weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 hope that dynamic cooling goes to work tommorrow pm. seems like a lot of now cast potential. and where heavy precip goes over. I think you...in Framingham, get 3-6. I think Boston gets 2-3 but west of 128 it will be tougher to scour out the cold. Either way, warmer temps appear short lived per this run. Very tough forecast as these little meso effects can bust so badly. I'm planning on spending the whole freaking day at Logan before I'm out of here. Friday will be fun too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Zoomed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Zoomed in. There's your dynamic cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Here we go........first of my evening p/c. Tonight: A chance of snow after 5am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 2. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tuesday: Snow before 4pm, then snow and sleet. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy dense freezing fog after 8am. High near 28. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 1am, then a chance of freezing rain and sleet between 1am and 4am, then a chance of snow after 4am. Patchy freezing fog before 7pm. Low around 28. North wind between 3 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. My snow is similar - 7-13". More than I was expecting by a good amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 850's crash but the sfc temps. are torching on the NAM...jesus. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znampmsl10mwinds2mtemps030.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 A little overdone on QPF ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a mess... Looks like 4-8'' of snow here followed by ice...any idea on start time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Nobody likes rain with all of this snowpack but, for business purposes, I'd prefer it to an ice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Look at how much precip falls from 24-30h in Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 8-14" here....... 6-10 warning here assumes some tainting it seems. 10 the colder verify then I expect I would have 8-14 also. Quite happy with 6-10 though . They also have snow likely on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 850's crash but the sfc temps. are torching on the NAM...jesus. http://raleighwx.ame...s2mtemps030.gif 30s isn't torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 8-14" here....... lol ... I saw that. Heavy heavy .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Even at 00z, although it tips at the surface I think. Tremendous VV's cooling the lower to mid levels means a snowbomb for some..even near the coast. That would smoke ORH. LOL What a crazy NAM run....qpf almost rivals that of the HECS....I'd prob get like 10" before a flip that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 who says we can't get 1.5 QPF. most are calling for 1+ qpf....tons of gulf moisture and atlantic moisture......why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol....I may not get out. JetBlue can choose to bag it........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol....I may not get out. JetBlue can choose to bag it........ Yeah...I'm supposed to be on the road around noon tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Here's the GYX map ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol ... I saw that. Heavy heavy .. Eh you got me with the map by 30 seconds........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 who says we can't get 1.5 QPF. most are calling for 1+ qpf....tons of gulf moisture and atlantic moisture......why not? I don't want that much qpf...more to fall as rain after the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Here's the GYX map ... Can you remember the last time they had regionwide warnings? - looking great for NNE... hopefully the ski resorts in ME, NH and VT cash in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 30s isn't torching. Hmmm..I thought the thick blue line represents the freezing line but maybe not.. Edit: Oh you said 30's isn't torching..yeah I guess it could still be snow even if it is a little above 32 with the dynamics it shows. Either way I am out of the game over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 18z NAM ....22" in 15 minutes ftw - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Hmmm..I thought the thick blue line represents the freezing line but maybe not.. It does, but the yellow shading throughout most of NE is 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 VV s like Scooter said off the hook, would overcome any warmth at the surface, spring time wet Snow bomb for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I don't want that much qpf...more to fall as rain after the flip. so long as i dont' go above 33-34. we could get 3 inches FAIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Scott...any idea on start time? Around daybreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Can you remember the last time they had regionwide warnings? - looking great for NNE... hopefully the ski resorts in ME, NH and VT cash in here. The last time for region-wide warnings? Not sure about the 1/12 storm but certainly the Boxing Day Blizzard was. Ski resorts will do great, no worries about that. Come up here and spend tons of money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 VV s like Scooter said off the hook, would overcome any warmth at the surface, spring time wet Snow bomb for most. ya man, crank up the coastal, lets get some vertical going baby, looks like 4-6 hr period of Elmers pastage for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Dynamic cooling FTW along the S Coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 18z NAM ....22" in 15 minutes ftw - we could all desperately use one of your war and peace posts ....regarding tommorrow's potential threat. you posted days ago and i was wondering how your ideas have changed. do you buy the potential of the nam being legit? dynamic cooling snow bomb on the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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