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Last time I went to Aruba, I got grazed by a Tropical Depression that would eventually develop into Major Hurricane Ian in 2022.
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This is yet another reason I love hot and dry weather far fewer mosquitoes.
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Evaporated before getting here too. Rained for 20 min but very light and not measurable. TR for the day
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I thought so too but there were some amazing and widespread heat waves back then that haven't been matched since. Early July 1911 is a case in point. Mount Pocono was 98, 99 and 103 for three straight days and has never been higher than 95 since then. I thought this had to be an instrument error but then I saw Boston all time high of 104 is from the same period and even the mountains of northern New England were over 100 degrees. That was some mega heat dome and for reference a 103 degree reading at Mount Pocono is a sea level adjusted temperature of 114 degrees! -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How could there possibly have been a 4 year el nino in the late 1700s? That has to be fiction. What we did have back then was a gigantic volcanic eruption in Iceland called Toba and that altered our climate in a big way for years to come. - Today
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Might have been some breaks in the clouds to the west, but just dark, dreary and damp wall to wall here today. MaxT was 73° which is the lowest daily maxT since July 7 (max that day was 68°). I've no problem with a few days with the wx like this, but the mosquitoes are beyond ridiculous this month. Little buggers are pissing me off. It's bad when you go backpacking to get away from them.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Quite the downpour here this evening brought the total today to 1.71 inches. 0.24 inches yesterday. Event total of 1.95 inches! -
I say that almost everyday
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This list is interesting to me because the top 2 came after great winters and the previous summers were super hot especially 1966. Number 3 also had an epic end to the snow season and the previous summer was also extremely hot. It's also interesting that 1977 is on this list when it had one of the hottest two week stretches this region has ever seen. Ditto 1953. I wonder how this list looks for Mount Pocono, I know how cold it was here in the summer of 1992 I had my fireplace going most of the summer. Chris do you have a list of that and also the summers with the most highs below 70 degrees at both JFK and MPO? It was only in the mid 60s here yesterday and I remembered how much I hate it when the high temperature is below 70 and it's cloudy all day. It's bad enough that we have to deal with that in Spring and Fall, Summer is not supposed to be that way, Summer should be sunny, dry and hot with maybe one or two hours of rain per week that doesn't interfere with the sunshine or the heat. It's fine if it's cool and sunny because I have a ton of skylights that bring in the solar warmth but my house gets cold quickly if I dont have the heat or a fireplace on and there's no sunshine. On the flip side because of the size of the house and how much of it is tiled and the outside is insulated with both fiberglass and stone it does not heat up quickly in the summer even if it's hot outside. Even without turning my window AC on the house is 10-15 degrees cooler than the outside temperature in the heat. That's a good thing because only two rooms in this house are supportive of window AC a bedroom upstairs and the living room downstairs. In terms of heat when JFK was hitting 100-102 in early July it only got to 93-94 here and that 4 day stretch was the only time it was 90 or above here. It's never been higher than 94 here in all the years this house has been in our family, it also hit 94 in July 2011. I think there was a 95 back in 1954 and the only time it's been hotter than that was the torrid 3 day stretch of 98, 99 and 103 in early July 1911.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good luck to you Jeb! Hopefully you get your rain and maybe a sneaky snow. I live in the Detroit area, not DC. Im always prepared for winter. I usually get a new shovel every 2 years but keep the snowblower haha. DC should definitely have noreaster potential this year though. -
Nothing worse than being at the shore and its hot as hell and no breeze at all. That just insane. Of course had a nice line beelining it for me and then poof it separated, typical lately. No rain here but poured at work 2.5 miles away
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weathafella replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
The best leanto I’ve been to was about 50 years ago. The Guyot Shelter with an elevated plank to lay your sleeping bag such that you had a full view of the presidentials across the valley. The shelter is around 4300 feet up near the tree line. We were packing everything in and out. I’ve been atop My Whitney and other spectacular hikes above 12,000 feet in the west but that night at the Guyot Shelter is tops. -
Seeing the lightning off of those storms to the South all the way up here.
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Congrats guys. This is but a point to what remains. In other words, welcome to a record Nino. You'll get storm cycle after storm cycle after storm cycle. By the time this puppy (the record Nino) really gets going with the North American 500 millibar pressure surface, your grounds will already be hypersaturated and you get to see floods galore! Texas is way too far west for this one. This record Nino is so far east-based that Austin will actually miss out on 70 percent of the hydrometeor output thru at least September 2027. But there should be other Ninos in the next 10-20 years (If I manage to live that long ha ha ha).
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Jebman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Mid Atlantic getting repeated rainstorm cycles in August? Everything with the Record Nino is right on track. This, is gonnabe good! -
How many you got?
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Memorable one? Same odds as a HECS....gonna be about timing things right when the pattern is more conducive in the back half. EPO is likely + in the seasonal mean, so need to score on a window. -
That's good to hear. What about rain?
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Or, Cano could just not suck. He's been hit or miss all season. Yeah the error hurts, but you gotta just move on. Too many head cases on the pitching staff. Baz is another who gets on himself for something he can't control. Tough loss, but team is playing better overall. Just have to keep winning series.
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I didn't get shit
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Typically the lag is 2-4 months, so the fall is when we should start seeing a more textbook look for the current Nino in the Northern Hemisphere up to the mid-latitudes. I've been projecting mid to late fall through the winter as the time frame of interest for an increase in precipitation chances with the STJ becoming much more active.
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Having to work down here on an emergency contract with the NCDOT. Not my favorite place to be lol.
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There’s been a noticeable region wide precip shift over the past 3 weeks.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brewbeer replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
put almost a thousand miles on it for that trip -
What ya doing down in the lowlands, @Met1985 ? I would think the heat/humidity combo would be intolerable for a mountain man such as yourself! (It’s intolerable for us, too!)
