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I’m still interested but the one red flag I saw last night and this morning was such little support on the EPS and euro AI. Not a good look.

ORH back then was a coop so it kind of sucks....the hourly airport obs didnt start until 1947 I don't think and it didn't go official until 1948.

Now that we don't have La Nina to blame anymore, any idea when this seemingly permanent, blocking ridge will go away? Always seems like "a pattern change is anticipated in about two weeks"... while my relatives in MA freeze their butts off. Daffodils are sprouting and a few birds are building nests.

The Canadian looks good. The Ukie looks hilariously bad.

The Canadian is pretty much a carbon copy of todays snow map debacle. This shit is getting old man.

at least boston gets a blizzard https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2026013012/gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_33.png

Canadian is similar,further east though and a scraper. 1008 low also.

8.9°F this morning. Coldest of the year so far but tonight should be colder if winds go calm. Interested to see what spots can radiate good tonight, wouldn't be surprised to see double digit negatives in the pine barrens of LI and NJ and other isolated low lying areas

WxUSAF needs to come back and rescue his storm

GFS for tomorrow AND Thursday combined

Crap?

I think 43 may be the coldest airmass on record for up here…afternoon high on 2/15 was -7 at CEF CON and PWM had all time record lows of -37 and -39. But yeah, there was some rad cooling the morning of the 16th with WAA all day. CEF only had a high of 15° in the hourlies for 2/16 though so I can’t really comment on that ORH 24°.

RAP has a later start time also for MBY. 4am

Um

Jess talk of heating costs and pond dice thickness for weeks and weeks.

And I fell out….

Hopefully we can at least cover the grass again because it’s ugly after being smushed by the glacier.

My son in Topsail Beach with zero plows is expecting 6 to 12. He could use some fast flow and interference. And again next week. Man no way can they handle that

GFS for Thursday, Feb 5th.

I guess I'm just not willing to sweat this one yet. Trends aren't awesome. Long as it doesn't turn into an OBX bomb like the GFS I won't lose much sleep. Hearing some chatter from Tomer + others for mid-Atlantic threat mid-month. Probably on the one day it would be horrifically inconvenient for me and my folks. Think we'll have something else to track even if this window totally evaporates in the next 2 days.

Lets see what the euro shows. RIC only needs a small nw move by tomorrow am

Give it to us straight.

One of the best "Busts" of all time

Nobody hates lol. We bust and tease…

GFS drops the hammer over central-eastern NC next Thursday