October 2026

[BobbyHolikWillFindYou]

Fallstreak hole above my parents house this morning in Wayne. Pretty cool.

[MANDA]

Record hailstone in Connecticut from back in July during the 7/4 severe outbreak.

 

https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2110020388004462779/photo/1

[bluewave]

Looks like our area averaged out will finish around the 15th warmest first half of fall. The most impressive warmth has been to our west. This theme looks to continue for the next 10 days.
 

[Brian5671]

22 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Record hailstone in Connecticut from back in July during the 7/4 severe outbreak.

 

https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2110020388004462779/photo/1

That evening was something else around here-crazy winds but no hail

[MANDA]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

That evening was something else around here-crazy winds but no hail

Was a nasty 2-3 day stretch for the area.  We had ours the day prior.  Same, no hail but winds were something else.  No power for just shy of 4 days.  Thankful for the Generac!

[winterwarlock]

Mets bust..24 hours ago the forecast was sunny and 80

 

Instead cloudy with showers and 70

[FPizz]

13 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Mets bust..24 hours ago the forecast was sunny and 80

 

Instead cloudy with showers and 70

I feel like this has been happening regularly recently 

[nycwinter]

we already hit 80 for the last a week or 2 ago until next spring we will not hit 80 in central  park with the rain coming

[psv88]

Hit 80 earlier, thunderstorm here at the boat. So much for mostly sunny. 

[MJO812]

78 here

 

Disgusting weather

[Brian5671]

cleared out here-back up to 77

[bluewave]

All the models had scattered showers and clouds today. The highs in many areas will probably be in the next hour. Seeing several 80° readings with the clearing in NJ now.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

All the models had scattered showers and clouds today. The highs in many areas will probably be in the next hour. Seeing several  80° readings with the clearing in NJ now.

Weird that Upton didn't mention-they had mostly sunny here all day

[FPizz]

48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

cleared out here-back up to 77

Took until about 2:30, but sun and clouds now and upper 70s.  Happy I golfed yesterday instead of today

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, FPizz said:

Took until about 2:30, but sun and clouds now and upper 70s.  Happy I golfed yesterday instead of today

my son had today off he went out around 10:15-perfect day for it.    A little shower around 12:30 but nothing they couldn't play through

[bluewave]

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Weird that Upton didn't mention-they had mostly sunny here all day

Usually when the POPS are 20% or less they leave it off the point and clicks. But they will include it in the SFT. Today had only 10s or 20s on the POPS on the SFT.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=SFT&format=CI&version=4&glossary=0

[FPizz]

26 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

my son had today off he went out around 10:15-perfect day for it.    A little shower around 12:30 but nothing they couldn't play through

Very nice!  I was driving home from NY at like noon and hit a super heavy downpour at the NY/NJ border on 287.  Could barely see for a few minutes.  

[BobbyHolikWillFindYou]

55 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Very nice!  I was driving home from NY at like noon and hit a super heavy downpour at the NY/NJ border on 287.  Could barely see for a few minutes.  

Got hit with that in Oakland. Of course I cracked my car windows in the morning before heading into the office. Threw my back out sprinting to the car in the rain to close them. Drenched AND in pain.

[TriPol]

Instead of asking if it will hit 80 degrees again before March 2027, we should be asking "Is there a month between now and March 2027 where it won't hit 80 degrees?"

[donsutherland1]

Islip reached 82 today. That broke the daily record of 81 from 1990.

[TJW014]

Nice to make a beach day out of today. Made it up to 81. Water still warm enough for a swim too

[weathermedic]

Hit 90 down in DC today

[Keith Central PA]

1 hour ago, TriPol said:

Instead of asking if it will hit 80 degrees again before March 2027, we should be asking "Is there a month between now and March 2027 where it won't hit 80 

Its not hitting 80 during the winter..70 yea but 80? I dont care how strong el nino is.

[Stormlover74]

28 minutes ago, Keith Central PA said:

Its not hitting 80 during the winter..70 yea but 80? I dont care how strong el nino is.

