August 2026 General Discussion

[Brian D]

Early data in for July. Very warm month, especially in the N sub. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively. 

[cmillzz]

On 8/1/2026 at 6:04 PM, roardog said:

They can’t really ever be wrong with equal chances.

CPC gave Texas the highest chances for above average temperatures, yet it ended up coolest relative to average, so there you go. With your line of thinking, they may as well have put the entire country in the "equal chances" zone.

[roardog]

31 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

CPC gave Texas the highest chances for above average temperatures, yet it ended up coolest relative to average, so there you go. With your line of thinking, they may as well have put the entire country in the "equal chances" zone.

With the way the CPC “ forecast” works they might as well. The darkest red area of Texas was a 60-70% probability of being above average. That means there was a 30-40% probability of it not being above average. The northeast corner of the state had a 40-50% probability. So there was a higher chance it wouldn’t be above average. lol

[cyclone77]

Severe storms approached and died.  Did get a few sprinkles though.

[OrdIowPitMsp]

0.08” at MSP yesterday. Extended forecast looks good temp wise, but could use more precipitation.

[Brian D]

Cool morning with temps running mid 40's to low 50's. Need rain, and some is forecast for tonight. 

[weatherbo]

Average looking weather heading into mid-August.  Cool nights, warm days, some showers... tell-tale signs of autumn are starting to show up here in the northland.

[Brian D]

Revamped this map. Been a long time since I posted this. Good look at the ranking from a dense rank perspective. July was a doosy for some of us in the N. Had to chuckle at MSP. It was one of the hottest avg's in the Midwest. Fit right in with Missouri wx  The North Shore experienced cool wx due to colder Lake waters. The hotter air coming in from the SW helping stns reach near record/record warmth inland, but brought cool lake winds along the shore. Point casts failed a lot. 

Note: You may have to click on the map, then zoom for a better look. Or just zoom the post.