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  2. NJwx85
    Just wanted to clarify since some would assume it covered the entire days activities.
  3. NJwx85
    The steady rain in NE PA is drying up. All these things are great signs. Full steam ahead for mid to late afternoon.
  4. IrishRob17
    You don’t say
  5. yoda
    Should be getting a MCD soon, probably in next hour
  6. NJwx85
    This is only regarding the morning threat.
  7. batmanbrad
    visible does seem to show some decent clearing as you get west of MoCo...
  8. canderson
    Heavy rain now
  9. mappy
    Drive north where it’s pouring in Hershey. So we’re at Troegs until it stops haha
  10. Maureen
    Had a heavy downpour with thunder in Carteret. In a lull now, just dark.
  11. Rmine1
    Looks like things are dying as they march east, which comes as no surprise for most of LI. Especially, along the south shore in western Suffolk.
  12. 2112wxgrl
    Just lost power in Wantage. We didn’t even get a storm yet. We didn’t even lose power on July 3rd. We’re throwing a grad today. We already have it set up to be inside. But, no power already? Getting windy, though.
  13. MJO812
    Torrential downpours here with loud thunder and frequent lightning.
  14. WxUSAF
    Sky has brightened
  15. MJO812
    Torrential downpours here with loud thunder and frequent lightning.
  16. canderson
    Incredibly loud thunder and it’s as dark as night
  17. IrishRob17
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1645.html Mesoscale Discussion 1645 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026 Areas affected...Northern Mid-Atlantic into southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 181501Z - 181630Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible with strong to marginally severe storms late this morning. A watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...A small linear cluster of storms has recently organized in northern New Jersey and adjacent northeast Pennsylvania. Storm cores have shown modest deepening on 7 km MRMS CAPPI over the last 30 minutes. The observed OKX sounding had poor mid-level lapse rates (5.3 C/km) but 45 kt of effective shear. Downstream of this current activity, cloud cover and smoke have hindered surface heating. Low-level lapse rates are not expected to be overly steep. While isolated wind damage is possible late this morning, the severe threat should remain marginal on account of very limited buoyancy. A watch is not expected. ..Wendt/Thompson.. 07/18/2026
  18. yoda
    S winds being reported on the 11am obs up to BWI... 84/75 S at 9 at DCA... C VA like CHO, Culpepper, EZF already upper 80s
  19. NavarreDon started following 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Heavier rain in Marysville with occasional thunder.
  21. NEG NAO
    models are unreliable in these setups = now casting time using radars and this smoke is still hanging in there making the sky look strange
  22. kdxken
  23. Eskimo Joe
    It's inside, but I have bad luck of getting recalled for work when I finally get a date day with the wife.
  24. KakashiHatake2000
    SPC has moved marginal risk westward into middle TN for 5% wind also did you check out SPC discussion a upgrade to 60% for wind in the already 45% wind in mid Atlantic New England area .
  25. Stormlover74
    I'm wondering about that batch of rain moving in from PA as well
  26. winterwx21
    And the funny thing is, remember how I mentioned that yesterday's 12z HRRR nailed our area today around 10 in the morning. That HRRR run yesterday ended up being correct, but future runs lost it. It's such an inconsistent model, but it's certainly useful at times.
  27. Damage In Tolland
    What do you think on timing?
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