August 2026

[Stormlover74]

Will the wet pattern continue? Do we see a return to heat or remain seasonal?

[forkyfork]

heat is coming back

[WestBabylonWeather]

8 hours ago, forkyfork said:

heat is coming back

Good. 

[SnoSki14]

20 hours ago, forkyfork said:

heat is coming back

Looks more high dew type stuff than 95+ heat. 

[SnowGoose69]

On 7/29/2026 at 9:49 AM, forkyfork said:

heat is coming back

I think a bigger concern there 8/12 and later on the ensembles is the WNW flow if the ridge sets up that strong over the Plains/Midwest.  That is going to send big time smoke into at least New England if any fires are still burning.

[[email protected]]

15 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I think a bigger concern there 8/12 and later on the ensembles is the WNW flow if the ridge sets up that strong over the Plains/Midwest.  That is going to send big time smoke into at least New England if any fires are still burning.

50/50 chance, more 90 degree days for Central Park the rest of this summer. It seems that 2004/2009 has arrived.

[forkyfork]

52 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

50/50 chance, more 90 degree days for Central Park the rest of this summer. It seems that 2004/2009 has arrived.

time to take the winter clothes out of the closet

[Stormlover74]

Monday looking rainy

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Monday looking rainy

More of the same....every week has featured a big rain event going back to early July

[WestBabylonWeather]

Perfect day tomorrow. 

[SACRUS]

82 / 69 partly to mostly sunny but clouds building to our west and on their approach. Mid - upper 80s and like yesterday with enough sun a stray 90 in spots (NJ). Clouds back Sunday and then the next cut off to our west is slowed by the building Atlantic ridge and pumps a southerly humid flow with showers, rain and storms Mon - Tue with 1 - 3 inches plus in spots.  Beyond there overall warm to hot at times very humid and likely wet.  Next shot at a heat wave in the 8/6 - 8/12 period with storms/clouds the caveat.

 

8/1 - 8/2 : Warm/humid dry - clouds
8/3 - 8/4 :  Rain 1-3 inches
8/5 :  Showrs/rain
8/6 - Beyond : Overall warm/humid to hot at times  - storms potential and watch the tropics


 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2006 / 2024)
NYC: 100 (1933)
LGA: 100 (2006)
JFK: 97 (2006)


Lows:

EWR: 52 (1943)
NYC: 59 (1964)
LGA: 62 (1947)
JFK: 60 (1964)

Historical: 

 

1812: A tornado struck parts of Westchester County, New York. The same storm today would have caused major destruction. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 

 

1917: 80 forest fires ,were ignited in Trinity County, California when an electrical storm produced hundreds of lightning bolts over a small area which was tinder-box dry from severe drought. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1947: What turned out to be the hottest August on record started off on a decidedly cool note across parts of Michigan with record lows at: Houghton Lake, MI: 32°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 36°, Muskegon, MI: 43°, Flint, MI: 43° and Grand Rapids, MI: 48 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1954 - Mount Rainier in Washington State was still covered with sixteen inches of snow at the 5500 foot level following a big snow season. (David Ludlum)

1966: Very strong winds from severe thunderstorms struck northwest Oklahoma. Winds gusted to 80 mph in Laverne, and blew a parked Cessna aircraft through a fence and into a ditch. As the storms approached Gage, winds gusted to 92 mph, causing blowing dust that reduced the visibility to near zero. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1972: This was the first of 25 straight days without measurable rain at Philadelphia, PA. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1974: Georgia--An 18-year-old youth was killed by lightning at a lumber camp on the Ocmulgee River. Maine--One person was killed by lightning at Fort Fairfield. Aroostook County. No further details. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1976: Flight operations at the former Stapleton Airport in Denver, CO were suspended for 90 minutes when the airport tower radar was knocked out and water reached a foot deep on some taxi ramps after 1.50 inches of rain fell in one hour. Record lows gripped Wisconsin including Green Bay, WI: 45°, Madison, WI: 47°, La Crosse, WI: 49° and Milwaukee, WI: 49°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1978: A severe thunderstorm developed in Beadle County, South Dakota during the afternoon and plunged southeastward. Winds up to 80 mph and hail the size of golf balls pelted the area. The hail piled up to six inches deep on roads and to three feet in the ditches. So much hail fell that it remained on the ground in some areas for 36 hours after the storm. Approximately 480,000 acres of nearly ripe crops were badly damaged or completely destroyed. Damage to crops and personal property was estimated at $4 million dollars.
Over 35 inches of rain fell in the Hill Country northwest of San Antonio, TX between 7/31 and 8/4 as the remnants of Tropical Storm Amelia stalled. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: The relentless heat from the summer of 1980 continued. Record highs included: Wichita, KS: 110°, Oklahoma City, OK 108°, Columbia, MO: 108°, Topeka, KS: 107°, Dodge City, KS: 106°, Little Rock, AR: 105°, St. Louis, MO: 104° and Springfield, MO: 103°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1983: During the early afternoon hours, a strong microburst swept across Andrews Air Force Base in Washington, D.C.  Although the base anemometer was not calibrated at extreme wind speeds, the peak gust hit 149 mph. It was reported that Air Force One, with President Reagan on board, landed less than 10 minutes before the peak gust.

