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Nice work

Their extended outlook has nothing dramatic for this time of Year. Cooler but nothing extreme. However, Model Data is showing cooler but nothing of Tecord proportions. NWS is adjusting to Climatology , so their extended Outlook will be warmer than Guidance.

Midnight high for MBY.

Consensus model has shifted both north and west this time around! The amount of shifting past few days is remarkable! Euro cmc, and even some of the more reliable hurricane models had a decent shift west/ north at 12z

yeah and the average Joe doesn't realize it's fake-what a dumpster fire.

20 years ago OTD. Copy/pasted from my YouTube description: On August 18th, 2005, Wisconsin experienced what still stands as its record single-day tornado outbreak, with 27 occurring in the state. The most significant of these was a high-end F3 which tracked for 20 miles through residential subdivisions on the northern edge of the city of Stoughton, in southeastern Dane County. The house where my parents and I lived at the time (and they still do) is in one of these subdivisions. The tornado missed us by less than 1/4 of a mile, and the one man who died in it (I believe still the last tornado-related fatality in southern Wisconsin to date) lived on the opposite end of the same subdivision. I was 19 at the time and about to start my sophomore year in college. I had long had a fascination with severe weather and tornadoes from childhood and intended to take up storm chasing at some point. For a long time I was angry at myself for not being more prepared on this day and ready to get better footage (a quick YouTube search will unveil the many incredible videos which exist of this tornado, captured by several people who lived not far away). I felt like the atmosphere had tried to hand me the ultimate "backyard chase" and I botched it. You never actually see the tornado itself, just debris falling out of the sky beneath violently churning clouds over our house before I ran for cover (portions of the audio muted because I was shouting like an idiot), and then the structure on the back edge of the supercell thunderstorm after it had moved off and was producing a series of weaker tornadoes north of Lake Koshkonong/west of Fort Atkinson. Most of this footage has never been shared before on YouTube. I had the damage tour section on my old channel, uploaded about a year and a half after the fact in YT's old, lousy 240p resolution, but that was about it. Attachment space limits are too tight here, but damage photos are on TW for anyone else who's a member of both: https://talkweather.com/threads/tornado-anniversaries.2250/page-11

So boring.

He’s another weird one.

Haha yep. One day I’ll get a place on the Cape.

TS Watches for OBX as of the 5p advisory

Baking that must take forever...

Jimmy Buffet on repeat in the background. Tie dye shirts only. Sign above the bar that says “Aren’t you glad you aren’t paving I-93?”

Get well soon. This should brighten your day.

If winter actually returns I’ll be right there with Ineedsnow. But these recent summers have been such a treat after 3 catastrophic winters.

thankfully there are antibiotics that you can take at least despite there not being a lymes disease vaccine out yet i kind of wish that one from the early 2000s could be brought back even though low demand

I would swim every day if I could. Just love that tropical vibe. Makes me want to live at a beach bar with a hemp necklace and put out chairs for people.

Something about this weather brings out past traumas…

Sadly there is no current Lyme vaccine. There was one that was discontinued in the early 2000s due to the manufacturer citing low demand. A new one is in clinical trials I believe. kind of shocked how I’ve never knowingly had it. I’m in the woods a bunch.

Do you swim every day? Is that why you don’t like this pleasant weather? Did Morgarbage’s teeet a couple of weeks ago hit too close to home for you? I don’t get it. Even with swimming it would only be mildly uncomfortable.

Slezak may get a win for his “likely Carolinas” prediction. @BarryStantonGBP

Got a TOR warning now just west of Elgin

I have heard of reports of some 40 to 50 mile distances in the past. So 25 does not surprise me. Still could be a dreadful wakeup call though.

You are going to get two X outs or shit emojis from DIT and his chimp sidekick.

As I mentioned this morning - in fact many spots across the area stayed in the 60's all afternoon - including Atglen, East Nantmeal, Glenmoore, Nottingham and Longwood Gardens to name a few - for sure an unseasonably chilly Mid August afternoon! Below is from my station in East Nantmeal.

As I mentioned this morning - in fact many spots across the area stayed in the 60's all afternoon - including Atglen, East Nantmeal, Glenmoore, Nottingham and Longwood Gardens to name a few - for sure an unseasonably chilly Mid August afternoon! Below is from my station in East Nantmeal.