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  2. Lake event, their Warning is impressive. Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 1121 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 ILZ103>105-108-100330- /O.CON.KLOT.WS.W.0001.251110T0300Z-251110T1800Z/ Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Eastern Will- Including the cities of Oak Lawn, Park Forest, Beecher, Orland Park, Cicero, Northbrook, Schaumburg, Crete, Lemont, Palatine, Evanston, Oak Park, Calumet City, Oak Forest, Des Plaines, La Grange, Peotone, and Chicago 1121 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Dangerous to impossible travel conditions due to intense lake effect snow expected. Snow rates in excess of 3 inches per hour, localized total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches, and northerly wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are expected. * WHERE...Central Cook, Eastern Will, Northern Cook, and Southern Cook Counties. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to noon CST Monday. * IMPACTS...Snow rates in excess of 3 inches per hour will cripple travel, including during the Monday morning commute. Strong northerly wind gusts in excess of 30 mph will lead to greatly reduced visibility, especially near the Lake Michigan shoreline. Periods of thundersnow will occur, as well. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow is often very localized, with conditions varying from safe to dangerous across just a few miles. Snow totals in the Winter Storm Warning area may vary considerably from one location to the next.
  3. Ryan Maue purposefully uses language like this to generate reactions on social media, particularly from people who use such tweets as examples of anthro climate change proponents being "extremists" or "doomists". It's funny, because beneath that veil he likely is more aligned with the people who get reactionary when he uses such phrases as "climate breakdown". He served as the chief scientist at NOAA under Trump, and at the time was known for minimizing humanity's role in recent climate trends. Maybe that implies that there's a good bit of sarcasm in that tweet's wording, but it is not the first time he's done such a thing.
  4. The official Chicago records have been at O’Hare since 1980 and were at Midway 1942-79. Prior to that they were even closer to the lake. Keeping this in mind: the official Chicago record heaviest Nov snowfall for a single storm is 12.0” (11/25-6 of 1895). That was from a strong low (rather than pure Lake Effect) that moved from N Miss to E of MI per old wx maps. Like @donsutherland1said, it’s highly unlikely this will even be close to 12” officially. (I saw that he mentioned that 4”+ is reachable though).THE FOLLOWING IS THE UPDATED LIST OF THE LARGEST SNOW EVENTSDURING THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER FOR CHICAGO DURING THE PERIOD OFRECORD...WHICH IS SINCE 1884:RANK DATES EVENT SNOWFALL /IN/-----------------------------------------1. NOV 25-26 1895 12.02. NOV 20-21 2015 11.23. NOV 6-7 1951 9.34. NOV 26-27 1975 8.6 5. NOV 27-28 1891 6.0RANK MONTH MONTHLY SNOWFALL /IN/-----------------------------------------1. NOV 1940 14.82. NOV 1895 14.53. NOV 1951 14.34. NOV 2015* 11.25. NOV 1975 10.8 https://www.weather.gov/lot/earliestnovsnows
  5. My thinking is later on there will be a phoon headed towards China the next couple days,this will pump up the heights from the Yellow Sea into Japan along with the MJO headed into the WP,so that should be height rises towards Mid Nove for a few days,guess the good news right now is the MJO could possibly go into the COD,but anyways what the EPS seems to be showing today is a trough going thru East Asia round the 15th,so we'd probably be seeing a CF right before thanksgiving and back to BN temps at least for a bit..JMO
  6. climate breakdown? sounds like a great time to me, and granted a little early in the season, but climate breakdown??? i need explanation.
  7. It's nearly to the western coast of Luzon at this point, for the center on the IR satellite.
  8. RAP and HRRR give us a radar presentation like a little cyclone tomorrow. I wonder if that will verify?
  9. Fung-Wong just made landfall in central Luzon as a 115-mph typhoon, very large storm too. It’s forecast to move across Luzon at a good clip, so hopefully doesn’t cause too many flooding problems.
  10. Sending good vibes and torches to the homies back home. Let’s keep that southerly flow going!
  11. Today
  12. Took a tour through some cams across Porter County. Looks like perhaps a RA/SN mix along the 94 corridor. But down towards Valparaiso, snowing heavy & accumulating nicely.
  13. Temp has started falling here. It's down 6 degrees in the last 45 minutes.
  14. Not in the city. Again I think of ORD, but I don’t see the city getting huge amounts. Maybe right on the beach gets a foot? SE of them will pound.
  15. Should be a fun on folks. 12z Nam 3km has my location getting 3” or so inches of snow and the higher parts of the neighborhood getting 5”-6” per the WeatherFront App. I have never been able to zoom in so close on a snowfall map so we will see how accurate that is. Anyways looking forward to our first chance of the year!
  16. I’m liking the trends on the HRRR locally. It keeps the main band overhead for several hours this late afternoon and evening before the mesolow swings through. Tomorrow afternoon and evening will have to be closely watched out here for round 2.
  17. 60 right now. Amazing out. Let’s get the GFS run and have stein blocking.
  18. Gonna need to be on the water I think. I always think ORD as Chicago because that’s where I used to forecast for. They always underwhelm. Still want to be SE of the city, but they’ll get snow. Looks like they get the comms head briefly and may pound then, but after that as Dendy said, they’ll be a narrow band and a few miles means moonshine or pound town.
  19. Reel it in fellas. Hope to see some magical photos tomorrow.
  20. `Well there you go... if what you are saying is true ( bold ^ ...I'll leave that up to you) than it shows - this just a little logic application and critical analysis, they are dubious (and immoral by the way) without even knowing their history.
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