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Radar trend looks good for central and northern MD and spotty at best down here. My county went into this at just 9.2" since Jan 1 for a departure of -7.3. Look at those soil moistures (20-40% is what you want)

The new RONI projections are even up to +3C now: “Getting this sort of MJO-driven reinforcement of the developing #ElNiño with a massive westerly wind burst is a pretty good indicator that this event is going to be a very strong one. No sustained easterlies to interrupt the last Kelvin Wave, and this next WWB should push the warm pool even further east. Probably why even the *relative* SST anomalies are pushing 3-3.5C in some of the latest forecasts.”

Definitely feels more north...no complaints here but big totals might be a bit more challenging 1.69 and light drizzle

Allan Huffman

I always do a double-take when you or Ji are the voice of reason. Oh, and Maestro when it comes to Baltimore snow.

Yay?

its over by Monday

We're going into peak severe season and it's going to be snoozeville for at least the next two weeks.

We're up to 0.37" now. To the moon! Looking at the radar it seems to me that the big slug down in Alabama might have our name on it...eventually.

49/47 at Deep Creek. Steady rain, clouds, wind, even more utility disruptions than normal. .66" yesterday and .38" so far today. Does not appear that the temperature will move much (if any) prior to Sunday afternoon and the rain chances appear categorical most of that time. With respect to holiday weekend plans, consider anywhere else. A real disappointment for the people and the limited economy up here sadly, they can't really make it up when a holiday period is washed out like this.

No

When I found this house, it had been sitting empty on the market for almost three years. The couple that built it in 2007 were in their late-50's at the time and decided to retire here from Illinois because they enjoyed their yearly summer vacations to the area so much. Turns out, after two winters they would not face a third. He couldn't keep up with the amount and frequency of the snow at his age, and she fell into a deep depression during the winter months... ended up moving to Colorado Springs. I will never forget what the man said to me at closing in a weirdly ominous tone, I remember thinking at the time, "Just remember, if the forecast is calling for 1-3 feet, you're the 3". Almost 13 years later and I'm still here. A great looking day here, sunny 65/29 w/ a light breeze.

A couple of dustings and a little freezing drizzle in December, after that absolutely nothing, not even any false alarms, due to continuous warmth (dewpoints above 60 on January 8!!)

That’s surprising. It’s been a very productive event up here so far. No wasted clouds with excessive humidity. It’s amazing what having a fetch of moisture from the Gulf can do. This next batch is gonna be Round 3 for Frederick.

Whoops I meant 97-98, lol What was the number that year?

It’s just getting started.

Yep, the big 0.25. You think Drizzlefest '26 will get us to 0.5 total?

12z CMC trended better for summer enthusiasts ... it's something.

Another .75 inch here. 1.5 for the last 2 days. I have been in a good spot. I am sure that I will move out of the good spot eventually.

Bring on the derecho’s.

Thanks for the stats! So a small one site sample shows: - 40 years since the last monthly record low. - 92 years since a monthly record low during meteorological winter. Since 1998 5 monthly record warm readings but none of those during meteorological summer all were during meteorological winter. Of course NYC temperatures during the summer are skewed low since equipment was moved from out in the open to the middle of a thicket. Hard to envision a monthly record low in NYC until the next climate shift to cooler occurs from whatever the cause of that may be. Volcanic? Next natural climate shift? Something more drastic?

Checked the local Mesonet. Event cumulation totals have reached the geometric growth phase. We are almost up to 0.25" now...lol.

75F is a good temp if you sit on your lawnmower. If you are pushing the lawnmower and walking behind it, 75F is about 10-15 degrees too warm.

Yea, precipitation is the problem from your area into NNE....temps pretty near equally as correlated to snowfall here...close. Slight hedged towards precip from my area near the NH border and on up.