September 2026 Medium/Long Range

[nw baltimore wx]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

12z gfs is very entertaining 

I was wondering why no one here had started a thread.

[dailylurker]

25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

12z gfs is very entertaining 

Sick! Let's hope it's right lol

[aldie 22]

42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

12z gfs is very entertaining 

[IronTy]

GFS has been pretty consistent about that storm in our general vicinity for quite a few runs now.  I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen. 

[TSSN+]

Not same solution on euro but it also has some tropical like thing at the end of the run that would dump on us. 

[Weather Will]

Fun to look at fantasy range global runs, but will be watching the ensembles for any hints of a tropical hit.

[stormy]

The Weather Underground and TWC can't agree on the position of the front. Is it over Erie or Morgantown???    

This is important for the next 48 hrs.   Absolutely amazing for what is supposed to be high tech in September of 2026.

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 hour ago, IronTy said:

I'd consider that storm to usher in the base state pattern change if it were to happen.

It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May?

[IronTy]

10 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May?

Nobody knows, but IME usually a significant pattern change comes about with a big storm ushering it in.  

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z NBM thru the weekend.