February 2018 begs to differ

I agree no 80s in January though

[psv88]

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Islip reached 82 today. That broke the daily record of 81 from 1990.

only 79.7 here...ISP roasted on those west winds

[LibertyBell]

On 10/13/2026 at 6:23 AM, bluewave said:

Just be grateful that we didn’t get the tree damage they just got around Great Falls. Record warmth start to October followed by an early record snowstorm. Rachael’s moisture streamed up into that area and met air cold enough for heavy wet snow with the trees still leafed out. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBYb7eyjY-k

 

Climatological Data for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx) - October 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-10-01	62	33	47.5	-3.9	17	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-02	77	41	59.0	8.0	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-03	71	38	54.5	3.9	10	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-04	82	36	59.0	8.9	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-05	85	52	68.5	18.8	0	4	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-06	81	46	63.5	14.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-07	76	44	60.0	11.2	5	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-08	80	43	61.5	13.2	3	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-09	81	54	67.5	19.7	0	3	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-10	56	31	43.5	-3.9	21	0	1.29	6.4	0
2026-10-11	32	30	31.0	-15.9	34	0	0.83	9.3	8
2026-10-12	34	29	31.5	-15.0	33	0	0.03	M	M

 

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall 
for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	15.7	2026-10-10 through 2026-10-11	0
2	12.4	2020-10-17 through 2020-10-18	0

 

 

It would be nice if it was more sunny  October is supposed to be our sunniest month. How much more hot was October 2024? That was my all time favorite October with the warmth and dryness that lasted into mid November.

 

On 10/13/2026 at 9:50 AM, MJO812 said:

This weather sucks

I shouldn't be sweating on October 13.

No you shouldn't be sweating because it's not hot. LOSE WEIGHT GET UNDER 180 POUNDS FOR YOUR OWN HEALTH ANT!

On 10/13/2026 at 10:27 AM, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 89 (1954)
NYC: 87 (1954)
LGA: 86 (1995)
JFK: 79 (1995)


Lows;

EWR: 34 (2012)
NYC: 34 (1875)
LGA:  39 (1988)
JFK: 37 (2012)

Historical:

 

1820: Snowstorm at Ft. Snelling, MN dumps 11 inches. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

 

1846 - A great hurricane tracked across Cuba, Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, Virginia and Pennsylvania. The hurricane inflicted major damage along its entire path, which was similar to the path of Hurricane Hazel 108 years later. The hurricane caused great damage at Key West FL, and at Philadelphia PA it was the most destructive storm in thirty years. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1876: New York City recorded its earliest 32° reading with a half inch of snow. Snow fell from Virginia to New England with 3.5 inches reported at Fall River, MA. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1893: At Richmond, winds became a "perfect gale" as rain fell in torrents. Homes were partially unroofed, and trees fell in the capital squares. Between Richmond and Danville, a passenger train struck a fallen tree while a freight train struck another tree. Many lines fell across Petersburg. Dwellings in town rocked to the wind gusts. Roanoke watched as their river rose to levels unseen since 1853. Washouts occurred along the Norfolk & Western railroad, delaying traffic from twelve to fourteen hours. The town of Elliston was submerged by the Roanoke river, sweeping away houses. Alexandria saw its wharves crumble before the high waters ($25,000). The James river eclipsed the level attained during the Johnstown Flood of 1889 by twelve inches. Bladensburg saw winds level fences and partially unroof homes. In Washington, DC, the Calvary Baptist church's side wall blew down ($3000). Associate justice of the Supreme Court Henry B. Brown was seriously injured when a plate glass window shattered at his new home at the northwest corner of 16th street and Riggs at 7:30 p.m.. Trees and their limbs were strewn throughout the city. Rainfall began in the morning and increased throughout the afternoon. Sewers were flooded by this downpour. By 6 p.m., gale force winds swept through the Federal City. Damage to police and fire wires was "greater than ever before been experienced. " Waters on the Potomac rose six feet above the high tide, which was three feet below the high water mark. The Anacostia bridge became submerged. (Ref. for Fall Storm of Oct. 13th - 14th)

