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The latest CANSIPS was indicating a possible modoki nino. That would increase our chances significantly.

Temp spiked to 35.9, a couple degrees above guidance. Some decent melting in sunny areas.

RGEM brings a widespread 3-5 on the south side. 2-4 across most all Hampton roads.

Of course, Kuchera will be more accurate, but that's still pretty sweet. I hope somehow Raleigh gets 3"+ just for the memes

Been seeing some crazy good skating on Sebago.

This was the post that did it for me. He has an unshielded max/min thermometer just sitting out in the middle of the tree farm. I mean of course it’s going to lose more heat at night.

Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much

Random stat alert... For the first time since the winter of 1978/79, Chicago has had average or above average snowfall in each month (Nov-Dec-Jan).

Poof ...and compaction begins.

RGEM bringing the goods now. Oh my lol

I went to a hoodie last week and no jacket this afternoon.

The snow in my yard where people have walked is now a solid ice glacier. If we suddenly had a day of heavy rain and temps in the upper 40's it would turn into an unmitigated street flooding diaster due to water having no where to go. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

We had highs in the mid teens.And we had lows at zero or negative for a week

Rgem has some 5-6 in totals now in northern Central NC!

I was referring to the ECMWF weekly maps in general. I prefer the ECMWF chart to vendors.

I for one am glad for the NHL going on break. Lord have mercy the Blues stink.

Don, Do you mean the WxBell 850 mb maps? What daily data are you referring to? Be careful with their 2m temp maps because I’ve been saying they’re colder than ECMWF’s in house data.

Out in just a grid fleece today, crazy how much one acclimatizes to the cold when it becomes truly significant with respect to the human body. Felt to me today at 34ish how 45 feels in a normal winter, just chilly.

Conversely, we are going to bust high. It’s nearly 50 here. After a low of 12 this morning.

@psuhoffman i know it might be a little early but if the Cansips is seeing a colder Canada for next winter(el nino), it could be an epic winter. Last nino--canada was a torch--next winter---we should be starting from a much better place

I’ve been grumbling for days about it haha. The backyard looks like jagged rocks between the dogs/kid out there disturbing the pristine pack. Happy my office window faces front yard where it’s smooth and pretty to look at

I’m just over 50%, if using 30 for an average. I should do the math on my 12 winters to see what its been since living here.

I just got done leaf blowing my pack. I was sick of the tree shit, leaves, bird seed shells messing up the beauty of the pack. My neighbors are use to my weirdness. Hardly a drip here today. 33ish

Same here. I went out 20 mins and was able to break up the ice dam blocking the end of my sidewalk meeting the street. Tomorrow’s 35, sun and no wind will melt quite a bit of anything left on pavement that isn’t a big plowed pile.

darn email alerts telling me there's a new snow thread *shakes fists at heaven/servers*