Saggy Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Heard a plow go past and was wondering if they were bored or something... I was shocked to see 2 and a half inches on the ground when I looked out the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Heard a plow go past and was wondering if they were bored or something... I was shocked to see 2 and a half inches on the ground when I looked out the door. Those are the best kinds of events =] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 NWS ALB still likes the potential for accumulating snow on Friday. I'm curious to see if the models come in to better agreement on the amount of precip. ---------------- .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WITH ACOMPLEX STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING. LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERNCONUS DEEPENS WITH AN UPPER LOW EVENTUALLY CUTTING OVER OVER THEWEEKEND. THE TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH THEFAST FLOW AND EXACTLY WHEN AND WHERE THE UPPER LOW DOES CUT OFF ALLHAVE BIG IMPACTS ON THE FORECAST.CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGHEST FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW ON FRIDAY AS A LOWPRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HAVECONTINUE WITH LIKELY POPS.THE FORECAST GETS COMPLICATED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COUPLE OFCOASTAL LOWS. THE FIRST LOW IS MODELED TO DEVELOP ALONG THESOUTHEAST COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN HEADS NORTHEAST REMAININGOFFSHORE. HOWEVER...ANOTHER LOW IS MODELED TO DEVELOP OFF THE MIDATLANTIC COAST WHILE THE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES MOVES EASTWARDACROSS OUR REGION ON FRIDAY AND WEAKENS. THE COASTAL LOW BECOME THEPRIMARY LOW AND IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARDREMAINING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE MODELS DO INDICATE ANINVERTED TROUGH MAY OCCUR WHICH INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD FORACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE REGION.THE GFSENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND MEAN AND THE OPERATIONAL GFS ARE INFAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GREAT LAKES LOW AND THE FIRST COASTALLOW AND THE ECMWF FITS IN WITH THEM ALSO. THE SPREAD INCREASES INREGARDS TO THE SECOND COASTAL LOW AS ITS HEAD NORTHEASTWARD.AT THIS TIME HAVE KEEP CHANCE POPS IN FOR SNOW FOR SATURDAY ANDSATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING POPS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WILL KEEPMENTION IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Quite a narrow band of snow with the inverted trough in the 0Z NAM. The NAM seems to have flattened the trough a little bit again. Hopefully is will be a bit sharper at the base so the snow can be a little more widespread. The models sure are having trouble with all of the little vortmaxes rotating around the closed low. Should be interesting seeing how this thing evolves. I am anxious to switch back to my snow x/c skis instead of my roller x/c skis. 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I had to go up to the Essex County Courthouse in Elizabethtown today and ran into some nice light snow above Lake George. Generally accumulation from Pottersville north...as much as two inches in some spots between exits 28 and 30. This was related to the weak clipper.... NWS ALB still likes the potential for accumulating snow on Friday. I'm curious to see if the models come in to better agreement on the amount of precip. ---------------- .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WITH ACOMPLEX STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING. LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERNCONUS DEEPENS WITH AN UPPER LOW EVENTUALLY CUTTING OVER OVER THEWEEKEND. THE TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH THEFAST FLOW AND EXACTLY WHEN AND WHERE THE UPPER LOW DOES CUT OFF ALLHAVE BIG IMPACTS ON THE FORECAST.CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGHEST FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW ON FRIDAY AS A LOWPRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HAVECONTINUE WITH LIKELY POPS.THE FORECAST GETS COMPLICATED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COUPLE OFCOASTAL LOWS. THE FIRST LOW IS MODELED TO DEVELOP ALONG THESOUTHEAST COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN HEADS NORTHEAST REMAININGOFFSHORE. HOWEVER...ANOTHER LOW IS MODELED TO DEVELOP OFF THE MIDATLANTIC COAST WHILE THE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES MOVES EASTWARDACROSS OUR REGION ON FRIDAY AND WEAKENS. THE COASTAL LOW BECOME THEPRIMARY LOW AND IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARDREMAINING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE MODELS DO INDICATE ANINVERTED TROUGH MAY OCCUR WHICH INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD FORACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE REGION.THE GFSENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND MEAN AND THE OPERATIONAL GFS ARE INFAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GREAT LAKES LOW AND THE FIRST COASTALLOW AND THE ECMWF FITS IN WITH THEM ALSO. THE SPREAD INCREASES INREGARDS TO THE SECOND COASTAL LOW AS ITS HEAD NORTHEASTWARD.AT THIS TIME HAVE KEEP CHANCE POPS IN FOR SNOW FOR SATURDAY ANDSATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING POPS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WILL KEEPMENTION IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 But that was the only snow to be found anywhere along the Northway through exit 30. No pre-existing snow cover (other than a few patches). That's pretty poor for January 4th. Schroon Lake looked all frozen and was pretty with the inch of snow on it. I had to go up to the Essex County Courthouse in Elizabethtown today and ran into some nice light snow above Lake George. Generally accumulation from Pottersville north...as much as two inches in some spots between exits 28 and 30. This was related to the weak clipper.