1960: Large hail nearly covered the ground across a large part of central Jackson County, in southwest Oklahoma. Hail up to the size of baseballs, with some chunks shaped like saucers, destroyed the roofs of most businesses and homes in Olustee. Large hail also pounded the Stillwater area the same evening. Hail up to 4 inches in diameter caused damage in and around the city, including damage to roofs, windows, and copper trim at Oklahoma State University. (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

1982: Denver experiences a wet, early-season snow. Up to 6 inches fell in the Foothills. Extensive power outages resulted as tree limbs broke under the weight of the snow. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1983: Severe weather in Falls Church, VA, produced 2-3 tornadoes and caused $1 million in damages.

1986 - Four tornadoes struck southeastern Virginia late in the night causing three million dollars damage. Tornadoes at Falls Church VA caused a million dollars damage. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1987 - Fifteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 34 degrees at Meridian MS, 28 degrees at Paducah KY, and 26 degrees at Beckley WV. Another surge of arctic air entered the north central U.S. bringing snow to parts of Wyoming and Colorado. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A total of forty-three cities in the eastern U.S. and the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV and Marquette MI where the mercury dipped to 18 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Sixteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s and low 90s from the Southern and Central Plains to the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast. Evansville IND and North Platte NE reported record highs of 91 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

 

1990: The combined remnants of Tropical Storms Klaus and Marco dumped extremely heavy rainfall over New England. More than 6 inches of rain fell in parts of Connecticut. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1994: A slow moving low pressure area dumped excessive rains over coastal Georgia. Hunter was drenched with 14.26 inches in 24 hours while Savannah checked in with 8.80 inches. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

2006: On the 12th and 13th in a historic lake effect snow left 22.6 inches of snow in Buffalo, New York. With trees in full leaf much damage occurred; estimates of $200 million dollars damage. Thunder occurred for approximately 12 hours with the storm, and 400,000 customers without power some for two weeks. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA) (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)

2011: Central and eastern Virginia hit by three tornadoes today. The tornado that hit New Kent County on Thursday carried winds estimated at 95 mph, the National Weather Service said today. The twister struck about 4:50 p.m. in the Woodhaven Shores neighborhood in southwestern New Kent, officials said. Its path was about 200 yards wide. The tornado was an EF1 -- the next-to-weakest rating for tornadoes. Weather service officials judged the tornado's characteristics by visiting the site today. Earlier today, the weather service said three confirmed tornadoes struck Virginia Thursday the 13th of October. The tornadoes hit western Louisa County between 3:30 and 3:45 p.m., western New Kent County just before 5 p.m. and southeastern Prince William County about 5:30 p.m. (Ref. Richmond Times Published by Rex Springston on October 14, 2011)  A late season tornado event occurred on October 13th.
An EF1 tornado went across a portion of New Kent County and another did EF1 damage in Louisa County at Sylvania Plantation, a historic home built in 1746. (Ref.NWS Late Season Tornadoes Louisa County and New Kent County)

Was the heat around this time in 1995 due to Hurricane Opal cutting up to our west? I remember NYC hit 86 and the Pope was in town and people were fainting in the heat. As we all know the record setting historic snowfall season began just a month later!

Also if this was NYC earliest 32 degree temperature in 1876 why does the record say that the low was actually 34?

Interesting comparison between Hurricane Hazel in 1954 and the 1846 hurricane.  Do we know how strong the winds were with it when it got up here? Also 1954 had a record high today was that from Hazel?

 

On 10/13/2026 at 1:11 PM, OldSkool said:

Make that 5 rainy Sundays in a row >:(

Next weekend will be much better as a matter of fact it will be clear sailing for at least a week after Friday. 

On 10/13/2026 at 4:33 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Detroit saw the temperature soar to 87° and Indianapolis reached 88° this afternoon through 4 pm. That both cities' highest temperatures so late in the season. Some of this air will move through the East tomorrow.

