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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
You are such a sally...I have had 7 consecutive subpar seasons...sure your lows are lower than mine, but you had a good a couple of good seasons in 20-21 and 21-22 capped off with an epic blizzard, which get became another nightmare in my sordid winter psyche. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Cora is a fine manager, but the relationship ran its course...he's only here because his family is rooted here, not because he is passionate about this team. He was the right hire last decade, when they were a veteran team closing on a title. He isn't the type of guy that likes to cultivate young talent. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yes it was! LOL. -
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1241 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 115 PM EDT. * At 1241 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of Sperryville, or 15 miles west of Warrenton, moving east at 15 mph.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
His plate discipline is Soto like. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
crownweather replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Cora needs to go (what dirt does he have on ownership that they're keeping him around). Also, Breslow needs to go. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Damage In Tolland replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s possible it’s a bit low . -
Looks like a fairly straightforward day. Some training thunderstorms with scattered reports of flooding and wet microbursts. Lots of surface CAPE, but the downdraft CAPE and mid level lapse rates aren't too impressive.
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You imagine correctly lol. 75 would be perfect. I havent even been out yet.
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I think we can both compromise and agree that today is a top shelf summer day with the limited humidity. Although I'd imagine 75 instead of 85 would be your preference.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I got 0.32" overnight after getting 0.49" yesterday. I see HRRR says the heavy stuff is gonna miss to the south and only gives us light rain tonight, but who knows. Some other models hit us. No big deal if today ends up missing since I already got a nice 0.81" soaking. Feels very steamy out there with the dewpoint at 75. -
Detroit nearly did this in 1880-82 the other way around. The winter of 1880-81 had a previously untouchable 93.6" followed by a pitiful 13.2" in 1881-82. Both records stood for a while, although now both rank 2nd, behind 2013-14 (94.9") and 1936-37 (12.9"). While both winters of 1881-82 & 1936-37 were pitiful, 1881-82 was much, MUCH warmer, easily the least wintry on record. Side note- there are some discrepancies in some snow data pre-1885 at Detroit. While a good amount of accurate data exists 1874-1885, due to multiple obvious errors and some M data, they dont include 1874-79 in the official record. However, IMO you could extend this to 1885, as there are discrepancies in these years as well. 1880-81 data that I see comes out to 79.4", so unsure where the extra snow comes from (I would need to look at the archaic books at DTX to find out). It would still rank 2nd (3rd is 78.0"), but if 79.4" is the true number, it makes 2013-14's 94.9" even more impressive in that its 15.5" more than 2nd place). Also, 1881-82 comes out to 11.5", which would make that #1, not #2 least snowy. All of those technicalities aside, the number of instances where an unusually low snow season is followed by an unusually heavy one, and vice versa, are multiple. So Ill call it now. Above avg snow for MLI in 2025-26.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yup...hopefully it is close to correct -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dryslot replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Its feast or famine and unbearable. -
Torandoes after June 1. Yes they used to happen even in the South. Recent years we cannot hardly buy action after May 15. This year it went later into May with that southern stream south of the AN heights North. Plains actually had a June season this year too. But the last several years the season either ended early or moved north quickly. Anyway it's July. Our next chance of anything more than downbursts would probably be hybrid tropical remnants. Jax our posts would flow fine without a quote.. except it's a new page!
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Thanks to the last 10 days of the month being the warmest last 10 days of June on record (despite a max of "only" 95), June at Detroit ended up tying with 1994 for 11th warmest June on record. To put it into perspective, as of June 20th, it was ranking 64th coldest.
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Storms already forming in VA don’t seem to be very well modeled
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Central & Eastern Pacific Thread
BarryStantonGBP replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
imagine if this was making a landfall with that kind of name -
Sending good vibes!
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4th of July front is a couple days early this year, but yes it seems almost obligatory recently. Could be hot again on the 4th though. While temps will be above normal Friday through early next week, the humidify will not be what it was last week. I call it hot but not a bad heat wave. Starting around July 10 temps may settle to seasonable (hot but doable). PNA and GWO are friendly to the Southeast. Two paths are offered. CFS is weak heights Great Lakes, but Texas ridge could pulse into the Mid-South at times. Euro is AN heights North which can sometimes ooze South. Either pattern is friendly for less sustained heat here, perhaps even normal temps.
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Heat Index 102 at the Noon hour.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
July 1, 1911 saw 2.68" of rain in Phoenix (high: 79°) and July 2, 1911 saw an additional 2.81" of rain (high: 82°). The July 2 figure remains the highest July daily amount on record and the two-day figure of 5.49" is the highest two-day figure on record for any two-day period in Phoenix. -
I at around 21” rain for the year. Give or take .5-.75”.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
S-W PA activity -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Intensewind002 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
82/77 absolutely disgusting outside