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  2. yoda
  3. AlexD1990
    what the heck? I cant remember the last time a SVR got upgraded to a TOR
  4. LP08
    Looking a little notchy out by front royal
  5. yoda
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 529 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 420 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Eastern Maryland Southern New Jersey Southeast Pennsylvania Northeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 420 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms tracking eastward across southeast Pennsylvania and northern Virginia will move through the watch area this afternoon. Damaging winds remain the primary threat. However, supercell storms may result in a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles south of Patuxent River MD to 25 miles north northeast of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
  6. HIPPYVALLEY
    Nada in Greenfield.
  7. Scraff
    From SVR Watch to Tornado Watch. That escalated quickly.
  8. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch REPLACED with Tornado Watch for BR east
  9. dendrite
    Holy hell what a screwjob 0.02”
  10. snowman19
    I think we see a completely overpowering, historic strength STJ this fall and winter. Raging and very likely stronger than the STJ we saw back in 1997-98….Reasoning: 1) ++PMM 2) +QBO @EasternLI (Research paper) 3) Record-breaking super El Niño The QBO actually flipped negative by the 1997-98 winter, which I believe resulted in the -NAO/-AO blocking bouts. I believe it also helped to tame the STJ a bit, which was obviously on roids anyway, but could have been worse with a +QBO
  11. yoda
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 416 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... West central Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 416 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Shepherdstown, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. * Locations impacted include... Shepherdstown, Brunswick, Ranson, Shenandoah Junction, Rosemont, Rohrersville, Burkittsville, Gapland, Brownsville, Antietam, Arnoldtown, Moler Crossroads, Knoxville, Petersville, Pleasantville, and Bakerton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! && LAT...LON 3935 7790 3942 7787 3945 7760 3932 7761 TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 266DEG 15KT 3938 7780 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$
  12. Rmine1
    Zero is a stretch, but 2-4 inches is absolutely off the table
  13. KakashiHatake2000
    Two tornado warnings now .
  14. weatherwiz
    I think what's important to note though is a good chunk of that is tied into its prediction of scattered or numerous downpours during the afternoon tomorrow and again on Thursday (that only goes to 15z but speaking to the run as a whole which goes to 18z Thursday). I still highly doubt at the end of the day totals that substantive are that impressive but definitely need to watch the Berks and Greens for that. Most from this slug tonight see 1-3" though probably 1.5-2 is the most common...and then its just going to be whoever can catch in on pop up convection the next few days to pad on totals. I still don't think the risk for flooding is all that widespread with the greatest flooding risk in typical flood-prone areas.
  15. BlizzardNole
    Getting a couple showers moving NE over me as I wait for the main show
  16. Rmine1
    100%. I suspect Upton will make major adjustments to their forecast next update
  17. TheDreamTraveler
    It's been great. Really nice vibe for over an hour. We really needed this rain too
  18. bristolri_wx
    Seems like a general forecast of 1-2" west of 495 would be a good one, with 2-4+" plus in western CT, western/central MA, and southern VT. If you kind of look at the operational models they are all sniffing out something similar but just varying in terms of the exact locations, which you really don't know until the radar fills in.
  19. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis hail parameters have been increasing the past few hours as well. Matches up with the hail portions of the warnings ramping up.
  20. Wxtrix
    just got a warning for 60 mph winds and half-dollar sized hail. i think the worst of that is going to miss me by less than a mile—good. don’t need hail damage.
  21. Snowlover11
    Instant flooding here, one of the sewers is overwhelmed. Yard is just running off with water.
  22. mappy
    Thankfully looks like it’s gonna hold (famous last words)
  23. Prue11
    Yeah I’m expecting zero precip
  24. 495weatherguy
    Over hyped again
  25. kvskelton
    Tornado Warning just west of Kingsport. Tornado Warning TNC059-073-163-179-VAC169-282045- /O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0003.260728T2006Z-260728T2045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 406 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026 The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Sullivan County in east Tennessee... Northeastern Hawkins County in east Tennessee... Northwestern Washington County in east Tennessee... Northeastern Greene County in east Tennessee... South central Scott County in southwestern Virginia... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 406 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Surgoinsville, or 13 miles west of Gate City, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Surgoinsville around 410 PM EDT. Kingsport around 420 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Telford, Sullivan Gardens, Fall Branch, Leesburg, Mount Carmel, Okolona, Limestone, Church Hill, and Bays Mountain Park. This includes the following highways... Interstate 26 in Tennessee between mile markers 3 and 17. Interstate 81 in Tennessee between mile markers 43 and 59. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3640 8237 3619 8262 3657 8289 3659 8284 3659 8288 3660 8287 3665 8279 TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 314DEG 22KT 3657 8281 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ DH
  26. canderson
    This is wild rain
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