Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[vortex95]

@CoastalWx should read this before passing summary judgement on the RRFS!
  

RRFS_webinar_20260625.pdf

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 hours ago, kdxken said:

Is this the one where runaway iceberg got smoked?

We got like 10-12” but we live elevated. Half mile down the road by the park was the complete disaster. 

 

[WxWatcher007]

Congrats Miami on hitting 100°

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Congrats Miami on hitting 100°

Close at FLL and HST too. Really interesting setup for a mid summer afternoon down there. NNW flow and dews somewhat mixed out. 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Congrats Miami on hitting 100°

Another free bar beer bites the dust. "What's the hottest it's ever been in Miami?" Tampa went down last July.

[vortex95]

33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Close at FLL and HST too. Really interesting setup for a mid summer afternoon down there. NNW flow and dews somewhat mixed out. 

Dew point briefly dropped to 67 which is practically unheard of this time of year.  Wind flipped SE and now dew point is 78.  Even more amazing HST dew point dropped to 60!  Must have been a localized dry pool of air.  No RW/TRW in the area in the last 24 hr.

It was not b/c anything atypical was going on in the pattern synoptically.  GFS 500 and 850 anomalies show nothing of significance.  This was a localized phenomena.  925 and 850 winds across much of FL today light NW.

If you look at climo for the area, the wind, outside of convection, is rarely out of the NW at any appreciable speed in the afternoon this time of year.  But not long before the 100 reading today, it was 33011G16KT.

But never such details get in the way of a good story or proper perspective.  The MSM will act like the wx is extreme and a big heat wave/AGW caused it.  MIA is +2.0 F for the month, nothing that unusual.  And yes, there are mdt-high drought conditions in S FL, but it is long-term drought.  So far in August, it has been near to above normal for rainfall, so you can't say the topsoil is widespread parched that caused the low dew points (M-T-D rainfall attached).

MIA also hit 100 on July 21, 1942.  I'd like to see what was going on that day for comparison.

And of course, the population of Miami-Dade Co. was ~350,000 in 1942.  It was 2.7M in 2020.  So not a level playing field for proper comparison due to UHI.
 

[vortex95]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Another free bar beer bites the dust. "What's the hottest it's ever been in Miami?" Tampa went down last July.

TPA last year?, it seems that where the ASOS in relation to the runway, and the location of jets that taxi on the runway at the time from flight plots (turn point/wait point is in direct line of ASOS), that could have nudged it to 100.

In the large picture, this obsession w/ 100 F.  100 is base 10, first number to go from 2 to 3 digits, and psychologically satisfying number, so somehow that makes it more significant from a wx/climate POV?   It's a U.S., and more specifically, E Coast-centric mindset, as 100 is not that common.  Well, there is a world outside of the East Coast! 

And we just happen to use the F scale.  In C, benchmark numbers for hot temps are 30 and 40 C, so 100 is not some magical number here from a wx/climate POV universally.  And we have the K temp scale as well --- oh wait, I just realized how we can hype the heat more!  Use the K scale instead, it is *so* much hotter sounding (100 F = 311 K)!!!!  

[Damage In Tolland]

Turning into a very dewy week other than  Friday 

[weatherwiz]

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

[kdxken]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Turning into a very dewy week other than  Friday 

Absolute perfection weather. Been a nice stretch. When are we getting that torch you were talking about? Did manage 81 today I hope you found a cooling station. 

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

Touch it, see if it bites.  

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

its a pauldid.. they sense when people are scared of them.. then they find them during the night and bite 

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

Looks like a Airaconda. They breed in air conditioners. Give the unit a kick. I wouldn't mess around.

[vortex95]

37 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

TPA last year?, it seems that where the ASOS in relation to the runway, and the location of jets that taxi on the runway at the time from flight plots (turn point/wait point is in direct line of ASOS), that could have nudged it to 100.

In the large picture, this obsession w/ 100 F.  100 is base 10, first number to go from 2 to 3 digits, and psychologically satisfying number, so somehow that makes it more significant from a wx/climate POV?   It's a U.S., and more specifically, E Coast-centric mindset, as 100 is not that common.  Well, there is a world outside of the East Coast! 

