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This was my heaviest rainfall in an hour since moving up to CT. Picked up 3.18 yesterday in only one hour. The daily total in my area was 3.72.

Hartford plus 1.2 for the month. Doesn't seem like that would be the hottest ever???

Low of 69 with a paltry .01” of rain. Just too much cloud debris around yesterday to ever really get things going. Good news is the upcoming stretch of weather is about as good as it gets for late July. Enjoy.

And there goes Rusty!

Pretty wild how we have had elements of the summer 2011 weather pattern against the backdrop of such an extreme developing El Nino.

We’ve now passed 1997’s OHC record, we are over +2.6C The Peru weather service just updated, they are expecting “extraordinary” (aka super) El Niño costero (region 1+2) conditions, with SSTs greater than +3.5C to continue into 2027….. Region 3.4 continues shattering SST records

Upcoming days look like pure chamber of commerce weather. One day of raised dew points and right back to it. Not much sweating this summer.

You can always cancel if it looks bad.

Picked up 0.89” here, which isn’t as much as I thought. I was in the city last night and they definitely got more.

Nope no dust bowl in Chester County, just Phoenixville with a bad shelter location. Philadelphia and West Chester don't agree at all with your plot. Not surprising since once again you are confounding station changes and weather. East Nantmeal and West Grove are a little different than the City of Coatesville or West Chester don't you think?

Congrats north, south, east, and west of me. .60 here while just about everyone received 3-6". Ugh the boring drought continues in my area. I'm going to have to start chasing rain events. So bored. I can't wait until LES season lol

Pft. 0.34". Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Glad to see we both could get in on the action. I’m a little to your southwest, on the norwell/scituate line. This was def a much needed soaker for the south shore and much of eastern ma too!

What a deluge of rain this morning in my area of NS. Looks like another heavy slug later this morning also. Certainly not the dry summer we had last year..

Clear that you do not understand the science behind bias adjustments. Bias adjustments are not made in an ad hoc manner or to raise or lower the temperature of a station. Bias adjustments are only made to correct station changes. If the station observation time doesn't change, then no adjustment is needed. Adjustments are based solely on raw data. A station has to change with time in a manner that is different from all other stations that experience the same weather. The goal is to include weather and exclude station changes when calculating long-term climate trends. The only way to evaluate bias adjustments is to inspect raw station data at the time of the station change. Here's an example using the West Chester 1970 move. The old West Chester COOP shut down in December of 1969 and re-opened in May of 1970 at a new location. Subtracting Coatesville from West Chester isolates the relative temperature changes at the two stations at the time of the move. The raw data shows that the new West Chester site cooled by significantly relative to Coatesville after the move. That's all the proof needed to identify a major station change at either Coatesville or West Chester. We know from raw data from Phoenixville that West Chester is the guilty party. The Chesco raw data clearly shows that West Chester cooled significantly after its 1970 move. The NOAA bias adjustment is in complete agreement with the raw data from Coatesville and West Chester. That shouldn't be surprising. NCEI is using all the raw data that experiences the same weather as West Chester, hundreds of stations potentially. I've looked at multiple large station changes at the Chesco COOPs and NCEI nails every one. Note that NCEI is asking a similar question as your AI analysis. Does West Chester respond to local May 1970 weather in the same as the other regional stations? However the NCEI procedure is much more targeted than AI, is using more data, and it is using the right conceptual model. The temperatures at West Chester do not vary independently of the temperatures at Coatesville or other stations. This gives the NCEI analysis much more power. It can correctly flag the West Chester move as a major station change. While your AI analysis can not. The raw data is the final arbiter and in this case NCEI is clearly superior to AI.

Some good news! Average temps have maxed out and we start trending downward again!

Cape cod getting rocked again in another couple hours

catastrophic flooding in central WV.

0Z UKMET: similar to 12Z with a TS passing just S of Galveston at hour 45 heading W with a 999 mb 44 knot winds then with most of the rain in the S quadrant; the remnant inland low then moves SW TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.2N 87.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022026 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 22.07.2026 0 29.2N 87.5W 999 42 1200UTC 22.07.2026 12 29.3N 88.3W 998 37 0000UTC 23.07.2026 24 28.5N 90.4W 997 40 1200UTC 23.07.2026 36 28.8N 92.7W 998 44 0000UTC 24.07.2026 48 29.0N 95.9W 1002 31 1200UTC 24.07.2026 60 27.6N 99.2W 1006 26 0000UTC 25.07.2026 72 CEASED TRACKING

I am not versed in the exact physics of the processes, but I can say this. "Fat" CAPE on a sounding plot is not the same as "skinny" CAPE. "Fat" CAPE promotes more rapid updraft acceleration (image 1), and "skinny" CAPE promotes less rapid updraft acceleration (image 2). If you want svr wx, "fat" CAPE is more conducive to produce it. "Skinny" CAPE is better for heavy rainfall and flash flooding potential.

The Great Chuck Chodes wouldn't have screwed it up this bad. Speaking of the king, he had a term for this kind of storm behavior. I believe he called it circle jerking the Commonwealth, but I could be mistaken.

Some of the details of the upward column is like two hoses but of different sizes so the flows are different?

+AAM as far as the eye can see In other news, +IOD forecasts continue to go up….

Getting some quality thunder and lightning over here.House shakers.