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Damn about 3” here.

How did the AIFS look?

I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lol Anyway this a a decent shift Till 6z

C

KBOS event tonight 1.6” season 41.1” Feels good to be back

Pretty dramatic increase in precip on eps

Plow Guy needs to get plowing STAT! The snow is rapidly getting deeper as heavy snow continues apace and more brobdingnagian elements of deep Pacific moisture continue blowing right up against the Sierran Cordillera! It's a massive conveyor belt coming up from the Pacific Ocean right up thru the Channel Islands and on into the Sierras then annihilating Mammoth Resort! That's a trajectory for much more snow than expected! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam EDIT: I just saw the plow. Boy if they don't get that snow plowed, it will just keep right on piling up. Snowstorms mean serious bisnass in the Sierra.

This is gonna be an interesting test for them.

Ya know... If you look at the last three runs of the Euro ( 12z, 18z, and now ) it has improved each time. So there's that.

Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.

Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases

based on this i expect wxbell to be like a 2-4 mean, which will still be an improvement

Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.

CMC looks good and the Euro is a monster with phasing and dynamic cooling ftw (along with EPS and AIFS-EPS and the AIFS jumped 100-150 miles north), but not the UK/GFS. I think we now have something legitimate to track, at least, even if the setup is still pretty marginal for snow in these parts. Ya never know and it seems like it's been a long time since we had a marginal pattern/setup deliver a threaded needle for us.

I think this is pretty simple but very complex for models. If it phases properly we have a good chance for white paste rain

I know, we just need to see some half-way consistency between cycles and not this back and forth ping pong. Also like to see AI get more bullish. But yeah, trends were clear at 00Z for the most part. Well see what happens in 12 hours. The runs give us the runs

Eps

Eps

Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rn

Step by step inch by inch. Niagara Falls

Night night.... Let's see what tomorrow's runs brings. Either they're awesome, or they give us the runs...

Other models are jumping on board. We usually get a big storm when the tellies go the other way.

Says who? Its most likely an archambault event.

We can afford a bit of a south jog from this run lol