Damage In Tolland Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro AI shows overwise It backed waaayy off . Had 2-3” earlier runs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago it's like Indian Summer used to come after a period of substantial frosts and/or even a snow fall back in the days of lore... Now? all we have to be is relatively cooler, than we get near 80 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Noticed one of the Azaleas in backyard had some new flowers blooming today . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago novemborch 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elim72 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 35 minutes ago, forkyfork said: novemborch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 6 hours ago, MarcmmKU said: It'd be a miracle at this point if NNE gets even close to seasonal snowfall. We can already see a preview of the winter pattern next week with the screaming pac jet and arctic air bottled up to nunavut. I don’t like hyperbole early on, but I think I would be fairly shocked if the mountains get near normal snowfall this winter on composite super Nino years. Thats not to say it won’t snow, heck 235” on Mansfield is below normal. But it feels like the deck is stacked a bit, especially if it’s a slow start. It takes making up some good ground to catch up for struggles in even Nov/Dec when you need to hit bigger monthly normal totals in Jan/Feb/Mar. Now, for NNE as a whole? The lower climo snowfall areas near population centers can rely more on several good synoptic events to get closer to normal. I think my fear up here is the daily light events struggle if it’s warm, and the 2-6” type stuff that adds up over time creates a good-sized deficit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: novemborch Ha!!! Let's see where we are at the end of this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Noticed one of the Azaleas in backyard had some new flowers blooming today . Will you go below 50° this week after tomorrow AM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Will you go below 50° this week after tomorrow AM? Are your hydrangeas looking similar to that ? Fresh, flowering , ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Will you go below 50° this week after tomorrow AM? absolutely wild for November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: absolutely wild for November I think I started posting about a no frost/ freeze thru Tgiving here back in early September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Are your hydrangeas looking similar to that ? Fresh, flowering , ready It was 24° this morning so no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: It was 24° this morning so no. Well apparently my Davis is broken and has issues and it’s been below freezing here .. so I’m told by a few posters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: Will you go below 50° this week after tomorrow AM? Damn, ha. Those mins are hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think I started posting about a no frost/ freeze thru Tgiving here back in early September You know your climate, plus above normal heights… the mixed layer stays mild for a long time in this regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You know your climate, plus above normal heights… the mixed layer stays mild for a long time in this regime. I’ve said it before but it’s far easier to drop below freezing here in Mayorch than Octorcher . Both are uncommon , but one is still more likely than the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve said it before but it’s far easier to drop below freezing here in Mayorch than Octorcher . Both are uncommon , but one is still more likely than the other This time of year seems to max out radiational cooling with the low surface moisture. Dry leaf litter under bare trees, absolutely zero evapotranspiration because everything is dormant. Frequent high pressure and low sun angle. This evening locally is classic. Edge of Stowe Country Club station is 39F while just up West Hill is 46F. I’m at 40F north of there. Stowe Hollow has a 52F vs 40F over a half a mile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve said it before but it’s far easier to drop below freezing here in Mayorch than Octorcher . Both are uncommon , but one is still more likely than the other it'll be November eventually :x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well apparently my Davis is broken and has issues and it’s been below freezing here .. so I’m told by a few posters I was in Lennox MA for most of the last two weeks and on six days the low was in the 20s and the rest except for Friday weren’t far from freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: I don’t like hyperbole early on, but I think I would be fairly shocked if the mountains get near normal snowfall this winter on composite super Nino years. Thats not to say it won’t snow, heck 235” on Mansfield is below normal. But it feels like the deck is stacked a bit, especially if it’s a slow start. It takes making up some good ground to catch up for struggles in even Nov/Dec when you need to hit bigger monthly normal totals in Jan/Feb/Mar. Now, for NNE as a whole? The lower climo snowfall areas near population centers can rely more on several good synoptic events to get closer to normal. I think my fear up here is the daily light events struggle if it’s warm, and the 2-6” type stuff that adds up over time creates a good-sized deficit. You will be snowing on Mansfield by next weekend and clean up in Dec. Watch 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Days and days of 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 hours ago, powderfreak said: This time of year seems to max out radiational cooling with the low surface moisture. Dry leaf litter under bare trees, absolutely zero evapotranspiration because everything is dormant. Frequent high pressure and low sun angle. This evening locally is classic. Edge of Stowe Country Club station is 39F while just up West Hill is 46F. I’m at 40F north of there. Stowe Hollow has a 52F vs 40F over a half a mile. Im in the low 30's, 50s not far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Noticed one of the Azaleas in backyard had some new flowers blooming today . Yea I saw some in bloom last week. But I also said it might be due to when they were trimmed because October wasn’t that warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago Without referencing any enso simililarities (or lack thereof), this fall has really reminded me of the fall of 21. I don't think SNE reallly got any snow that year until the Tuck-rule game. Hopefully this year will be better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yea I saw some in bloom last week. But I also said it might be due to when they were trimmed because October wasn’t that warm. My hydrangeas laughing at frost and freeze and folks saying there’s been one here and faulty equipment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago So boring Bring back La Nina 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: My hydrangeas laughing at frost and freeze and folks saying there’s been one here and faulty equipment Someone said that you had a frost and freeze? That’s ridiculous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago Just now, IrishRob17 said: Someone said that you had a frost and freeze? That’s ridiculous. He’s a weenie. We just said his siting isn’t greatest. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago I can’t wait for the PV to split and bring all of this warm air down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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