nw baltimore wx Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining I was wondering why no one here had started a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Thursday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:35 PM 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining Sick! Let's hope it's right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM 42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Thursday at 07:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:49 PM GFS has been pretty consistent about that storm in our general vicinity for quite a few runs now. I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 08:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:24 PM Not same solution on euro but it also has some tropical like thing at the end of the run that would dump on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM Fun to look at fantasy range global runs, but will be watching the ensembles for any hints of a tropical hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Thursday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:47 PM The Weather Underground and TWC can't agree on the position of the front. Is it over Erie or Morgantown??? This is important for the next 48 hrs. Absolutely amazing for what is supposed to be high tech in September of 2026. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Thursday at 09:12 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 09:12 PM 1 hour ago, IronTy said: I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen. It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM 10 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May? Nobody knows, but IME usually a significant pattern change comes about with a big storm ushering it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Thursday at 09:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:24 PM WB 18Z NBM thru the weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Thursday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:00 PM Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:31 PM 31 minutes ago, stormy said: Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely It may not reach max forecast levels, but it's far from dying. There's another westerly wind burst coming in about a month, which will be the strongest if modeling is correct. After that passes it'll be November and we should have a decent idea about when it weakens and how fast. Probably won't be fast enough in my book unfortunately. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted yesterday at 10:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:14 AM 11 hours ago, mitchnick said: It may not reach max forecast levels, but it's far from dying. There's another westerly wind burst coming in about a month, which will be the strongest if modeling is correct. After that passes it'll be November and we should have a decent idea about when it weakens and how fast. Probably won't be fast enough in my book unfortunately. Lol I was biased by JB and his "El Nino Madness". He makes some very good points with his language and illustrations. Your westerly wind burst may be interesting. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago On 9/6/2026 at 6:14 PM, WxUSAF said: I'll be in CO this week and 18z GFS says when I get home its 75 with a dew 45 75 part was pretty close. But the f-ing dew points won’t drop. Gonna have 60s dews for Xmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 12z GFS back to busting the drought again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 8 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 75 part was pretty close. But the f-ing dew points won’t drop. Gonna have 60s dews for Xmas. We did for Christmas 2015 and the last Super Nino..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 9 hours ago, MillvilleWx said: We did for Christmas 2015 and the last Super Nino..... And, memorably, in January 1998. Weirdest, most unpleasant January day ever. It felt kind of like this morning does: gloomy, stifling and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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