Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 00z nam looks a bit like the 12z euro...but it doesn't matter. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 SREF's are out (21z)....nothing eyepopping, but certainly potential for you guys/gals with a few members: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Snow is good. Me-likey. Bring much white to land. Good for men all round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 If all your are looking for is HECS, than yes. All I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Extrapolating the NAM is bad for your health, but yeah, our hope with this run is delayed, but not denied. The weak lead s/w is still producing weak low pressure off of the coast and the H5 low is close enough to induce some inverted troughiness. The problem is the pv lobe that slung the vmax into SNE sorta takes over as the main pv and stalls. So we have hope for another lobe to swing around and in and/or that s/w diving in from the prairie provinces. I'm not going to pretend to know what the NAM will do though. Exactly but man the 5 h looks far more impressive than the GFS, delayed but not denied but to say the NAM will not produce is absolute weenie black rose thoughts. Nobody knows, but I like the look so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Weenies are good. Me-likey. Bring much white to land. Men are good all around. Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 All I meant. All you ever mean which makes it amusing when people forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 o0o0o lah lah I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Anyway...not seeing much at the end of the nam run is not surprising given most 12z runs weren't showing much until after fh100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Dude you said the same At 18 Z here is your GFS at 90 Vs Nam at 84 which gave you 30 inches Well, then maybe Will can explain why this run is less impressive than previous NAM runs......I can't, but have gathered that it isn't. I said I was wrong about hte 18z GFS, but here I don't think that I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 00z nam looks a bit like the 12z euro...but it doesn't matter. Lol. yes, they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 ray wants one KU storm . to put him in happy mode at this stage...the models would need to consistently show a KU with the same level of confidence that big papi instilled circa 2004 coming up to the plate in late and close situation ....just one jackpot . could take a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 All you ever mean which makes it amusing when people forget it I know.....Will tells me it gets nauseating, which is understandable, but then you think everyone would remember what I'm looking for. lol At least it looks cold if we only get a mod event....it's not going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Dude you said the same At 18 Z here is your GFS at 90 Vs Nam at 84 which gave you 30 inches Those vortices are oriented differently and hence the outcome is different. The NAM is not close imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 A mod event would suit me fine, but I think this will come in slightly higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Exactly but man the 5 h looks far more impressive than the GFS, delayed but not denied but to say the NAM will not produce is absolute weenie black rose thoughts. Nobody knows, but I like the look so far. I can't say I'd prefer what the 00z NAM is trying to do over the 18z runs though...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 ray wants one KU storm . to put him in happy mode at this stage...the models would need to consistently show a KU with the same level of confidence that big papi instilled circa 2004 coming up to the plate in late and close situation ....just one jackpot . We had a KU 1 week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 ray wants one KU storm . to put him in happy mode at this stage...the models would need to consistently show a KU with the same level of confidence that big papi instilled circa 2004 coming up to the plate in late and close situation ....just one jackpot . could take a while. Be much easier to take if the rest of the east coast hadn't 6 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 We had a KU 1 week ago. Ah geez, not this again . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 We had a KU 1 week ago. You did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 We had a KU 1 week ago. channeling Ray: "You had one, not me... I had a nusiance event" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Sorry for posting the older 18z ensembles...I didn't even realize that...lol. Anyways, the 12z NAM looks like the 12z euro. Delayed but not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Anyway...not seeing much at the end of the nam run is not surprising given most 12z runs weren't showing much until after fh100 Yeppers that's why I compared with the GFS 5 H at the same time, if that PV yes PV not SPV, rotates down then Ray gets his long lost fetish and we can shut him up for five more years. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 You did. Had both of us had identical totals, it's a KU. Where I come from, a foot of snow is not all that common in one sitting. The problem is it seemed like 2 feet + were possible. Had it been the old days, I'd hear 6+ and be happy with 12. Nowadays there's always an output that makes you think you're in the game for 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 channeling Ray: "You had one, not me... I had a nusiance event" I never called that nuisance event.......but 1' is nothing too out of the ordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 We had a KU 1 week ago. It has to be specifically in his back yard where he is the jackpot. it's like getting the gold at the other side of the rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Had both of us had identical totals, it's a KU. Where I come from, a foot of snow is not all that common in one sitting. The problem is it seemed like 2 feet + were possible. Had it been the old days, I'd hear 6+ and be happy with 12. Nowadays there's always an output that makes you think you're in the game for 25. I hope you enjoyed your KU in December of 1992. And March 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The other aspect of this whole thing is the light easterly flow with 522 thicknesses. That's gonna bring some oes snows well before any synoptic stuff comes to play, and not just the coast either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I never called that nuisance event.......but 1' is nothing too out of the ordinary. I would have cut my arm off, for a foot in the 80's and early 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It has to be specifically in his back yard where he is the jackpot. it's like getting the gold at the other side of the rainbow. I jackpotted in neither Jan 2005, April 1997, December 1992 or March 2001....loved 'em all. Jan 1996.....and so on. None of them did I jackpot.....A-1 in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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