All Activity

51 this morning.

Yep, saw 45.1 at Canaan NWR earlier. Here the low was 54.9, currently 55.3/54.6 at 8 am with dense fog, less than 0.1 visibility! House is wide open.

2013-14 and 2014-15 came after low ACE seasons. Low ACE season is pretty much locked unless we get a Hurricane Andrew, and even then, we'll probably still finish below average in ACE. (1992 finished with 76 ACE despite having Hurricane Andrew.) I feel like the hand has been dealt. The East Pacific is having a very active year, while the Atlantic has been very quiet. It's August now, and that's probably not going to suddenly shift gears at this point. (If the Atlantic was going to get active, we would have seen it by now. Even 2004 got started with Alex late in July. We're already past that, and this season has been completely blank.) The question now is if the Atlantic will get that big storm (like Andrew in 1992) or if we're going to get shut out (like in 2013).

Low of 57. 59 currently. Spectacular morning.

GFS is very tropics happy

52 this morning...brrr

Low of 51° here this morning. Forecast looks dry. Most of Franklin County had less than an inch of rain this week which is half or less than a lot of other areas.

Yesterday we picked up 4 rounds of heavy rain. Almost tropical like. Everytime it looked like it was going to let up, it would come right back again in buckets! We ended up with 2.48in for the day along with the cooler weather as well. So thankful for that! I did see where the rain ultimately won out last night in Bristol at the Braves v Reds game. Hopefully they get it in today.

Low of 59.7 so stayed at 60 thankfully

Bottomed out at 61.4 IMBY / east side Columbia.

Whoa 43 at Bittinger near Deep Creek. Crazy

Starting to see an uptick on models. Looks like two possible home grown systems then something from the MDR. August is here!

Yawn, Avondale and PHL are have similar trends for July Highs. All you are showing is that your station average doesn't match individual station data. Big change in the station network since 1970. The average station today is 100' higher.

LOTS of easterly flow in that EPS image... moisture.

The cool crisp air makes those fires smell even better when driving home. It was definitley hoodie weather!

Verification comments added to the initial post for July... actually imo, decently outlooked.

54 at the moment. Looks like one more night in the 50s tonight before the minimums creep up. Great bonfire last night, though some of our guests did have on sweatshirts which was comical in light of how hot it has been.

If we do indeed flip to a -AAM regime along with -PDO and -ENSO/Nina, the CANSIPS for fall (SON) makes no sense

46.8F low here. Ouch

00z/3 GEFS and consequently WPC looks misleading dry and underplayed middle and end of this coming week... PA/NJ/NYS. Developing Ohio Valley upper low spells trouble this first week of August... before a major warming occurs 2nd and 3rd weeks of August-back to H&H then. So, I'll have to self criticize if the 00z/3 DRY WPC 7 day in PA/NNJ/NYS verifies-accountability for words Expressed. The rain may no exceed 1/4''' but I think something is coming to NJ/e PA/s NYS. Exactly how and when is my greater uncertainty. Difficult to get 7-8 consecutive days of no measurable. Can happen--- Adding verification to July in a couple minutes.

This is going to be the best August weather we have seen in years. Very impressive Canadian high pressure will dominate. The easterly flow will keep the temperatures comfortable for this time of year with a break in the record heat that we experienced from late June through July. The high pressure will keep most of the rain to our south.

Back to Back 50F mornings, we take! Natural cooling while HVAC takes a break for a few days before going back on this week.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 426 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025 Mid to late-week, the upper level pattern will begin to change as troughing develops over the TN Valley, and as ridging sets up from the western Atlantic north through eastern Canada. During this time, medium range guidance is showing a pretty good signal for a blocky pattern to develop across the eastern U.S. and western Atlantic. Of note, medium range deterministic and ensemble guidance suggest the Atlantic may begin to "wake up" so to speak as we move into the latter half of the week. While the main development region (MDR) will be a potential candidate for tropical activity, it is also worth noting that guidance is beginning to show a signal closer to home for low pressure development along the frontal boundary off the Southeast U.S. coast later in the week. As we often remind folks this time of year, please be careful not to lock into one run of one model, as significant run-to-run changes can be expected. At this point, the main takeaway is to be aware of the potential. Stay tuned for updates from the National Hurricane Center through the week in case this risk were to increase.

Need a hoodie up here in the Berks this morning, temps are in the low 50's feeling fall like.

1 mile from my house the epicenter was. Felt wayyyy stronger than the 2 we had last year. Legit shook me back into my couch. 55 degrees in Paramus, NJ right now. Someone in NW NJ has had to have gotten into the 40s.