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October 2026


MJO812
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1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

It’s freezing out

dont disrupt narratives. Bluewave made a BN sept sound like it was a top 10 for warmth. now they are making what looks to be a +1 Oct sound like a sea of record warmth.

there are lots of narratives on this website: manufacturing a snowstorm, thunderstorms that would make Dorothy blush, endless warmth, bomb cyclone, polar vortex like we have never seen, manufactured droughts, brush fires made to sound like Yosemite is on fire…

 

the truth is the weather is going to be what it’s going to be. And if you live in NY Metro, its never going to be as extreme as posters would like due to that large ocean next to us and lack of a large mountain chain in a 100 mile radius combined with sea level elevation and a naturally temperate mid atlantic climate.

you want a tornado ripping downtown, move to St Louis. you want major hurricanes that destroy normal life for months Tampa. you want a large city with a real winter Chicago. you want endless record Warmth followed by a blizzard in October…Denver or Salt Lake. 

 

youre not getting any of that in Queens despite attempts to manufacture it

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45 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

dont disrupt narratives. Bluewave made a BN sept sound like it was a top 10 for warmth. now they are making what looks to be a +1 Oct sound like a sea of record warmth.

This has been one of the warmest first half's of fall for the entire CONUS. Weather and climate statistics are just pure numbers which didn’t contain any agendas. Most of the area finished up warmer than average in September against the warmest 1991-2020 climate normals.

So even relatively low departures can still be ranked fairly high. The smaller warm departures here still rank as the 13th to 15th warmest September 1st to October 15th. This is due to September and October being two of the fastest warming months near 1° per decade since the 1980s.

I get it that since this warming has become so thoroughly normalized, most people including yourself probably don’t recognize a warm pattern anymore unless it’s a top 5 or a top 10.


 

IMG_8017.thumb.png.3ee78cb761740e40f49b30745c83c168.png

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2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Halloween should be cool not mild. Fuck El Ninos.

 

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i need it to be warm for my el nino costume

Don’t worry forky, you’ll be fine. Although we might have to start a ‘go fund me’ for bail. As always …..

 

IMG_2617.jpeg

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This has been one of the warmest first half's of fall for the entire CONUS. Weather and climate statistics are just pure numbers which didn’t contain any agendas. Most of the area finished up warmer than average in September against the warmest 1991-2020 climate normals.

So even relatively low departures can still be ranked fairly high. The smaller warm departures here still rank as the 13th to 15th warmest September 1st to October 15th. This is due to September and October being two of the fastest warming months near 1° per decade since the 1980s.

I get it that since this warming has become so thoroughly normalized, most people including yourself probably don’t recognize a warm pattern anymore unless it’s a top 5 or a top 10.


 

IMG_8017.thumb.png.3ee78cb761740e40f49b30745c83c168.png

what that map actually tells you is that the central part of a country is getting record warmth from this super Niño. not us. and if you’ve been paying attention over the last several months, we’re gonna ride that into winter.

 

See that big red blob? that was us in 2015. not this year. 

 

that also tells you that you’re probably not gonna get a 30 inch snowstorm to save your season so you better have a few smaller events

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51 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

dont disrupt narratives. Bluewave made a BN sept sound like it was a top 10 for warmth. now they are making what looks to be a +1 Oct sound like a sea of record warmth.

there are lots of narratives on this website: manufacturing a snowstorm, thunderstorms that would make Dorothy blush, endless warmth, bomb cyclone, polar vortex like we have never seen, manufactured droughts, brush fires made to sound like Yosemite is on fire…

 

the truth is the weather is going to be what it’s going to be. And if you live in NY Metro, its never going to be as extreme as posters would like due to that large ocean next to us and lack of a large mountain chain in a 100 mile radius combined with sea level elevation and a naturally temperate mid atlantic climate.

you want a tornado ripping downtown, move to St Louis. you want major hurricanes that destroy normal life for months Tampa. you want a large city with a real winter Chicago. you want endless record Warmth followed by a blizzard in October…Denver or Salt Lake. 

 

youre not getting any of that in Queens despite attempts to manufacture it

I see what you did, the nothing to see here narrative .

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30 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

youre damn straight. theres been absolutely nothing to see here thus far this fall. absolutely nothing like 2015 thus far

But you don't find it interesting that a top 15 warmest fall (so far) is not even notable to most anymore?

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youre damn straight. theres been absolutely nothing to see here thus far this fall. absolutely nothing like 2015 thus far

Clearly you do not live on or near the ocean. Allot to see there. Say goodbye to highway 12 on outer banks. I’ll take pics and post from smith point this week of a beach completely obliterated. And this is only the beginning of super charged southern stream storm loaded winter. So imby yourself away


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15 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


Clearly you do not live on or near the ocean. Allot to see there. Say goodbye to highway 12 on outer banks. I’ll take pics and post from smith point this week of a beach completely obliterated. And this is only the beginning of super charged southern stream storm loaded winter. So imby yourself away


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How many times in different locations all up and the outer banks has that road been destroyed?  Lots.  Its a barrier island in some places only yards wide.  This isnt something new happening.  It happens yearly.  For every house you see destroyed, probably 10 more are being built.  Ive been going there for decades and in many of these places homes should never have been build at all.

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How many times in different locations all up and the outer banks has that road been destroyed?  Lots.  Its a barrier island in some places only yards wide.  This isnt something new happening.  It happens yearly.  For every house you see destroyed, probably 10 more are being built.  Ive been going there for decades and in many of these places homes should never have been build at all.

dcd0e2fce9176b0d97fca8f1feb597de.jpg


Hmmmm mandatory evacuations no big deal right?


I agree, most of those homes never should have been built. But here we are. It doesn’t take away from the severity of the event unfolding or its impact. This is the second and likely far most impactful nor’easter of the season and it’s mid October.
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