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Sounds like damage control in link title --"not nearly the rainfall we need." Ok, who ever said it would be enough? The point is we got a solid widespread rain event. You have to start somewhere to come out of drought conditions. Geez, wx does not work in nice, neat, even increments and balances out 1-1 when talking short periods of time. A case of you can look at the glass half-full or empty (yes, the pun is there but not intentional!).

Sorry, I couldn't resist!

What happened to your warm front *absolutely* needed for the big R+ in a summer month? Nor'easter is still a nor'easter in July. Only difference is that they are weaker and smaller, but much higher PWATs tend to compensate to give solid QPF. The OER was neat to see today streaming in from the due E!

A question I’ve wondered about for a while is if our area always benefits from emls. The tor threat way back in March had a weak one and it kneecapped our cape. It seems that sometimes that temperature increase (or slower rate of decrease) does more harm than it helps.

The AMOC stuff is interesting to me. I've seen some theories regarding the cold blob possibly causing persistent troughs over that area Tip's reference to our corner of the planet being cooler relative to other regions?

Even if it was 4-8" widespread, it still would not have been that bad overall b/c it was going to be spread out and most importantly, very dry antecedent conditions overall across SNE! So much of the MSM and hype masters have no clue, or do know, but ignore b/c deflates hype. They think "one-size-fits-all" and the one size is always means the worst. That's now how the wx works and we can do much better now due to improved modeling and understanding of the wx. There is no effort to quantify or scale wx events anyone -- again, it always "the worst." So you see my overall critical position on how wx is treated in general is not w/o merit. This rain was very beneficial and we needed it, but that is good news and doesn't sell.

Yes, you could clearly see two level of pcpn on radar, low and high, moving in different directions and overlapping, which likely lead to the dense small drops (super "sheet" drizzle?). Almost like warm process rain but w/ more baroclinicity.

Nice li'l tight/coherent wrap up. Models showed this well. Don't always need a deep sfc coastal low for "fun 'n games!"

Couple days of shrinkage then back to our usual low hanging family jewels. We shall overcome these trying times.

Can you imagine the consternation alone if this was a fcst snowstorm? 24 hr ago, DXR would have had 2 ft and PVD a foot, and a dusting at BOS. CoastalWx would be like, "HOW CAN THIS BE????!!!!" and basically ready to call it quits, and then the big backlash comes in and saves the day! Reminds a bit of the Bliz of 96 in ern MA. Got about 5" in Woburn w/ an initial burst in the evening, then MEH for the next 8 hr (2SM -SN and I got about 2"). Then the "backlash" came in and I got another 8". So a great storm total (for 1996), but it was piecemeal. Not a smooth event! Also, one of the storms in the Jan-Feb 2015 blitz. SNE got a burst of S+ in the evening, and then it completely stopped, and BKN conditions w/ stars visible along the S Coast. This mesoscale thing w/ a arc of snow moved into srn NH, then drifted back S after midnight, and then incredible development w/ super TS++ predawn into later that morning. Rumor has it CoastalWx passed out a few times due to his ecstasy! Again, not a smooth event, but it all worked out in the end!

Nice soaker. We had a good deluge for 6 hours embedded in the lighter rain. Ok I’m ready to go back to summer.

First warm blob, now cold blob, next it will be NEUTRAL blob, and they will find an issue/problem w/ it!

A two-day total of 2.06 inches. Getting that much rain without a tropical system is always welcome. Lots of CTG lightning and loud Thunder too. Lasted longer last night though. Im glad to have gotten this which the grass and trees, plants were thrilled. This was a shot from the employee lot at work as the storms were moving into Eastern Durham/Western Wake Counties

Let there be light!!!!!! I set my ac to 63, took a long shower and now I'm attempting to get hyperthermia Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Dvorak CI is back up to 7.0 which is 140 kt, after being down 5.5 last night. 7.0 would normally assign 140 kt, but since the eye is so large and a bit ragged, JTWC went w/ 130 kt, which is reasonable. The eye pressure may be as low now as it was when Bavi peaked at 155 kt, however, tightness of the inner core and eye size are paramount. After a couple of ERCs, the overall size of the storm expands and inner core tightness is less (overall power of the storm is basically the same, just spread out more). Also, a slow gain in latitude is increasing Coriolis, and this results in a gradual decrease in tangential winds speeds over time. It's one reason why you rarely see pinhole eyes N of 30N. Eye size is challenge, It depends on if you use IR or VIS, and within IR, what color table you use! Attached is Bavi's eye currently using EIR, BDIR (Dvorak), and VIS. I get 55 nm, 40 nm, and 30 nm for a diameter, respectively! Notice the difference between EIR and BDIR, The BDIR shows the stadium bowl eye structure better than the EIR.

Like the prerequisite 70F on Grinchmas eve

Feels like its been a hot minute since we have had a stormy summer. Really digging this season so far.

2.60” event total

High of 95. Picked up only .03". Looks like a very good chance of storms tomorrow.

If my weather station is correct, we had over 5” here on the Worcester/Auburn line. Amazing how much the ground has just soaked all of that up. .

Was refreshing down at the water. My powerboat died so I’m probably getting a sailboat this week. Looking forward to getting back out there in the elements

For all intents and purposes, this is the truth. Concerning hot wx, it wasn't so long ago when it was 90+ in New England, they would just say, "a great beach day or BBQ evening!" Now, "stay indoors and cower in fear b/c it is so dangerous outside!" You see how inane that is from just a daily living POV. Yes, you take precautions, but don't let it ruin your day/plans -- or LIFE! Being put in a constant state of fear/alert, that's not "living," that's "existing!" Don't get me wrong, I don't like harping about all this and want to avoid the negative, but at the same time, I feel for the public and up and coming mets and wx enthusiasts that either have no context/perspective or just can't figure out what is what, or who is keeping it real, and who is just off the rails hype, and everyone/everything in between! I know how I would feel if I was a newb and up and coming these days. For those of us that have been around for awhile, we've all been there! Most of the public just wants the basic what, when, and where for wx, at least in real time and for practical daily use. The how and why are secondary or irrelevant! And ppl I speak to that are not mets, most really appreciate the based and straightforward fcst and wx reasoning. And they like to learn about why this or why that b/c they all have seen many forms of of wx, and when the big stuff happens and makes a huge impression on them, they wonder, "what the heck caused that!?" And they all have big storm memories like weenies, it is just more latent/passive, but when you bring an event up, the interest surfaces quickly! Now for mets and wx enthusiasts, we of course want to know the how and why as well, and that's a good thing. But the challenge is for many is just plain information overload and sorting it all out. There is lot of good, solid, and accurate info out there, but also a lot of nonsense and crap. It's funny back in the day (pre-Internet), wx info, esp. for a weenie, was not easy to come by. You had the local news and your wx radio, and then TWC by 1982. And then *any* wx book/magazine you could find at the bookstore or the library (there were not that many, at least compared to the 90s and later)! And the occasional TV special on wx (NOVA on PBS was really good for this). That was about it! Now, it's the other extreme. TMI and not enough time. One can actually get stressed out trying to follow and keep up just for all the models alone we have now (CoastalWx?, WxWiz? LOL)! And then you have social media and mobile devices. Sometimes now, I actually *welcome* a quiet period for wx so I can catch up w/ other things!

1.01” brings the 3-day and MTD total to 4.04” here

Nice batch of rain moving in for the night. Hope another 1-2" falls across the Northland. Many still need it.

After 10 o’clock on the east side of Columbia and it is delightfully pouring outside right now, it looks like there’s a cell on radar right above the area, and growing a bit.