As a result, tomorrow will likely be the warmest day for some time to come. Highs will reach the middle to upper 70s ahead of a cold front. Newark will likely reach or exceed 80°.

Cooler weather will then arrive for Thursday. Friday will then turn briefly milder with temperatures topping out in the upper 60s to around 70°. Afterward, a piece of the air mass that set a record low temperatures in parts of Canada last weekend will move into the region for the weekend. The arrival of this air mass could trigger a few showers on Friday or Friday night. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest temperatures so far this season. Highs in New York City will struggle to reach 50° on Saturday and rise only to the lower and middle 50s on Sunday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -18.18 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.539 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.4° (0.5° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

The cool shot will only be brief and it will be warmer again next week.

 

On 10/13/2026 at 7:32 PM, straphanger said:

It seems like they bumped up Friday's foretasted temps higher to the mid 70s now...might be the last shot in the city for a while or the rest of the year.

Does anyone have a handle on Friday's storms yet?  So far it's looking like showers in the morning, a dry midday, and a possible line of storms in the late afternoon/evening but I'm not sure if I'm interpreting the models correctly.

No it will likely be in the mid 70s again next week after this brief cool shot.

 

10 hours ago, SACRUS said:

70 / 64 and likely the warmest day of the next 10 days to 2 weeks and perhaps till next year with mid 70s to low 80s in the warmest spots.  Clouds and scattered showers the caveat to maxes todat.  Cooler period Fri - Sun, with lowest temps since late april and frost / freeze possible inland but weekend looks dry.  Ridge builds east center of ridge looks west so while overall warm, some onshore componenet to deal with but still suspect a few warm to very warm days as flow comes around to the sw.

10/19 - 10/29 : overall warmer , warmest west

 

Could be in the mid 70s again next week.

10 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 85 (1975)
NYC: 84 (1920)
LGA: 82 (1975)
JFK: 82 (1990)


Lows:

EWR: 32 (1932)
NYC: 37 (1988)
LGA: 40 (1993)
JFK: 37 (1993)

Historical:

1909: An F3 tornado struck Pittsburg Landing and Stantonville, TN killing 23 people and injuring 80 others.

1933: An F3 tornado destroyed farms near Sayre, Oklahoma; three people died, one was hurt. One family was found two hundred yards from the foundation of their destroyed home. A seven-year-old girl was found alive in the arms of her dead 74 year old great-grandmother. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)


1941: America's first television weather forecast was broadcast on New York's WNBT (later WNBC). There weren’t many televisions at that time, so viewers were limited to perhaps a few hundred people. The weathercast consisted of a sponsor's message followed by a text screen containing the next day's forecast.

1957 - Floodwaters roared through a migrant labor camp near the town of Picacho AZ flooding fifty cabins and a dozen nearby homes. 250 migrant workers lost their shelters. The month was one of the wettest Octobers in Arizona weather history. (The Weather Channel)

 

1965 - Heavy rains hit the coastal areas of southeastern Florida. In a 24 hour period rains of twenty inches were reported from Deerfield Beach to Fort Lauderdale, with 25.28 inches on the Fort Lauderdale Bahia-Mar Yacht Basin. Flooding that resulted caused considerable damage to roads and streets. The rains inundated numerous newly planted vegetable fields, and some residences. Ten miles away just 4.51 inches of rain was reported. (14th- 15th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1966: Late season severe thunderstorms brought softball size hail to parts of Brown, Dodge, Freeborn, Pipestone, Ramsey, Rock, and Steele Counties in MN. An enormous hailstone crashed through the windshield of a truck near Claremont in Dodge County, MN. It was reported to be 16 inches in circumference. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) Iowa struck by devastating late season tornado outbreak. A total of 12 tornadoes touched down, including an F4 that devastated a large part of Belmond Iowa. It was the day of the homecoming parade in the town, but fortunately the threatening skies had caused the crowds to break up before the twister's arrival. 6 people died in this tornado. 75 of the 112 businesses in the town were destroyed. Damage totaled $12 million. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1969: Portland, OR recorded its earliest freeze ever as of 1969. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1981 - Four days of heavy rain across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma came to an end. The heaviest rains fell in a band from southwest of Abilene TX to McAlester OK, with up to 26 inches reported north of Gainesville, in north central Texas. The heavy rains were the result of decaying Hurricane Norma, which also spawned thirteen tornadoes across the region. Seven deaths were attributed to the flooding. (Storm Data)

