Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[cleetussnow]

On 7/24/2026 at 8:55 PM, forkyfork said:

thann you for your input, winter related username

Cleetus snow is a person.  Global warming is taking the day off. Go outside and touch grass.  Greta won’t say anytning.

[kdxken]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

Maybe even ever

Our lifetimes at least. 

 

[Great Snow 1717]

19 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Ay
Fucking
Yo?!

Imagine we had this kind of QPF in winter around Christmas with below freezing temps


Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk


 

...while methuen ends up .25.....

[snowman21]

3 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

How's Pete's foliage coming along?

Leaves already looking leathery despite only being out for six weeks.

[moneypitmike]

Up to 74* under full July sun at 1:00pm.  
 

coc

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro kind of on an island with the heavy stuff for many deal. 12z gfs was pretty dry overall 

[Damage In Tolland]

This threat seems like heaviest axis will be Upstste NY up into NNE. Everything slowly moving that direction 

[kdxken]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This threat seems like heaviest axis will be Upstste NY up into NNE. Everything slowly moving that direction 

Which models are these?

[Damage In Tolland]

If you’d look at them for once you’d see the trend 

[dendrite]

3 hours ago, kdxken said:

Our lifetimes at least. 

 

TKGW

49° in Durham in July is NBD. 

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If you’d look at them for once you’d see the trend 

I don't get the Freedom Models. Not sure they're included in the blend.

[dendrite]

16 hours ago, dendrite said:

I would put SNE underwater with a foot of rain in a second if it meant I could get 1" up here.

Gettin' there

[dendrite]

Imagine moving to MT and thinking you're getting away from the heat

[weatherwiz]

Gotta be extremely careful here just rip and reading total QPF maps. It might be difficult to get widespread amounts as modeled. The axis of highest totals is going to be confined to where the warm front is located and this will be a narrow axis. Also potential for this to close off to our west which would introduce dry slot concerns. Going to be a quite a bit of convection though so there are going to be some areas that probably get smoked, but we may see some drastic differences in precip. amounts across the region when all said and done. There should be some concern though for some significant flash flooding but how widespread? 

[weatherwiz]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Imagine moving to MT and thinking you're getting away from the heat

the heat will always find you 

[kdxken]

21 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Imagine moving to MT and thinking you're getting away from the heat

Friend stopped by not an hour ago has a place in Big sky. He left for just that reason.  Who knew SNE is the temperate part of the country?

[kdxken]

33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Gettin' there

Southwest Connecticut needs the rain. 

 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Southwest Connecticut needs the rain. 

 

Some of these maps have my blood pressure rising. Trying to remain calm.

[powderfreak]

52 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Some of these maps have my blood pressure rising. Trying to remain calm.

Stick with the 6z Euro in the paper bag.

[BombsAway1288]

Feels like September 26 today, not July 26.
 

Unbelievably refreshing 

[ineedsnow]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Imagine moving to MT and thinking you're getting away from the heat

To be fair the average is 90 right now in miles city

[Damage In Tolland]

Solid north west trend almost across the board with 12z and not done yet with 2 days + to go

[Hoth]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

Southwest Connecticut needs the rain. 

 

Yeah only 12” this month. It’s been dry. 

[dendrite]

21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

To be fair the average is 90 right now in miles city

Oh trust me, I know. That area can torch right into the western Dakotas.

But they did another record yesterday with 107F. They were +6.9F MTD before today and they put up another 100+ today. The 9th 100+ of the month.

[Damage In Tolland]

Not there yet.. but starting to wonder if this ends up congrats NY state and ends up shafting at minimum river East . 18z Reggie and NAM

 

[Damage In Tolland]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not there yet.. but starting to wonder if this ends up congrats NY state and ends up shafting at minimum river East . 18z Reggie and NAM

 

RRFS follows same theme 

[Torch Tiger]

44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not there yet.. but starting to wonder if this ends up congrats NY state and ends up shafting at minimum river East . 18z Reggie and NAM

 

Yeah you have to wonder if it ends up mostly dry for some..time will tell

[CoastalWx]

People still drinking in here 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

People still drinking in here 

The whole thing went from SNE Jack to mainly NY state . You haven’t been looking daily while on vaca . We will get some rain obviously but wagons west for 1-5”+ etc .Pretty evident today