nw baltimore wx Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Just now, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining I was wondering why no one here had started a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining Sick! Let's hope it's right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z gfs is very entertaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago GFS has been pretty consistent about that storm in our general vicinity for quite a few runs now. I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Not same solution on euro but it also has some tropical like thing at the end of the run that would dump on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Fun to look at fantasy range global runs, but will be watching the ensembles for any hints of a tropical hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago The Weather Underground and TWC can't agree on the position of the front. Is it over Erie or Morgantown??? This is important for the next 48 hrs. Absolutely amazing for what is supposed to be high tech in September of 2026. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 1 hour ago, IronTy said: I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen. It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 10 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May? Nobody knows, but IME usually a significant pattern change comes about with a big storm ushering it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago WB 18Z NBM thru the weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 31 minutes ago, stormy said: Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely It may not reach max forecast levels, but it's far from dying. There's another westerly wind burst coming in about a month, which will be the strongest if modeling is correct. After that passes it'll be November and we should have a decent idea about when it weakens and how fast. Probably won't be fast enough in my book unfortunately. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 29 minutes ago Share Posted 29 minutes ago 11 hours ago, mitchnick said: It may not reach max forecast levels, but it's far from dying. There's another westerly wind burst coming in about a month, which will be the strongest if modeling is correct. After that passes it'll be November and we should have a decent idea about when it weakens and how fast. Probably won't be fast enough in my book unfortunately. Lol I was biased by JB and his "El Nino Madness". He makes some very good points with his language and illustrations. Your westerly wind burst may be interesting. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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