1985 - A nearly stationary thunderstorm deluged Cheyenne, WY, with rain and hail. Six inches of rain fell in six hours producing the most damaging flash flood of record for the state. Two to five feet of hail covered the ground following the storm, which claimed twelve lives, and caused 65 million dollars property damage. (Storm Data)

1986 - A powerful thunderstorm produced 100 mph winds and large hail in eastern Kansas and southwestern Missouri causing 71 million dollars damage, and injuring nineteen persons. It was one of the worst thunderstorms of record for Kansas. Crops were mowed to the ground in places and roofs blown off buildings along its path, 150 miles long and 30 miles wide, from near Abilene to southeast of Pittsburg. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Record heat gripped parts of the Midwest. A dozen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lincoln, NE, with a reading of 105 degrees, Moline, IL, with an afternoon high of 103 degrees, and Burlington, IA, with a reading of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Two dozen cities in the Upper Midwest reported record high temperatures for the date, including La Crosse WI with a reading of 105 degrees. Highs of 103 degrees at Milwaukee, WI, and South Bend, IN, were records for the month of August. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Hurricane Chantal made landfall along the Upper Texas coast about sunrise. Chantal deluged parts of Galveston Island and southeastern Texas with 8 to 12 inches of rain. Unofficial totals ranged up to twenty inches. Winds gusted to 82 mph at Galveston, and reached 76 mph in the Houston area. Tides were 5 to 7 feet high. The hurricane claimed two lives, and caused 100 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1998: A record 220,000 lightning bolts were recorded in the United States on this date. The usual number on summer days is about 100,000. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1999: Suffolk, VA several homes were struck by lightning and at least two people were injured. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

[WestBabylonWeather]

When are we expecting the clouds? 

[SACRUS]

Eur much like the GFs and others with a warm / humid pattern with the WC ridge backing offhsore PNW and as the Atlantic ridge hugs the EC

 

 

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

When are we expecting the clouds? 

Early afternoon for most , sooner west

[WestBabylonWeather]

Just now, SACRUS said:

Early afternoon for most , sooner west

Saddening. Lol. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

On 7/31/2026 at 7:16 AM, [email protected] said:

50/50 chance, more 90 degree days for Central Park the rest of this summer. It seems that 2004/2009 has arrived.

More like 2011 and 2013. Those were at least warm in the beginning before going absolutely cold in late July/early August.

2004 and 2009 were cold almost all the way throughout.

[SACRUS]

12 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

More like 2011 and 2013. Those were at least warm in the beginning before going absolutely cold in late July/early August.

2004 and 2009 were cold almost all the way throughout.

Next two weeks look solidly above normal and the period 8/6 - 8/12 should yield more 90s even in central park. 

[SACRUS]

Dewpoint to 70 here.

[bluewave]

Looks like August 1st-10th starts out a little warmer than average with above average precipitation. 

[SACRUS]

 

On 7/26/2026 at 8:47 PM, SACRUS said:

This enso is closer match to 2015 / 1997 - August will be interesting to see 2015 very warm/hot/ dry, 1997 cool/ drier.

EWR:  Monthly ; Dep ; Rain

2026:
May:  64.5 ; +1.2 ; 2.43
June: 72.8 ; +2.4 ; 2.52
Jul:  78.2 ; +0.00 ; 4.91
Aug:

1997:
May: 59.2 ; -4.1; 3.12
June:   71 ; -1.8 ; 2.42
Jul: 76.8; -1.4 ; 7.05
Aug: 73.6 ; -2.8 ; 2.89
Sep: 66.9 ; -2.3 ; 2.12
Oct: 56.5; -1 ; 2.02

2015:
May:  68.2; +4.9 ; 4.94
Jun: 72 ; -0.8; 5.9
Jul: 79;  +0.8 ; 2.69
Aug:  78.7 ;  +2.3 ; 1.4
Sep: 74.3 ; +4.2 ; 2.33
Oct: 57.2 ;  -0.3 ; 3.72


 

El Niño Event	First / Key Year	NYC Aug Departure	NYC Sept Departure	EWR Aug Departure	EWR Sept Departure
1951–52	1951	-1.6	-1.0	-2.3	-2.1
1953	1953	-0.3	+1.2	-1.7	-0.2
1957–58	1957	-2.5	+0.5	-3.5	+0.2
1963–64	1963	-4.0	-6.2	-2.5	-5.2
1965–66	1965	-2.9	-1.8	-1.9	-0.8
1968–69	1968	-0.1	+1.4	+0.4	+1.5
1969–70	1969	+1.3	-0.2	+0.9	-1.7
1972–73	1972	-0.5	+0.3	-0.5	+0.6
1976–77	1976	-1.8	-2.6	-2.0	-2.7
1977–78	1977	-0.4	-1.0	-1.3	-1.2
1982–83	1982	-3.0	-0.9	-4.0	-2.5
1986–88	1986	-3.0	-1.4	-2.2	-0.6
1991–92	1991	+1.0	-1.8	+1.2	-1.2
1994–95	1994	-2.1	-1.6	-0.8	+0.5
1997–98	1997	-2.8	-2.2	-2.8	-2.3
2002–03	2002	+1.7	+1.0	+1.5	+1.2
2004–05	2004	-1.8	+0.1	-1.9	+0.3
2006–07	2006	-0.3	-2.6	+0.8	-2.5
2009–10	2009	-0.4	-2.9	+0.8	-2.3
2014–16	2014	-1.5	+0.5	-2.0	+0.5
2014–16	2015	+2.9	+5.2	+2.3	+4.2
2018–19	2018	+2.1	+1.5	+2.8	+2.1
2023–24	2023	-1.1	+0.2	+0.2	+2.0
2026–27	2026	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD

 

updating from thread 
 

[SACRUS]

Showers / rain CPA should stay west

 

[Jersey Andrew]

14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like August 1st-10th starts out a little warmer than average with above average precipitation. 

Does August look to turn cooler mid-month into September? DT,others pushing this idea but not sure it happens.