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I thought you were talking about a bug.
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Ima gonna go sit and wait on that cell near Frankfort IN. Its dangling pre frontal all alone and has that look. Its moving @ 60 right at me so shouldn't have to wait long lol
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On and off thunder and rain in Northern Summit County, OH. Nothing too extreme yet. Cooling down for sure, though.
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Some positive trends today with signs that the front may stall late next week and we could get some actual widespread rainfall.
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Enjoy. That looks great. It got to about 70 here…felt like it was even warmer, compared to the trash we’ve had lately.
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It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
Chris78 replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
I've got to go D+ for my yard. Only 60% of climo snowfall and the 5th year in a row of sub 20" Seasonal snowfall. Which was unheard of until the last 5 years, Going all the way back to 1899 when records started at HGR. Sad run of winters honestly for Northern and western areas. -
Made it to 78 Looks like next week there will be 1 day in mid 80s!
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Ended up being a nice day. Low 60s, sun in and out. Started off shitty though with light showers. Peepers are out in full force now. Loud af.
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2 1/2 days on a single page?
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Distant smoky wildfire smell out here today. Edit: just saw there are wildfires down in NC
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Had a few sprinkles here today. SPC FTL with yesterday's day2 outlook for northwest IL/east IA.
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Glad I held off putting the tree fertilizer spikes in as we received nothing for rainfall today.
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Phreakin' confirmed hailers lining up in IN/IL. Stay up there dammit Tor watch for OH where lake breeze interaction has a better chance with already organized cells. Mesoscale Discussion 0292 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026 Areas affected...much of Ohio into western Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 262025Z - 262200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Gradual convective development should support an increasing risk for supercells late this afternoon into this evening. Hail, damaging gusts are likely, with a couple of tornadoes possible. DISCUSSION...Afternoon visible and radar imagery showed an area of showers and weak convection gradually intensifying across southern Lower MI into northwestern OH. Located along and south of a front/lake breeze intersection, warming and moistening of the air mass across much of OH and PA this afternoon has resulted in weak to moderate buoyancy. Area VADs show very strong mid-level flow with elongated and veering hodographs. This will favor a mix of supercells and linear segments as the primary storm mode. Given the sufficient buoyancy and strong low/deep-layer shear, hail and severe gusts are likely. Tornadoes are also possible given ESRH of 300-400 m2/s2. Additional vertical vorticity near the lake breeze boundary could also support a locally greater tornado risk given favorable storm motions parallel to the lake shore. Recent CAM guidance and satellite trends regarding the ongoing shallow convection/showers over northwest OH and Lower MI show them gradually deepening as continued heating and mid-level ascent erode inhibition. This should support an increase in the severe risk late this afternoon into the evening. A Tornado Watch will likely be needed. ..Lyons/Smith.. 03/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX... LAT...LON 41748249 42038144 42058046 41617949 41077934 40447956 39768013 39258145 39148316 39458405 39838433 40468450 41188445 41648424 41758388 41768347 41748249 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Page last modified: March 26, 2026 Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary Privacy Policy Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) About Us Career Opportunities
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It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
WxUSAF replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
B+ A if curving for a Nina. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
78 was the high here today. - Today
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looking forward to a winters day saturday in the city..
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CAPE started following It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
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This winter was impressively cold overall, but some/much of that cold was wasted. Some areas did well with frozen precip opportunities wrt climo, others not so much. Time to grade it.
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Getting my cold rain on, good luck to those downstream
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1 down, 161 to go for the O's perfect season. -
Anthony, I wouldn’t say that because the DJF AO was the most negative since 2020-1 with ~-1 averaged out.
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After some overnight showers and perhaps a thundershower, it will turn somewhat cooler tomorrow with highs reaching the lower and middle 50s. Another cold front could cross the region on tomorrow night or Friday. The front will bring a few showers or thundershowers. The weekend will start on a cold note with the low temperature likely near or even somewhat below freezing in New York City and high temperatures in the middle 40s on Saturday. Sunday will become somewhat milder. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.10 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.529 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.8° (3.0° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
