEFS was slightly north. More mixing for us

People, snow is on the way. Chill

“Forgettable” event for Ray as he gets 13” and Sey-Mour gets 18”?

Largely agree but individual ensemble members still say north is a risk.

She coming again this weekend and most likely coming harder. She’ll even come for Ray if he’s in a good mood.