1984 - Dense fog contributed to a 118 vehicle accident on I-94, just south of Milwaukee WI. It was the seventh day of an eight day stretch of dense fog. At the time of the accident the visibility was reportedly close to zero. (Storm Data)

1987 - Sixteen cities, mostly in the Appalachain Region, reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 43 degrees at Lake Charles LA, 35 degrees at Augusta GA, and 27 degrees at Asheville NC. Gale force winds buffeted the Carolina coast. Light snow fell across parts of Wyoming, Colorado, and western South Dakota. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Forty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Elkins WV was the cold spot in the nation with a record low of 18 degrees above zero. Thunderstorms in Arizona drenched Phoenix with nine inches of rain in nine hours, the fifth highest total for any given day in ninety-two years of records. Carefree AZ was soaked with two inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over Michigan during the morning, and over New York State and Connecticut during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms spawned two tornadoes, and there were ninety reports of large hail or damaging winds, including seventy reports of damaging winds in New York State. A tornado at McDonough NY killed one person and injured three other people. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 105 mph at Somerset. Temperatures warmed into the 80s and lower 90s over much of the nation east of the Rockies, with eleven cities reporting record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 81 degrees at Beckley WV and Bluefield WV equalled October records. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Wow it was already in the 30s this time in 1993 but hit 80 on November 15th (the latest ever) before the long cold winter began.

 

10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Some showers moving through eastern PA

Just a few drops here and today was still warmer than yesterday here.

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like our area averaged out will finish around the 15th warmest first half of fall. The most impressive warmth has been to our west. This theme looks to continue for the next 10 days.
 

The warmth is confined to the middle of the country both coasts are cool.

8 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Mets bust..24 hours ago the forecast was sunny and 80

 

Instead cloudy with showers and 70

We've barely had a few minutes of sunshine here the last two days most of the sunshine was to our west where it got into the mid 80s and set records.

5 hours ago, MJO812 said:

78 here

 

Disgusting weather

No it's actually perfect.  You need to lose weight,  Ant.

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

All the models had scattered showers and clouds today. The highs in many areas will probably be in the next hour. Seeing several 80° readings with the clearing in NJ now.

It was warmer here today than it was yesterday even with the rain. Last night was really warm even for me and even at 1551 ft lol. Yesterday's splits were 52/70 and today's were 63/72. My highs are a little lower than Mt Pocono yesterday it was 71 there and today it was 73 there. Why is it so cloudy almost all the time? October is supposed to be our funniest month but even when it's not raining it's still mostly cloudy. The last two days the sun came out at 5 pm and the high temperature was at 5:20 pm.

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Islip reached 82 today. That broke the daily record of 81 from 1990.

Wow no seabreeze today! Did JFK hit 80?

42 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

February 2018 begs to differ

I agree no 80s in January though

Meh the 80 degree temperatures in February 2018 were very isolated. 

[donsutherland1]

Cooler weather will arrive overnight. The temperature will top out in the middle and upper 60s.

Friday will then turn briefly milder with temperatures topping out in the lower to perhaps middle 70s ahead of another cold front. Afterward, a piece of the air mass that set a record low temperatures in parts of Canada last weekend will move into the region for the weekend. The arrival of this air mass could trigger a few showers on Friday or Friday night. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest temperatures so far this season. Highs in New York City will struggle to reach 50° on Saturday and rise only to the lower and middle 50s on Sunday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -17.47 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.336 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 60% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.5° (0.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[donsutherland1]

33 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

The cool shot will only be brief and it will be warmer again next week.

 

Yes. It will turn milder, but very likely not as warm as it was today or will be on Friday.