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It's effing cold today.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low to mid 80s Tuesday coming -
I mean I will take normal which is 65-68F down here.
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Surprised low of 44. With the breeze it feels much colder.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (2018) NYC: 92 (2018) LGA: 93 (2018) JFK: 85 (2001) Lows: EWR: 39 (2005) NYC: 33 (1874) LGA: 40 (1957) JFK: 40 (1966) Historical: 1761: Large tornadoes swept through the harbor at Charleston, SC when a British fleet of 40 sails was at anchor. It raised a wave 12 feet high, leaving many vessels on their beam ends. Four people drowned. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1774: A major snowstorm was reported in areas from Virginia to New York. Severe frost was reported as far south as North Carolina. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1812: A major snowstorm occurred from Philadelphia, PA to Maine. 12 inches fell at Keene, NH and 9 inches at Waltham, MA.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1867: Light rain, snow, & hail (sleet) was observed at the Naval Observatory. 1868: A tornado traveled 15 miles across Warren and Knox Counties, northwest of Galesburg, IL. The small town of Ionia, in Warren County, was destroyed. 16 homes and two churches in the town were leveled, along with 30 homes elsewhere. The tornado killed six people and injured 40 others. Many of the casualties occurred during a church service, when the church roof was torn off and dropped onto the congregation. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1874: Latest date that 32 degrees occurred (freeze) was in 1874 and 1882 at Boston, MA. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1882: Latest date that 32 degrees occurred (freeze) was in 1874 and 1882 at Boston, MA and in 1882 had the lowest temperature of 31 °F the lowest ever for May. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1895: In Sioux County, Iowa an extremely violent tornado, at times 1,000 yards wide packing winds estimated at over 250 mph moved from three miles north of Ireton to two miles southwest of Hull hitting four schools. Two school houses several miles apart were leveled, killing teachers and students. The teacher killed at one of the schools was the brother of the teacher killed at the other school. Adjoining farms were also entirely destroyed with several deaths in homes. Amazingly, school children were carried for up to a half mile with many sustaining serious injuries. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1909: Record low temperature for Washington, DC for the date is 36°F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1954: Records for the month of May included: Sheridan, WY: 13° degrees, Miles City, MT: 15°, Billings, MT: 16° and Oklahoma City, OK: 32°. The low of 28° tied the record low for the month of May at Liberal, KS. Daily record lows included: Lewistown, MT: 16°, Cheyenne, WY: 20°, Clayton, NM: 24°, Falls City, NE: 31°, Hobart, OK: 32° °F. Snow fell on three straight days from this date through the 5th across Lower Michigan. Record snowfall on this date included 1.3 inches at Grand Rapids. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1955: This was the third of a four consecutive day warm spell from parts of the Midwest, Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley as temperature climbed into the 80’s and 90’s. Locations that reported record highs for the date included: Alexandria, LA: 96°, Chicago, IL: 92°, Iron Mountain, MI: 90°-Tied, Fort Smith, AR: 90°-Tied. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1967: Many locations set record May lows in the upper Midwest including: Mondovi, WI: 20°, Rochester, MN: 21°, Austin, MN: 22°, Alma, WI: 24° and Waukon, IA: 24°. Locations that set daily record lows for the date included: International Falls, MN: 11°, Huron, SD: 17°, Minneapolis, MN: 18°, Flagstaff, AZ: 19°-Tied, Traverse City, MI: 22°, Pierre, SD: 22°-Tied, Helena, MT: 23°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 25°, Muskegon, MI: 26°, Grand Junction, CO: 29 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1973: The coldest high temperature was 40 °F at Boston, MA for the month of May. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1975: Monroe County, Ga.--One person was killed by lightning at High Falls State Park. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1978 - Persistent thunderstorms caused widespread flooding in southeastern Louisiana and extreme southeastern Mississippi. Rainfall totals of ten to thirteen and a half inches were reported around New Orleans causing the worst flooding in thirty years. The water depth reached three to four feet in several hundred homes, and total property damage was estimated at one hundred million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. Softball size hail was reported at Center Point TX, and a tornado caused three million dollars damage near Satanta KS. Heavy snow blanketed the foothills of eastern Colorado, with 18 inches reported at Divide. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the drought- stricken central U.S. Evening thunderstorms produced large hail in North Carolina. Baseball size hail was reported west of Mooresville NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern and Central Plains Region. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 72 mph at Graford TX, and baseball size hail was reported at Graham TX and Lake Kemp TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A stubborn late season storm slowly crawled across southern Colorado the first three days of the month producing heavy snow from the San Juan Mountains to the southeast plains. The storm produced up to three feet of snow in the higher elevations of southern Colorado, and 18 to 22 inches of snow along the eastern slopes of the Central Mountains of New Mexico. Pueblo CO reported a record 10.6 inches of snow for the month as a result of the storm, and a record total for the winter season of 69.6 inches. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1999 - On May 3, 1999, an unusual confluence of atmospheric conditions in Oklahoma spawned dozens of tornadoes that swept across the state in an hours-long parade of destruction. Thousands of homes were damaged or destroyed, and 19 counties became disaster areas. The worst toll was in human lives: 44 dead, including three children. Hundreds more were injured.(http://newsok.com/may3) 2001: Portland, Maine: Maximum temperature reaches 92 °F destroying the old record of 74 °F set in 1969. The airport station also set the warmest low and warmest average with temperatures of 57 °F and 75 °F, respectively. