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Congrats Ray that run.

I may crash out if Dec doesn’t produce lol .

its probably a brash prediction

Paul Roundy also thinks it has a good chance of that. Its going to do something you haven't seen in many decades and that it will stay in phase 8 for 3 weeks and if its 4 I wouldn't be shocked . And say goodbye to the warmups that were predicted . Enjoy

Pretty much a best case scenario for a share the wealth storm system. Nearly every location within our sub was able to get in on some decent snowfall. That's really hard to do. Final total here is 10.5". DVN with 10.6", MLI at 9.2" (1" more than all of last season), and DBQ had 12.3".

Great to see you posting again. Here’s to looking forward to an active start to Winter this week!

Step down process is doing what it does…upper Midwest and Northeast first, then Kentucky, WV and parts of the mid Atlantic on Tuesday…Friday? Remains to be seen but could be us, or could be close with no cigar. Either way, it’s usually the third storm in the pattern change that initiates our shots.

Accumulating here too on non-paved/trees and yard. Geese still at it.

Nice sized flakes in Royersford. Pretty scene

Thinking along the lines of 2-4" for my location and elevation. Expect main / well traveled roads to have few if any issues as they will be heavily treated. Side and back roads I would expect issues. Not a bad start to the season and no matter what the first half of December looks to average solidly below normal.

Snow. 34.0 Actually whitening non paved surfaces a bit.

Nice burst of light snow here with some stickage. First measurable snow of the season. Aaaaand we're off and running

Actually I may take that back…beta Pivotal version put me on the 6z run. 12z is looking similar to 6z aloft. Maybe a little more amplified.

And no wildfires like last fall either

I think the ICON will tick south based on the plains phasing

The plants that were being shutdown had relatively high cost, that's why they were being shutdown.

Here is the ext

It was nice while it lasted 36f light rain that was quick dam south winds.

12z nam is much better,it's gone from amped inland to just offshore coastal. Nyc ends as all snow. All the models are coming in to agreement with some wiggle room for improvement.

BOX going 4”-7” here. That would be a nice way to kick off the season.

Mood flakes here as well. Precipitation for November a rather light 1.90". Just a Trace of snow for the month. Trace recorded on 6 days. Precipitation Y.T.D. a respectable 39.55". Wet periods with significant dry periods in between. At least October and November felt like Autumn this year. No extended or repeated torch periods and an ample supply of cold nights and chilly days.

Of course this band comes ripping through right after I cleared the driveway.

Regardless of what he’s basing it off of, I’m just clarifying that it is his prediction that the MJO does something completely historic and stays in phase 8 for 31 days next month

Euro has been so consistent here, but I think it’s wrong. I’d love it to be right, but I feel like we’re going to inch north towards a compromise over the next 2 days

Chunky rain and sleet in Havre de Grace