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The DAK'S have been suffering. Snowshoes and/or skis still aren't required in the high peaks...that stinks for 1/4! Hopefully that changes soon. But that was the only snow to be found anywhere along the Northway through exit 30. No pre-existing snow cover (other than a few patches). That's pretty poor for January 4th. Schroon Lake looked all frozen and was pretty with the inch of snow on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Needless to say, Environment Canada no longer calling for snow on Thursday in Ottawa, just Friday now. I'm sure by this time tomorrow, it'll be something like "60% chance of flurries". Next week's storm isn't looking that promising for my region either. I posted a comment in the thread about Bastardi now calling for a cold january. Unfortunately, my region, along with northern Vermont and Maine still look set to be above normal for the month. There was an article in the Ottawa Citizen today, saying how this winter is forecast to remain very dry for Ottawa. http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/weather-watch/Capital+three+month+forecast+looking+warm/4053512/story.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 pretty impressive pattern. Massive -NAO but vortex too close. Result is normal cold and uneventful wx for the most part. It should be abundantly clear that any slp formation will be well offshore and of little consequence to CNY. Hudson Valley may do ok though as we saw for 12/26 storm. Some stray lake effect around the past few days but other than that its a snoozefest. Some minor snow showers here now, appear to be breaking up and moving south. Maybe an inch here. Which is the first measurable snow in about 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Decent band going down the MV, i have about 1" on the ground so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 pretty impressive pattern. Massive -NAO but vortex too close. Result is normal cold and uneventful wx for the most part. It should be abundantly clear that any slp formation will be well offshore and of little consequence to CNY. Hudson Valley may do ok though as we saw for 12/26 storm. Some stray lake effect around the past few days but other than that its a snoozefest. Some minor snow showers here now, appear to be breaking up and moving south. Maybe an inch here. Which is the first measurable snow in about 3 weeks. In other words we can expect to miss out on the harsh cold and snow that those in other regional threads are getting excited about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 6z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 WHAT CONTINUES TO BEIMPRESSIVE IS THE NW EXTENDING DEFORMATION ZONE. THIS MAY ALSO BE AN EXTENSION OF THE TROWAL /TROUGH OF WARM AIR ALOFT/. THIS DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH SET UP SOMEWHERE OVER THE FCST AREA COULD PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL. THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE GFS HAVE SHIFTED IT JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL REGION...WITH SOME OSCILLATION BACK NORTH WITH THE 18Z/JAN 4 GFS. THE CAN GGEM AND THE ECMWF ARE ALSO SHOWING THIS CONTINUAL DEFORMATION ZONE...AND THE FAVORABLE CYCLONIC VORTICITY ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW. THIS TREND OF PERIODS OF SNOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL LAST THRU FRIDAY NIGHT SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHERTHAN THE CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES OF 13 TO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 6z nam That just hammers my area. Not that I believe it, but it looks nice. 2" last night. I was in Oneonta around 8:30 and drove home through a squall that dropped 1.5". I could barely see the road, it was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ...OSWEGO COUNTY... SCRIBA 16.0 1100 PM 1/4 OSWEGO 13.0 1145 PM 1/4 COOP OSWEGO 9.8 1015 PM 1/4 $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Woke up to 5.8" this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Woke up to 5.8" this morning. about 4" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I awoke to about an inch of snow. It must have been a lake effect band that brushed us before dropping down into the Catskills. That just hammers my area. Not that I believe it, but it looks nice. 2" last night. I was in Oneonta around 8:30 and drove home through a squall that dropped 1.5". I could barely see the road, it was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1014 