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2010: Great Nashville flood of May 2nd and 3rd --- Floodwaters from many creeks and rivers have inundated literally thousands of homes and businesses. The most famous of these is the entire Opryland complex. The Gaylord-Opryland Hotel is flooded, Opry Mills shopping complex is flooded, and the historical Grand Ol' Opry is reportedly flooded, too. Additionally, the floodwaters from the Cumberland have poured into the downtown area around 1st Avenue and is affecting some businesses. It is the highest levels seen in modern times. Reportedly, 11 people have lost their lives across Tennessee. The Metro Transit Authority's headquarters are flooded and there will be no bus service across the city. Additionally, the Music City Star (the rail line) Rail Cars are under water and several sections of the railway are damaged. According to the latest information, it appears the Cumberland River will crest (in Nashville) somewhere around 51.7 feet, some 11.7 feet above flood stage. Opryland Hotel has a foot of water in it and Briley Parkway is completely flooded between McGavock Pike and Two Rivers exit. The entire MetroCenter area, which houses the Titan's practice facility among other businesses, has been evacuated. Nashville mayor, Karl Dean, is calling for residents to curtail use of water as much as possible. Use water only for food preparation and drinking only as a water treatment facility across Davidson County is inoperable. (Ref. Examiner.Com -- Nashville) (Ref. Map of rainfall amounts)
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
TRI slipped to 32F right before the sun came up. We went five degrees below the point and click forecast. The GFS and RGEM were right. Thankfully, we were there only a short time. That could have caused widespread damage to crops. Let’s hope the shorter duration helped.- 207 replies
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47 / 46 clouds but clearing rapidly on a northeryl flow. Low 60s today. Two day warm up Mon / Tue 70s / 80s split in the warmest spots Mon - Tue. Next shot at rain / showers later Wed into Thu >0.50. Trough into the east with building Western Ridge in the 5/ 7 - 5/15 period with overall below normal. Beyond there moderation to a more persistent warmer change.
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Hoping this is the last cold blast of the spring (but probably not) as we have tons of stuff ready to go into the garden down in the basement under grow lights. Amazing the talk of selling topsoil basically right back to the homeowner, that should almost be illegal. @BlizzardNoleout my way. although I live in the 'woods' only 1-5 inches down it is slate and shale. I have placed 2-4" of material over the yard to attempt to get grass to grow, as @CAPEhas said before, looks great until late June. Once it dries and gets hot seems no amount of extra water works or rarely works. @PaleoceneI have mayapple growing in a hollow under large mature oaks and hickory with an understory of wild cherry, been there since I built here 30 years ago.
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Currently running at my low year-to-date precip over my 13-year CoCoRahs record. Not great.
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Low right at 32 this morning. Cold out.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The tropical forcing tends to focus in areas where the absolute SSTs approach +30C regardless of the departures getting smaller due to climate change. This is one of the reasons that the forcing was so much further west in 2023-2024 and 2015-2016 than in 1997-1998. But it’s possible that if the RONI remains lower relative to the ONI again like in 2023-2024, we may not get the stronger Aleutian Low development like in earlier El Niños. Same for the trough that usually sets up over the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast which was missing back in 2023-2024. Still too early to tell if the troughs will be weaker again like in 2023-2024 allowing more Southeast ridge development than usual. It may be that if the El Niño gets stronger than 2023-2024 in both ONI and RONI, we get more of a traditional stronger Aleutian Low and low in the Southeast. Plus the warm pool east Japan could influence the jet development leading to weaker troughs also even if the SSTs are outside the 20N to 20S RONI range. Then we have the expansion of the subtropical ridges which could also come into play. Remember, we had a weak La Niña in 2025-2026 and the strongest subtropical ridge near the SW U.S. ever from November to March. So these ridges are becoming more dominant than the troughs. -
Must be some decent snow in the higher els. I see a lot of 32.5-33 temps in the 2kft+ sites. The autoroad is 32° at 2300ft.
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High 58.0, low 33.8. Although under a freeze warning we got neither a freeze nor frost due to the light N/NW breezes that never became still overnight. Both those temps nowhere near records either, 49 in 1995 and 28 in 1981. Currently 34.0/27.9 at 7:45 am under clear skies with NNW at 5 mph winds.
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35 here near Winston Salem, and a good frost.
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40 for the low, light breeze with a chill of 39
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Wow, at the last minute, a frost advisory was extended for one more row of counties south of what MRX had, which put my area in it as well. I figured there would probably be some frost, but I see it was MRX being their conservative selves. Anyway, sure enough, when I stepped outside, there is frost here in the low areas behind the house. Temp is 37 on my station.
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What is this "warm" of which you speak?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The 30 day SOI average is down to -9.59. There has been a very clear, pronounced negative trend since mid-March. Despite a lack of consistent severely negative values, the warming at the surface and subsurface has been record breaking as have the OHC, DWKWs and WWBs -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, I was quite surprised this morning. It's 38 now, but was 41 when I first woke a 4am. Yes, I'm an early bird and can't sleep in even on my days off. -
43. No frost. Flowers survive another day!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
37 for the low. And no frost.. thank you lord. Hopefully it will start warming up. -
Not sure when winter ends and spring begins here; low down to 37F .08” of rain yesterday; good weather for the lawn to grow.
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He needs a dog. My dachshund will kill anything that steps in my yard. Haha
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Currently 37 degrees Definitely some unsettled weather. Picked .15.” Of rain Friday. Yesterday cool and windy 24 mph wind gust. I got my coal stove back fired up this weekend. Constant 70 degrees is nice. Smoked a couple of chuck roasts yesterday. Kind of got away from running the smoker over the winter.
