August 2026

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:

PHL: 90
EWR: 89
ACY: 89
BLM: 88
New Brnswck: 88
LGA: 88
TEB: 87
TTN: 86
NYC: 85
ISP: 84
JFK: 84

[donsutherland1]

A slow-moving cold front will likely bring showers or thundershowers to the region tomorrow into tomorrow night. Parts of the region could experience flooding.

The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Friday could see highs in the lower 80s with some additional showers or thundershowers. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather. The greatest chance for rain will be on Saturday.

Somewhat cooler than normal weather will then extend into at least the middle of next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -28.34 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.178 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.1° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[LibertyBell]

4 hours ago, TriPol said:

Yes. We do.

 

I dont know how familiar you are with our climate but summers are supposed to be dry and moderate summer droughts are entirely normal. Alarmism based on color coded maps is unnecessary and unwarranted.  Flooding is FAR worse than a moderate drought.  Droughts normally end in the Fall anyway no need to spoil the summer even more.

 

[JerseyWx]

5 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Today and last Saturday aside August has sucked..way too much clouds humidity and constant shoeer threats

Yeah even today had more clouds than I thought it would.  Just been a meh weather month, and this weekend doesn't look to change that.

Our area is fine with rain and the reservoirs are good. Abnormally dry doesn't mean a drought.  

[Dan76]

Great... Flood watch extended 

[bluewave]

HREF has a widespread 1.5 to 2.5 potential. Localized 3-5 possible where the best training sets up. So a continuation of the heaviest summer rains coming after we get the 100° heat early in the season. Like our local version of a monsoon pattern.