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  2. ineedsnow
    Tornado warned storm for Indianapolis.. looks legit
  3. nw baltimore wx
    What’s the cost of Gaussman?
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  5. bncho
    From what I know about Ninos it’s not common for there to be a -NAO and SER linkage in them. Plus what @CAPE mentioned is very true—not really a -NAO signal as it’s smoothed out over 3 months.
  6. Weather Will
    WB 18Z NBM thru Tuesday.
  7. SnowGoose69
    December 2015 somehow had it but that was a product of a wild raging MJO through 3-4-5 if I recall right, December El Ninos do tend to be warm but its rarely due to an SER
  8. CAPE
    It looks pretty damn close to current reality at initialization, and then evolves to more of basin wide event as winter progresses. Who's to say it doesn't have the right idea? And yes, Chuck- -PNA
  9. Damage In Tolland
    Monday kind of meh’ing out
  10. GramaxRefugee started following August Banter 2026
  11. GramaxRefugee
    I'm sensing some difficulties with this deal. Proceed with caution.
  12. IrishRob17
    As is the Colorado State severe weather learning machine.
  13. John1122
    It's rained and been in the low 70s here today, but some sun is starting to peek out now.
  14. dailylurker
    I'm pretty excited for winter. I'm one phone call away from closing a deal on a seasonal cabin rental at Barns Corner, NY. That's ground 0 on the Tug Hill. It's from Dec 1 to February 31. If my location isn't being hit directly I'll still be able to quickly get right where I'll need to be from base camp on the top of the hill. I won't be far from the Adirondacks if I need to get even higher up in elevation. Pretty exciting times.
  15. Today
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    CANSIPS has the El Nino way too far west. Further north in the EPO domain has less to do with ENSO though, and lot of the colder temps on model are from ridging 60-90N on the Pacific side. A further east El Nino event would correlate more with trough in GOA, vs the spread out +PNA that it's showing with Nino 3.4 based El Nino. Even though it's not as cold, our biggest storms happen with GOA trough. Let's see it develop at all first though, the first half of Aug is projected to be the 7th consecutive -PNA month.
  17. Chrisrotary12
    Yep
  18. Brian5671
    NAMs are very pedestrian for Monday but it's the NAM
  19. kdxken
    Man or unmanned?
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. kdxken
    Well SOMEONE cut a 350 ft gash in the reflecting pool. Probably used a box cutter... Or Buck knife
  22. cmillzz
    If the anticipated decay of the Niño occurs during that timeframe (or ideally later), it would favor another warm and active spring for the Midwest especially. I’ll take it.
  23. CAPE
    That's not typically a thing in an El Nino. And on a smoothed climate model depicting a long wave pattern over a 3 month period months in the future, the only thing that can be gleaned is the general idea and its somewhat subjective. There isn't really a notable signal for a -NAO on this panel imo. A -EPO.. yes.
  24. cmillzz
    Late July 2013 featured a legitimately impressive cold snap, with daytime highs barely reaching 60° in Madison, which was truly October-like. Today, by contrast, temperatures have already climbed into the 70s despite the rain and persistent northeast winds, so it's not really all that noteworthy. Though I suppose it may feel that way after the hot July we just had.
  25. ineedsnow
    @WxWatcher007 check this out.. pretty wild.. new way to check storm intensity? https://x.com/johndeanl/status/2083506132732231748
  26. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, that plunge looks like 1973, 1988, 1998, 2010 territory. All of those years resulted in a backlash, strong la nina.
  27. cmillzz
    Take a look at their July temperature outlook, issued on the final day of June, and compare it to how the month actually played out. I'd take their monthly outlooks with a grain of salt.
  28. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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