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS: CENTRAL CAYUGA...SOUTHERN ONONDAGA...SOUTHERN MADISON...NORTHEAST CORTLAND...NORTHERN CHENANGO...AND SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTIES. * HAZARDS: MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING: SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING INTO MIDDAY THEN WEAKENING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS: SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT [email protected]. && TAC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Picked up about 9" here in Hannibal overnight. Hannibal is located in the southwest corner of oswego county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Picked up about 9" here in Hannibal overnight. Hannibal is located in the southwest corner of oswego county. I got about 5. Much more dense than typical LES fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Needless to say, Environment Canada no longer calling for snow on Thursday in Ottawa, just Friday now. I'm sure by this time tomorrow, it'll be something like "60% chance of flurries". Next week's storm isn't looking that promising for my region either. I posted a comment in the thread about Bastardi now calling for a cold january. Unfortunately, my region, along with northern Vermont and Maine still look set to be above normal for the month. There was an article in the Ottawa Citizen today, saying how this winter is forecast to remain very dry for Ottawa. http://www.ottawacit...3512/story.html nice article . only one word comes to mind when reading it: BLOCK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 In other words we can expect to miss out on the harsh cold and snow that those in other regional threads are getting excited about? i wouldnt be ready to pack it in just yet on a backloaded winter, but IMO as i have mentioned, this week is important. snow has fallen already this week and it NEEDS to continue falling at the end of this week, however much it is. and then again next week.......... its like getting out of a slump. a big EPO cold dump and a trough in the center of the continent could result in increased wintry weather in our region, cold and snow. but its hard to bet against an overwhelming NAO and block at this point, its finds all kinds of sick way to screw the region the past couple seasons.....and no, im not betting against it until we see sure signs of getting out of this slump. what could be even more likely and even more frustrating is areas just to ottawa's south, like southern ontario and NYS along I-90 beginning seeing more frequent wintry weather while ottawa remains high and dry- a very possible scenario worth considering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I got about 5. Much more dense than typical LES fluff. I got another 8" on top of 8" from Monday and I agree, they were both much more dense than the usual fluff. My brother near Palermo got about 12" and one of my jobsites near Hastings seemed to have a little more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 i wouldnt be ready to pack it in just yet on a backloaded winter, but IMO as i have mentioned, this week is important. snow has fallen already this week and it NEEDS to continue falling at the end of this week, however much it is. and then again next week.......... its like getting out of a slump. a big EPO cold dump and a trough in the center of the continent could result in increased wintry weather in our region, cold and snow. but its hard to bet against an overwhelming NAO and block at this point, its finds all kinds of sick way to screw the region the past couple seasons.....and no, im not betting against it until we see sure signs of getting out of this slump. what could be even more likely and even more frustrating is areas just to ottawa's south, like southern ontario and NYS along I-90 beginning seeing more frequent wintry weather while ottawa remains high and dry- a very possible scenario worth considering. very possible. Next week's storm (around the 13th-14th) seems to give southern Ontario snow while just missing us. It does look like very cold air could move into the region around the 16th, at least coording to the latest GFS. Interestingly, January 1993 was fairly tame until around the 13th when a big storm hit. We can only hope for a backloaded winter like that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Any wheres from 1-10" in these parts overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 125 PM EST WED JAN 5 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN CAYUGA...SOUTHERN ONONDAGA...SOUTHERN MADISON...NORTHERN CORTLAND...NORTHERN CHENANGO...AND SOUTHWESTERN OTSEGO COUNTIES. * HAZARDS: LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH BRIEF BURSTS OF HEAVY SNOW AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW TOTALS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES. * TIMING: SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING NORTH AROUND SUNSET. * IMPACTS: SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT [email protected]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Picked up 4" total from the clipper and LES last night..Total on the yr is 20.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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