6/16-6/18 Severe Weather

[sbnwx85]

From 10 percent double-hatched to two percent.

[King James]

Kind of a bummer how this played out locally after much of the forecasting had IKK pretty comfortably in the warm sector.

[luckyweather]

92 stl 60 pia is just so wild to stare at in late June. 

[IWXwx]

IWX obviously isn't bailing due to the south trend, mainly because of their thought that we are still in the game south of 30 with the warm front, as you alluded to earlier. From discussions, I got the idea that they aren't very happy with SPC's demoting us to slight, but of course they won't come out and say it, hence their post.

[Chicago Storm]

3 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

IWX obviously isn't bailing due to the south trend, mainly because of their thought that we are still in the game south of 30 with the warm front, as you alluded to earlier. From discussions, I got the idea that they aren't very happy with SPC's demoting us to slight, but of course they won't come out and say it, hence their post.

they might want to do another check on observations (radar, satellite, surface obs), because it is definitely over north of us24.

[SchaumburgStormer]

Need a t warning on that Macon county cell

[Chicago Storm]

4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Need a t warning on that Macon county cell

they got duped.

most, if not all of that, is contamination.

[SchaumburgStormer]

3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

they got duped.

most, if not all of that, is contamination.

Def had me fooled for a frame or two as well.

[mob1]

Aside from the cells near Springfield (which might be outflow dominant for now, though it seems to be becoming more surfaced based now) the area to watch are there cells here to see if they can remain discrete or semi-discrete as it moves eastward into a loaded environment. 

If it congeals into a line quickly, it obviously greatly diminishes the strong tornado threat. 

[Malacka11]

The low-level clouds turboing by is just absolutely crazy

[CheeselandSkies]

Just now, Malacka11 said:

The low-level clouds turboing by is just absolutely crazy

Sign of very strong LL shear. I've seen it when arriving to the target area on nearly every chase day I've had when I've either seen tornadoes, or there were tornadoes in the vicinity but I missed them due to being dumb. Shame it will likely go to waste for anyone north of I-72 today.