Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026

[MANDA]

Three day event totals:

Some 7-8" totals scattered around in there.  

Click maps to enlarge

[Brian5671]

21 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Mist and drizzle ended here about an hour ago.  Three day event total: 1.55".  Happy to have missed out on the bigger totals as well!

M.T.D.: 5.46".  Y.T.D.: 46.63".  Making a run at 50"+ year.

with 3 months to go, 60+ is not out of the question if we remain in this very wet pattern

[uofmiami]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

5.01” here. Crazy gradient 

You surpassed me to no surprise, 4.81" so far.  You really got nailed yesterday afternoon onward it seems.

[wthrmn654]

Just about 3 inches now

[TriPol]

Well. I am sufficiently soaked. I believe we can officially declare the drought over. 

[psv88]

1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

You surpassed me to no surprise, 4.81" so far.  You really got nailed yesterday afternoon onward it seems.

Yea we got stuck under one of those feeder bands all evening. The yard is a swamp. Wrapping up now and 5.06”. 

[jm1220]

We’re totally in the “just get this the F out of here” stage. 

[straphanger]

Finishing up with a 4 day total of 2.87" here.  The sun is struggling to break through now and everything is probably going to stay soggy for the remainder of the day.

[steve392]

Just under 2.5" so far... Getting chilly out now but drying out a bit. 

[Cfa]

6.26, officially cracked 10 inches for the month.

I’d be happy if it didn’t rain again until January.

[STORMANLI]

5.61" 5pm

9am Larkfield Rd south of Jericho Tpke Northbound where it becomes 2 lanes down to 1 in flooding.

[STORMANLI]

52 minutes ago, STORMANLI said:

5.61" 5pm

9am Larkfield Rd south of Jericho Tpke Northbound where it becomes 2 lanes down to 1 in flooding.

And in the shopping center on the southeast corner multiple spots flooded with a delivery truck perpendicular from

Instant

Hydration

[TriPol]

If you live on Long Island or the Jersey Shore, you'll remember this storm for the rest of your life.

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, TriPol said:

If you live on Long Island or the Jersey Shore, you'll remember this storm for the rest of your life.

Where I am personally, notable but I’ve seen a lot worse. Some of the shore areas did flood pretty heavily due to the piled up water over a few high tides. Overall I’d say it was about as expected. The wet ground contributed to more trees down and power outages. 

[TriPol]

Just now, jm1220 said:

Where I am personally, notable but I’ve seen a lot worse. Some of the shore areas did flood pretty heavily due to the piled up water over a few high tides. Overall I’d say it was about as expected. 

Expected when? And by whom? As late as Wednesday, the NWS was calling this a nuisance storm. The GFS had this bombing out and hitting Maine. It wasn't until late thursday/early Friday that the idea of this hitting the NJ coast came.

[psv88]

3 hours ago, STORMANLI said:

5.61" 5pm

9am Larkfield Rd south of Jericho Tpke Northbound where it becomes 2 lanes down to 1 in flooding.

Always floods there real bad. Into movie theater parking lot 

[Prue11]

4 hours ago, TriPol said:

If you live on Long Island or the Jersey Shore, you'll remember this storm for the rest of your life.

It was memorable but nothing we haven’t seen

[bluewave]

One of the bigger beach erosion events of the 2020s so far.

 

[LibertyBell]

13 hours ago, TriPol said:

Expected when? And by whom? As late as Wednesday, the NWS was calling this a nuisance storm. The GFS had this bombing out and hitting Maine. It wasn't until late thursday/early Friday that the idea of this hitting the NJ coast came.

Not historic but major

 If Noreasters were rated on a 5 point scale this would be a major a Cat 3.  Both Sandy and December 1992 would rate a 5 that's historic.

13 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Where I am personally, notable but I’ve seen a lot worse. Some of the shore areas did flood pretty heavily due to the piled up water over a few high tides. Overall I’d say it was about as expected. The wet ground contributed to more trees down and power outages. 

