July Discobs 2026

[frd]

4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Drop that shortwave from Hudson Bay due south into Tennessee, and that'll end the drought real quick. 

That would be cool. Still looks active starting Saturday and continuing a while afterwards.  We cool off and then maybe another heatwave early August looking at model clusters. 

Meanwhile,  I believe I bserve smoke overhead. Skies are milky white. 

Currently here 

 

Current conditions at

Wilmington Airport (KILG)

Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft.

Fair

88°F

31°C

Humidity	55%
Wind Speed	W 10 G 17 mph
Barometer	30.12 in (1019.9 mb)
Dewpoint	70°F (21°C)
Visibility	10.00 mi
Heat Index	93°F (34°C)
Last update	14 Jul 12:51 pm EDT

[frd]

Yep smoke 

 

[MN Transplant]

1 hour ago, frd said:

Yep smoke 

 

Probably not too much of a leap to think that the smoke might be holding temps back a bit.

[frd]

24 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Probably not too much of a leap to think that the smoke might be holding temps back a bit.

I can certainly see that too.  Maybe a couple of degrees cooler would be possible.  Never hit the forecasted high here today.  Tomorrow's HRR smoke forecast is even worse, but I have not looked at the latest update. 

[frd]

30 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Probably not too much of a leap to think that the smoke might be holding temps back a bit.

Looks like our area is worse tomorrow as well. 

Dense smoke plume arrives tomorrow.  

 

https://x.com/weather_buffalo/status/2077091092860694878

The latest HRRR shows some absolutely insane smoke on Thursday across WNY. If it comes to fruition it would be much worse than what we experienced a few years ago in 2023.

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

Wonder if we undercut our high temperatures with this smoke? Looks like some the the solar radiation readings in NE MD are dropping a tad due to the smoke/haze.

[frd]

22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Wonder if we undercut our high temperatures with this smoke? Looks like some the the solar radiation readings in NE MD are dropping a tad due to the smoke/haze.

You can clearly see the epicenter of the wild fires in this animation if you look in the NW part of the video

 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

 

or the still frame 

 

 

 

 

[SolidIcewx]

22 minutes ago, frd said:

You can clearly see the epicenter of the wild fires in this animation if you look in the NW part of the video

 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

 

or the still frame 

 

 

 

 

Those definitely blew up today hot damn

[nw baltimore wx]

Milky white skies at 6PM just west of Bethany, DE.

[WxUSAF]

If the smoke gets as thick as it looks it may (rivaling 2023), that’ll definitely knock a few/several degrees off the temps. New England highs today were mostly under the forecast.

[SnowenOutThere]

11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

If the smoke gets as thick as it looks it may (rivaling 2023), that’ll definitely knock a few/several degrees off the temps. New England highs today were mostly under the forecast.

Looks like Thursday morning will be rough according to the HRRR. Interestingly it keeps west of the blue ridge/shenandoah shielded from the near surface smoke. 

[wxmeddler]

I was out on the Allegany / Garrett county border today, the smoke was definitely noticeable between the ridges.

[CAPE]

Mount Holly AFD snippet-

While some areas will likely reach the
century mark again, it will not be quite to the magnitude that
we experienced to start July. Humidity will be a little less as
well, and the hottest conditions will only last for one day.
However, heat index values are still forecast to range from
100-109 degrees for most of the area, again hottest from along
and southeast of I-95. A modest westerly, offshore wind near
10-15 mph should help keep the sea breeze from making much
inland progress during the afternoon hours. Thus, we expect high
temperatures in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices near
100-105 degrees even for the New Jersey Shore and Delaware
Beaches. The limiting factor in how much we heat will be smoke
from Canadian wildfires. We are already seeing the first plume
of wildfire smoke dropping south into the the Mid-Atlantic this
afternoon and that will insulate the region from the highest
heat. The smoke should again help mitigate how much heating we
receive tomorrow so while temps are going to be hot and there
are no changes to any heat headlines, we are not fully
maximizing the potential heat that the thermal profile suggests
we could warm to.

[87storms]

This wildfire smoke thing was not a thing like this in the 80s and 90s, that I recall. In other news, the humidity right now is quite impressive.

[pazzo83]

24 minutes ago, 87storms said:

This wildfire smoke thing was not a thing like this in the 80s and 90s, that I recall. In other news, the humidity right now is quite impressive.

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

[HokieEnginerd]

5 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

How could you even tell with how much worse the air quality was back then?

[WEATHER53]

56 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

No

The sky was muddier at times in 70’s but that was pollution 

[pazzo83]

1 hour ago, HokieEnginerd said:

How could you even tell with how much worse the air quality was back then?

it wasn't that bad in the Shenandoah Valley.

[dailylurker]

7 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

I definitely don't. I remember the brown haze from local air pollution but not wildfire smoke. Did Canada change something over the past 10 years? Maybe a different approach when it comes to forest fires? 

[Eskimo Joe]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

I definitely don't. I remember the brown haze from local air pollution but not wildfire smoke. Did Canada change something over the past 10 years? Maybe a different approach when it comes to forest fires? 

Less snow means more drought means more needle fall means more fuel load.

[IronTy]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

I definitely don't. I remember the brown haze from local air pollution but not wildfire smoke. Did Canada change something over the past 10 years? Maybe a different approach when it comes to forest fires? 

I spent the first 25yrs of my life in Michigan (born 1980) and not once do I recall anything about wildfire smoke.  I didn't even know it was a thing until after I move out here.  

[BlizzardNole]

9 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

We had the classic HHH summer days in the 70s and 80s from pollution, but I never remember having wildfire smoke.  I hope we don't get it like a couple years ago - that sucked

[AnEndlessMaze]

10 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

i was about to say - folks who grew up here, do any of you remember this from the 80s/90s?  I certainly do not EVER remember dealing with wildfire smoke.

Nope, this was never a thing growing up. It's almost like... something's changing with the climate and it makes these events more likely. 

[RIC_WX]

I remember a summer trip to visit a large, midwestern city in 1983 as a school age child.  The air was so polluted from coal fired industry my eyes would tear after only a few minutes outside.  This was certainly a man made phenomenon.

If there was wildfire smoke in that era, I don't know how you could tell.  I do believe on balance the air is monumentally cleaner today as a baseline, but it's hard to argue that wildfires spawned by lightning strikes are somehow a new thing.

[SnowenOutThere]

4 hours ago, dailylurker said:

I definitely don't. I remember the brown haze from local air pollution but not wildfire smoke. Did Canada change something over the past 10 years? Maybe a different approach when it comes to forest fires? 

Ten years ago was when the 2016 nino altered our base state to be warmer thanks to climate change. Since then we’ve dealt with that consequence by having often warm winters which lack in the snowfall department, so I’d imagine the base state change is probably a major player for the fires as well.

[WxUSAF]

Mostly mid 80s on the mesonet. So will take some work to hit widespread 100, especially with some smoky skies 

[WEATHER53]

Following the+10F rule of thumb for DCA from 10am temp, DCA high today will be 98 

[WEATHER53]

10 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Ten years ago was when the 2016 nino altered our base state to be warmer thanks to climate change. Since then we’ve dealt with that consequence by having often warm winters which lack in the snowfall department, so I’d imagine the base state change is probably a major player for the fires as well.

Enso does not respond nor produce same effects as 20 years agob

[MN Transplant]

Nasty

[WxUSAF]

Friday morning looks the worst for us?