And we just happen to use the F scale.  In C, benchmark numbers for hot temps are 30 and 40 C, so 100 is not some magical number here from a wx/climate POV universally.  And we have the K temp scale as well --- oh wait, I just realized how we can hype the heat more!  Use the K scale instead, it is *so* much hotter sounding (100 F = 311 K)!!!!  

@kdxken Not trying to be dogmatic or do any post slamming, so don't take my responses personally.  Just stating facts and providing some background/clarification on wx stats and perspective, as wx stats/history is a passion for me. and will apply a bit of levity when I can!

[vortex95]

21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

26 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Absolute perfection weather. Been a nice stretch. When are we getting that torch you were talking about? Did manage 81 today I hope you found a cooling station. 

 

So it’s been humid Sunday thru today and you calling it perfect . Two more days of humidity coming and dews up again Sat/Sunday . The month is WAN. You honestly don’t have any type of clue . Although you uninstalled in early Augdewst so no one here is surprised . 

[powderfreak]

31 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

@kdxken Not trying to be dogmatic or do any post slamming, so don't take my responses personally.  Just stating facts and providing some background/clarification on wx stats and perspective, as wx stats/history is a passion for me. and will apply a bit of levity when I can!

Ha, my first thought when I saw the post about 100F was, Vortex is going to have something to say about that.

Good perspective.  

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, vortex95 said:

Dew point briefly dropped to 67 which is practically unheard of this time of year.  Wind flipped SE and now dew point is 78.  Even more amazing HST dew point dropped to 60!  Must have been a localized dry pool of air.  No RW/TRW in the area in the last 24 hr.

It was not b/c anything atypical was going on in the pattern synoptically.  GFS 500 and 850 anomalies show nothing of significance.  This was a localized phenomena.  925 and 850 winds across much of FL today light NW.

If you look at climo for the area, the wind, outside of convection, is rarely out of the NW at any appreciable speed in the afternoon this time of year.  But not long before the 100 reading today, it was 33011G16KT.

But never such details get in the way of a good story or proper perspective.  The MSM will act like the wx is extreme and a big heat wave/AGW caused it.  MIA is +2.0 F for the month, nothing that unusual.  And yes, there are mdt-high drought conditions in S FL, but it is long-term drought.  So far in August, it has been near to above normal for rainfall, so you can't say the topsoil is widespread parched that caused the low dew points (M-T-D rainfall attached).

MIA also hit 100 on July 21, 1942.  I'd like to see what was going on that day for comparison.

And of course, the population of Miami-Dade Co. was ~350,000 in 1942.  It was 2.7M in 2020.  So not a level playing field for proper comparison due to UHI.
 

heh. Found the obs. Almost the same exact deal as today. A nice TSRA to bring the swampazz back after the 100F too.

MIA,1942-07-21 15:00,METAR KMIA 211500Z 31510KT 34/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP152 T03390233 
MIA,1942-07-21 16:00,METAR KMIA 211600Z 31507KT 35/22 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP152 T03500217 
MIA,1942-07-21 17:00,METAR KMIA 211700Z 27008KT 35/22 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP149 T03500217 
MIA,1942-07-21 18:00,METAR KMIA 211800Z 27008KT 36/24 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP139 T03610244 
MIA,1942-07-21 19:00,METAR KMIA 211900Z 36006KT 38/21 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP135 T03780211 
MIA,1942-07-21 20:00,METAR KMIA 212000Z 13507KT 8SM +TSRA SHRA 34/24 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP132 T03390244

[Torch Tiger]

47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So it’s been humid Sunday thru today and you calling it perfect . Two more days of humidity coming and dews up again Sat/Sunday . The month is WAN. You honestly don’t have any type of clue . Although you uninstalled in early Augdewst so no one here is surprised . 

The BN August crew absolutely silent

[cleetussnow]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is 

It’s got a dog in its mouth.  I’d give it a wide birth.  

[Cyclone-68]

We’re very lucky to not have to worry about black widows and brown recluses around here. Once in a blue moon someone will claim to see a widow in MA but that’s gotta be a rarity. I saw a baby funnel web up close in a garage in Canberra, Australia many years ago..Didn’t know at the time and luckily they aren’t aggressive