Yes a 3 of 5. December 1992 and Sandy would be 5 out of 5.

14 hours ago, TriPol said:

If you live on Long Island or the Jersey Shore, you'll remember this storm for the rest of your life.

Possibly but again not historic 

19 hours ago, TriPol said:

Well. I am sufficiently soaked. I believe we can officially declare the drought over. 

Except for a few months last year there was never a real drought. I'm not going to use inflated averages to justify a drought. Summers are normally drier.  And once this awful el nino ends we'll return to our hotter and drier summers next year.

23 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

I just want to clarify some narratives being played in the forum.

If you were inland, like I am in Westchester, this was pretty much nothing but an annoying drizzly sometimes rainy weekend. An under-performer based on what was hyped by an always hysterical populous.

 

As for beaches, and Eastern Long Island, this was NOT a standard nor easter. The beaches on the north shore have devastation that I have only seen one time since 1988…Sandy.

A tale of two storms…with the worst aspect being prolonged, days long erosion with strong NE winds

That last part is incorrect. December 1992 was far more historic than this storm on every metric. I'd put this third far behind both Sandy and December 1992. If you go farther back, to 1960, add Donna 1960 and Ash Wednesday 1962 to that list.

23 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Dogfish Shark spotted in Barnegat Bay

There were sharks in people's driveways!

22 hours ago, Rjay said:

 

December 1992 had a longer period of gusty winds than either here. FIVE DAYS in total!

9 hours ago, Prue11 said:

It was memorable but nothing we haven’t seen

Correct a 3 out of 5.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

One of the bigger beach erosion events of the 2020s so far.

 

Yes but not historic. 

[jm1220]

Was this a bad storm? Absolutely. But we’ve seen plenty of those since especially around 2010. March 2010 for example was devastating for many because of tree/power damage and we’ve had many more since. For coastal flooding in the back bays I think it briefly hit Major status which is what was expected. Upton was a little slow to catch on but eventually upgraded the coastal areas to high wind warnings and flooding was about what was expected. For days models had the 4-5” rains a chunk of us experienced and Upton had a similar total precip map out. The wet grounds aided in uprooting trees vs if we had dry conditions this summer. The beaches got pounded due to the storm lingering for days and yes it’s rare we get these so soon in September. But compared to other storms we’ve gotten in the last 15 years or so is it that historic-no. Disruptive yes. 

[wdrag]

I followed up on my initial posts tropical weather 9/21-23 and agree w the subsequent summaries here.

My last on this...

Well... it's done (not a subtropical storm but...big moderate, spotty major impacts with 2-8" of Rain I95 corridor, two surges of power outages (early Sat and early Sun), at least moderate CF and at least moderate dune damage).

 

I sure hope everyone agrees it was VERY well modeled by the EPS/EC suite vs the United States GEFS back at least to 9/21..., a very good planner. Debris cleanup now. 

Will check back when we get some comparable headline extensive moderate or major impact coastal storms this winter.  Helpful good posts.

(I like how the 5H trough is repeating here in the east this fall---let's see if its cold enough to be dendrites). 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Very memorable storm. I can’t remember the last time my entire property was covered in live tree branches and leaves. Quite the cleanup 

[jm1220]

8 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Very memorable storm. I can’t remember the last time my entire property was covered in live tree branches and leaves. Quite the cleanup 

My street is a disaster with twigs on it still and a street around the corner from me had no power for 2.5 days because of branches down on power lines. I definitely agree it was a disruptive storm. I just had power flicker a few times. A few years ago PSEG did a good job clearing branches away from power lines on my street after we had something similar happen with us so this time it probably saved us. 

[Stormlover74]

[MANDA]

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, MANDA said:

What is this ranking based on-pressure? 

[MANDA]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

What is this ranking based on-pressure? 

Record high tide ranking.