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Why the heck would the model output follow the state border like that? I call BS

Damn that's harsh

32.9/23.7 in Havre de Grace. Zero expectation of accumulation but would be cool to see some flakes.

as @SnowenOutTherementioned the look on the GFS has become marginally better as well throughout the day (significant emphasis on marginally), I do like the precip creeping up this way with each subsequent run today. Still ultimately leaves us high and dry (quite literally) and this is probably just a case of me huffing my daily supply of weenie hopium, but with 5-ish days left I suppose there's time for things to take an unexpected turn for the better (in the form of a modest event obviously, we don't really need some blockbuster KU beast to put us on the right track for this month regardless)

Impressive radiational cooling for all of the area tonight. Not sure it will sensibly change the result, but it can’t hurt and sure as hell is better than sitting at 42 and hoping to wet bulb to 33-34.

I wish I was facing your concerns

State of Emergency issued for 5 NW NJ Counties.

I think if 00z cools a Smidge it’s looking much better there.

Down to 24° and skies have gone mostly clear again. Schools here have called a two-hour delay for the a.m.

They've bumped us up slightly

I said a few days ago anything under 3" would prompt a melt, and that's still where I'm at.

This winter season reminds me of 1999-2000. A bunch of storms that head north early then the big one Jan 25, 2000.

No politics.

Back edging a storm with its precip shield 100s of miles to our West is PEAK AMWX content thank you.

Some temperatures in the Catskills already in the teens. Great radiational cooling night before clouds move in.

ORH is 30/5 right now....you wouldn't think low levels would be a problem less than 18 hours from now with that type of dewpoint look....while ORH might be ok, not too far away won't be. Not the same setup, but that kind of turnaround reminds me of the 1/27-28/94 storm. @Typhoon Tipalways talks about that one....we started the night before around 0F and predawn of the storm was like 8F with snow grains and by late evening, we were 50F+ with steaming snow banks.

25.2, Free fall continues

lol the back edge already showing up. I bet we don’t see much actual pure rain

Yep NW flow. Mountains could get some clipper snow but cold and windy for most

I am down to 29 but will probably be above freezing by midnight if clouds move in.

Yay, lets get the puddles up to my dong.

It means the world to me

Speaking of colder, down to 26 in Westfield already. I didn't expect it to cool so rapidly this evening

You could be getting in on some of the milder air aloft. I noticed in my area temps above 2000 ft are in the upper 30's while in the lower Valley it's lower 30's. Too bad the Jet is to our NW. We're getting that milder air pulled up from the South aloft. Very warm in the deep South East.