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  2. 0Z UKMET: H at 168 strengthening on a slow WNW move in Gulf NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 24.6N 78.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 03.09.2026 108 24.9N 79.9W 1008 30 0000UTC 04.09.2026 120 25.9N 82.1W 1005 33 1200UTC 04.09.2026 132 27.3N 84.2W 1001 38 0000UTC 05.09.2026 144 28.0N 86.2W 996 43 1200UTC 05.09.2026 156 28.4N 87.8W 989 61 0000UTC 06.09.2026 168 28.7N 88.9W 977 68
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. Last 30 days, this year is head and shoulders above the rest of the super nino's. Quite an impressive look on the VP 200 charts now.
  5. I've been getting warmer indicators on the Winter than a month ago. Will have to find a site that does SSTA for the whole May-Sept period
  6. Cyclosporiasis? Seriously, need something to mix it up...some tropical would be nice.
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. Pretty good WWB ongoing right now actually. This looks to be verifying a tick stronger than guidance had been showing. Another good one coming in a week to 10 days too it appears. No question El nino is in control of the tropics. MJO is MIA faced with this event. All el nino IMO. Maybe some hint of it increasing influence into the north pacific during Sept on the AIFS-Ens now. But we'll have to see how that goes and how that verifies.
  9. Today
  10. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  11. Your profile pic, is it you or a vibe or something?
  12. Getting pretty close to go-time for Check's NAO calculation....should be shifting towards + with only one. month remaining in the period...
  13. Today's Highs: PHL: 82 New Brnswck: 81 EWR: 80 BLM: 80 LGA: 79 ACY: 79 TEB: 79 TTN: 78 ISP: 77 JFK: 77 NYC: 76
  14. Beautiful night for a preseason kettle fire - 65°F and 55 dewpoint!
  15. Missing the warm nights. Standing outside with shorts/short-sleeved shirt not very fun tonight
  16. Stayed in the 60's today near the Lake. 70's well inland. Pretty cloudy all day, and no rain.
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  18. I am under 0.50 for the month of August...everyday it rains around us. So sick of this. July was great though.
  19. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  20. If you like tornadoes and uav systems then you're really going to love the otus project. https://youtube.com/@the_otus_project?si=sgTvA6tK1chbhc-A
  21. Ghost of Dolly really feeling that shear now
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