Flying MXZ Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 125 PM EST WED JAN 5 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... Northeastern Delaware County included also, upgraded from nothing earlier. Unreliable reports of 8" in Oneonta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Here are some better obs. 000 NOUS41 KBGM 051757 PNSBGM NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-060557- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1257 PM EST WED JAN 05 2011 THE FOLLOWING ARE OFFICIAL AND UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 2 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS ...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/BINGHAMTON. ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...DELAWARE COUNTY... DAVENPORT 8.0 1242 PM 1/05 ...OTSEGO COUNTY... MORRIS 8.0 1246 PM 1/05 ***********************6 HOUR SNOWFALL*********************** LOCATION 6 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...CHENANGO COUNTY... SHERBURNE 2.5 1100 AM 1/05 **********************12 HOUR SNOWFALL********************** LOCATION 12 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...CHENANGO COUNTY... SHERBURNE 4.5 1100 AM 1/05 ...DELAWARE COUNTY... MERIDALE 7.0 1230 PM 1/05 ...OTSEGO COUNTY... 13 W ONEONTA 3.0 1200 PM 1/05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 "The snow is expected to largely avoid the city of Syracuse, but there may be some after 6 p.m., said National Weather Service hydrometeorological technician Brian Lovejoy." Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 the 18z nam looks great for snow along the mohawk and hudson valleys especially into the Catskills on friday. the position of that upper level low and vorticity lobes changes so much every run it seems we wont know exactly where that line of convergence and moderate to heavy snow sets up until 12 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 343 PM EST WED JAN 5 2011 NYZ015-016-022>025-055-056-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-062045- YATES-SENECA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-TIOGA-BROOME-SULLIVAN- BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE- SOUTHERN WAYNE- 343 PM EST WED JAN 5 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY. THE POCONOS IN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE CATSKILLS OF NEW YORK ARE EXPECTED TO GET THE MOST SNOW. ALTHOUGH MANY DETAILS STILL REMAIN UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME...A LONG DURATION SNOWFALL EVENT IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER SCENARIO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 4.0" Overnight and today. Partly sunny right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 4" today, on top of the 2" overnight. There was clearly more between Delhi and my house, probably 8"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 the 18z nam looks great for snow along the mohawk and hudson valleys especially into the Catskills on friday. the position of that upper level low and vorticity lobes changes so much every run it seems we wont know exactly where that line of convergence and moderate to heavy snow sets up until 12 hours out. yes i dont think we will have a good idea until 00z friday to be honest lol such a narrow zone this trough/norlun, but it has fairly consistently effected upstate hudson/mohawk -eastern lake ontario region to just west of ottawa....with some shifting around. it so narrow though, tough to tell who will get the most, but defintely potential for several inches possible for those under the lucky band of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Snowing hard here, big fluffy flakes. Started about 4:00 and have picked up a quick 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Don't get me wrong, I'm not complaining when I say this. I find it fascinating that it can snow all around you, or a few miles from you, and then where you are it's sunny. ily Lake Effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 QPF SEEM TO BE LIGHT TOMODERATE...HOWEVER DUE TO THE COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE AND LACK OF ANY SUBSTANTIAL BAROCLINIC ZONE NEARBY...SNOW-LIQUID RATIOS COULD BE QUITE HIGH GREATER THAN 15:1 RESULTING IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR GREATER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. DESPITE MODEL DIFFERENCES...EVEN LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF WILL LIKELYRESULT IN ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ENHANCED QPF COMBINED WITH HIGH SNOW RATIOS DUE TO THE INVERTED TROF...WARNING LEVEL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=ALY&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Nam and gfs for KUCA http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_namm/nam_kuca.dat http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_gfsm/gfs3_kuca.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 9" LES from midnight last night through late afternoon today in western Onondaga. School districts down this way closed today, 3 1/2 snowdays so far this year - pretty high for early Jan. Lower elevations never lost their snowpack (higher elevations did - more warm wind?) with last weekend's mini torch, so today's snow freshened things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 We can only hope FWIW, lots of good discussion, and maps, on this storm in the SNE threads in case you haven't looked at them. I'm liking the idea of .75-1" qpf though Sunday... but that's the weenie, not realistic, side talking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Patiently waiting for BUF to hoist flags ezpecally for the Niagara frointier with SW flow lake enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 About 5" last night and maybe another inch this eve. Was a rugged ride south from Oswego tonight...as it was the previous night. This is more impressive than what was advertised or what I was expecting. WIth the lack of anything other than nuisance synoptic gruel on tap, this has been a nice bonus. Areas just to my north received 10-16" last night. Roads were a wreck early this morning heading north towards the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It's finally starting to look wintry in the long range for this region. As I posted in another thread, my benchmark is a 0F day, or a day where the high fails to get above -20C. We managed three such days in a row in January 2009, with our last super cold day being December 19,2004 when the high was -25C without the wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Pro met DT lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 UKie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Hey, I'll take the 3-4" It's better than nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/06zgfssnowGFSLoop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 EVERY WEENIE'S DREAM LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Winter storm watch up, haven't had one of those in quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Ill take 3-4 inches by saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Liking the 12z NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Pro met DT lol Liking the 12z NAM! 2nd Call: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 That is one funky map that only a local micro climate expert would draw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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